An Assignment On Forecasting Submitted To Dr. Tophan Patra Submitted By Kumail Murtaza MBA AVM SEM III R250211021 College of Management and Economic Studies (CMES) University of Petroleum and Energy Studies Dehradun‚ India Exponential Smoothing Class Values Ft+1 = α.Xt + (1- α).Ft ----------------------------------- Eqn 1 Ft+1----- Forecasted Value of the next period “t+1” α------- Smoothing Factor/Coefficient Xt------- Actual Value
Premium Exponential smoothing Forecasting Moving average
QUALITATIVE FORECASTING METHODS Qualitative forecasting methods are based on educated opinions of appropriate persons 1. Delphi method: forecast is developed by a panel of experts who anonymously answer a series of questions; responses are fed back to panel members who then may change their original responses a- very time consuming and expensive b- new groupware makes this process much more feasible 2. Market research: panels‚ questionnaires‚ test markets‚ surveys‚ etc. 3. Product life-cycle
Premium Forecasting Exponential smoothing Moving average
DEMAND FORECASTING Demand forecasting is the activity of estimating the quantity of a product or service that consumers will purchase. Demand forecasting involves techniques including both informal methods‚ such as educated guesses‚ and quantitative methods‚ such as the use of historical sales data or current data from test markets. Demand forecasting may be used in making pricing decisions‚ in assessing future capacity requirements‚ or in making decisions on whether to enter a new market. Knowledge
Premium Forecasting
Demand Forecasting Demand forecasting • Why is it important • How to evaluate • Qualitative Methods • Causal Models • Time-Series Models • Summary Production and operations management Product Development long term medium term short term Product portifolio Purchasing Manufacturing Distribution Supply network designFacility Partner selection location Distribution network design and layout Derivatuve Supply Demand forecasting is product developmentcontract the starting ? point
Premium Forecasting Linear regression Regression analysis
Corporations are faced with increased pressure to deliver a large variety and volume of products efficiently to consumers. Market competition creates pressure to develop and release new or innovative products‚ which shorten the shelf life of products (Xiao‚ Jin‚ Chen‚ Shi‚ Xie‚ 2010). Shortened shelf life and increased demand presents a problem for supply chain managers. First‚ the timeline for production to market products is shortened (Eroglu‚ Williams & Waller‚ 2011). Second‚ market replenishment
Premium Management Supply chain management Inventory
MANAGEMENT AND FORECASTING CHAPTER 1 JF607 MANUFACTURING PROCESS MANAGEMENT 1.1 Describe management in manufacturing 1.1.1 Define the term of management 1.1.2 Describe the basic functions of management a. Planning b. Organizing c. Staffing d. Directing e. Controlling MANUFACTURING PROCESS MANAGEMENT 1.2 Explain organization and planning 1.2.1 Define the basic principle of an organization and terms of organization a. Authority b. Duties c. Responsibility d. Accountability
Premium Management Planning Forecasting
| | |1. Smith Machine Parts |Forecasting | | | |2. Independent Questions |Forecasting | | | |3. Product X |Forecasting | | | |4. Seaside Inc
Premium Forecasting Regression analysis Linear regression
10/28/2010 | | Dell Co. Marketing Plan | C.E.O Patrick Eversull C.F.O. Anthony Chapman C.O.O. Thomas Jackson President of Tactics Stephen Miclette C.E.O Patrick Eversull C.F.O. Anthony Chapman C.O.O. Thomas Jackson President of Tactics Stephen Miclette Executive Summary For many years the Dell Corporation has been the fastest growing entity in the computer industry and is considered a pioneer in direct marketing. With the Pc industry being such a unique industry with its super
Premium Personal computer Dell
MANAGEMENT SUBMITTED BY INFORMATIVE ABSTRACT This case study is based on the supply chain management of two notable PC manufacturing MNCs‚ Hewlett-Packard and Dell. The objective of this case study is to compare the effectiveness of the standardized process followed by HP to the innovative process of Dell‚ The Direct Model. DESCRIPTIVE ABSTRACT A comparative case study was done between two electronics giants Hewlett-Packard (HP) and Dell.inc‚ on their supply chain management
Premium Supply chain management Hewlett-Packard Dell
PART II: SWOT ANALYSIS1‚ 2‚ 3‚ 4 Assessment of Environment of Company INTRODUCTION Dell is one of the leading Computer hardware and software providing company. It offers a broad range of products and services. Products include desktop PCs‚ servers‚ networking products‚ storage‚ mobility products‚ software‚ peripherals and services include technical IT support‚ IT infrastructure development and consultation. Dell has been a pioneer of e- commerce as it was one of the first leading companies who extensively
Premium Personal computer Strategic management Dell