Demand Forecasting Demand forecasting • Why is it important • How to evaluate • Qualitative Methods • Causal Models • Time-Series Models • Summary Production and operations management Product Development long term medium term short term Product portifolio Purchasing Manufacturing Distribution Supply network designFacility Partner selection location Distribution network design and layout Derivatuve Supply Demand forecasting is product developmentcontract the starting ? point
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Answers:- Technologies in SCM:- 1. Enterprise Resource Planning. 2. Warehouse Management systems 3. Transportation Scheduling Systems 4. Manufacturing Execution Systems 5. Customer Relation Management 6. Order Management Systems 7. Demand Planning 8. Procurement Planning Name of the sogftwares those are available in the market 1. Enterprises Resources Planning ( ERP) A. Total ERP B. Oracle 11i ERP or Enterprise Resource Planning software provides and cover variety of essential
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DEMAND & FORCASTING Founded as a single store in 1960‚ Domino’s Pizza today stands as the recognized world leader in pizza delivery. From the beginning‚ we have been dedicated to the best of service‚ quality products and delivery excellence. They currently have over 9000 stores worldwide‚ all dedicated to providing great-tasting pizza delivered directly to your door or available for carryout. They have pioneered the pizza delivery business‚ and sell more than 400 million pizzas worldwide
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Integrated Planning – Module 2 1 Agenda • Forecasting‚ • Factors influencing Demand • Basic Demand Patterns • Basic Principles of Forecasting • Principles of Data Collection • Basic Forecasting Techniques‚ Seasonality • Sources & Types of Forecasting Errors Forecasting can be conducted at various levels Strategic Required for • Product life cycle • Long-term capacity planning • Capital asset/equipment/ human resource management Examples • Product line transitions • Annual volume out
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Vol. 10‚ No. 3‚ May 2010‚ pp. 142–145 issn 1532-0545 10 1003 0142 informs ® doi 10.1287/ited.1100.0048cs © 2010 INFORMS I N F O R M S Transactions on Education Case Forecasting Beer Demand at Anadolu Efes Murat Köksalan Department of Industrial Engineering‚ Middle East Technical University‚ Ankara 06531‚ Turkey koksalan@ie.metu.edu.tr Selin Özpeynirci ˙ ˙ Department of Industrial Systems Engineering‚ Izmir University of Economics‚ Izmir 35330‚ Turkey‚ selin.ozpeynirci@ieu
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UNIT 6 DEMAND ESTIMATION AND FORECASTING Objectives By studying this unit‚ you should be able to: identify a wide range of demand estimation and forecasting methods; apply these methods and to understand the meaning of the results; understand the nature of a demand function; identify the strengths and weaknesses of the different methods; understand that demand estimation and forecasting is about minimising risk. Structure 6.1 6.2 6.3 6.4 6.5 6.6 6.7 6.8 6.9 Introduction Estimating Demand Using
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CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION Demand forecasting refers to the prediction or estimation of a future situation under given constraints. Demand Forecasting is the activity of estimating the quantity of a product or service that consumers will purchase. Demand forecasting involves techniques including both informal methods‚ such as educated guesses‚ and quantitative methods‚ such as the use of historical sales data or current data from test markets. Demand forecasting may be used in making pricing decisions
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Demand Estimation Demand Curve Estimation ■ Simple Linear Demand Curves ■ The best estimation method balances marginal costs and marginal benefits. ■ Simple linear relations are useful for demand estimation. ■ Using Simple Linear Demand Curves ■ Straight-line relations give useful approximations. Identification Problem ■ Changing Nature of Demand Relations ■ Demand relations are dynamic. ■ Interplay of Supply and Demand ■ Economic
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PEPSICO‚ INC. Custom Supply-Chain Planning Solution Enables PepsiCo to Optimize Manufacturing and Distribution against Seasonal Sales Demand PEPSICO BUSINESS NEEDS AND CHALLENGES PepsiCo approached PCA‚ seeking improvements to how they managed their supply-chain planning and forecasting operations — their ability to optimize manufacturing‚ distribution and warehousing of hundreds of different beverage products and snack foods against seasonal sales projections across European‚ Middle East and
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Although demand forecasting is usually the responsibility of the sales and/or marketing functions‚ it is a very important input into the capacity planning and control decision‚ and so is of interest to operations managers. After all‚ without an estimate of future demand it is not possible to plan effectively for future events‚ only to react to them. It is therefore important to understand the basis and rationale for these demand forecasts. As far as capacity planning and control is concerned‚ there
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