Chapter 6 Forecasting Case Problem 2: Forecasting Lost Sales 1. The data used for the forecast is the Carlson sales data for the 48 months preceding the storm. Using the trend and seasonal method‚ the seasonal indexes and forecasts of sales assuming the hurricane had not occurred are as follows: Month Seasonal Index Month Forecast ($ million) January 0.957 September 2.16 February 0.819 October 2.54 March 0.907 November 3.06 April 0.929 December 4.60 May 1.011 June 0.937 July 0.936
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continue moving by‚ more ominous clouds replace their predecessors‚ making the world around me darker and darker. The temperature is cool and the breeze is stronger than it was earlier. I hear thunder rumbling in the distance‚ a normal precursor to a storm. The thunder seems like a would be stalker approaching from the darkness‚ only his footsteps are so loud it shakes the earth and rattles the windows‚ demanding its
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or more strikes per minute at its peak.[2] Lightning is usually produced by cumulonimbus clouds based 5–6 km (3-4 mi) above the ground and that are themselves up to 15 km (9 mi) in height. Lightning also occurs during snow storms (thundersnow)‚ volcanic eruptions‚ dust storms‚ forest fires or tornadoes.[3][4] Hurricanes typically generate some lightning‚ mainly in the rainbands as much as 160 km (100 mi) from the center.[5][6][7] When the local electric field exceeds the dielectric strength of damp
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TORNADO SYNOPSIS OF THE EL RENO TORNADO Introduction Tornadoes are violent storms that look like black‚ funnel shaped clouds. The wind of these storms can reach a speed of 500 kilometers per hour (310 miles per hour). Tornadoes are capable of destroying everything on their path. Tornadoes are usually the extreme result of a very large thunderstorm called a supercell. During the storm cold air and warm air combine. The cold air goes drops as the warm air rises. The warm air eventually twists
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THE BEAST OF THE SOUTHERN WILD MELANIE GARRISON DR REGINA WEBB PRINCIPLES OF MANAGEMENT‚ SECTION 201 20 November 2014 TABLE OF CONTENTS TABLE OF CONTENTS……………………………………………………………..1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY………………………………………………………..3-5 PROBLEM IDENTIFICATION AND ANALYSIS………………………….6-7 STATEMENT OF MAJOR PROBLEM………………………………………8 GENERAL AND EVALUATION OF ALTERNATIVE SOLUTIONS…9 RECOMMENDATIONS…………………………………………………………10
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said “tomorrow will be a bright day‚ you will see.” This is the first memory I have of a thunderstorm. As I grew older I became more familiar with thunderstorms‚ they are really common in Santa Cruz‚ Bolivia. After that night I wait for another storm to came‚ and when it finally happened I couldn’t stop watching. I sat in the living room‚ right by my mom’s side‚ watching the water pour down through the window. She happily watched the rain and thought me to wait for the white light that illuminated
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When tornadoes hit‚ they can cause massive destruction to personal property or people who happen to be in its path. Today we’re going to talk about what to do to prepare your family for tornado weather. The two best things you can do are: Be informed. Listen to the local weather station‚ check Google for weather‚ or check the weather on your phone. Also‚ allowing severe weather alerts on your phone allows you to get tornado watch messages when the weather is turning and tornado warnings when a
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the storm. Most of them froze to death‚ and some made it home. While there is no absolute answer‚ there is an estimated 250-500 deaths from the storm. This is why the number of deaths was so high” (Laskin 9). Not all the deaths were of children. Some of the deaths came from farmers that also got caught in the midst of the storm. Some other deaths came from the mothers looking for their children. Not all the children persevered‚ many of them stayed back at school to try to circumvent the storm. With
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Little did the sailors know that the gentle wind that they were experiencing was just the calm before the storm. Meteorologists explain that hurricanes sap energies in the atmosphere to produce a calm right before the storm. Not long after they sailed from Fair haven‚ a fierce hurricane called the ‘Northeaster’ swept down from the Crete and its mountains. It was strong and after the ship was caught in it‚ steering was impossible. The sailors lost control to the wind and the ship was driven out to
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for shelter immediately. During a severe thunderstorm one of the safest places you should seek shelter is inside your car. However‚ if your car is not an option‚ you should look for a small cave‚ or large rock that could provide shelter until the storm passes. In the winter season some of the most popular lodging accommodations in Ashville are the local ski resorts. Most of the resorts offer many outdoor activities including skiing‚ snowboarding‚ and snow tubing. However‚ some of the weather conditions
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