2010 Words of Probability ISHIGURO‚ Makio(The Institute of Statistical Mathematics) Words of Probability ISHIGURO‚ Makio(The Institute of Statistical Mathematics) Key Words: subjective probability‚ confidence‚ belief‚ frequency‚ verbal expression Abstract There are everyday expressions such that ’probably’; ’might be’;’could be’ etc.‚ to describe the strengths of one’s confidence in the occurrence of events in the future. On the other hand there are probability theory expressions
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1. In a pen factory there is a small chance 1/500 for any pen to be defective. The pens are supplied in packs of 10. Use this probability to calculate the approximate number of packets containing no defective‚ one defective and two defective pens‚ respectively in a consignment of 20‚000 packets [ e^(--0.02) =0.9802 ] Ans. : 19604‚ 392‚ 3.92=4 respectively 2. A manufacturer who produces medicine bottles finds that 0.1% of the bottles are defective. The bottles are packed in the boxes
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TEM1116 Probability and Statistics Tri1 2013/14 Chapter 1 Chapter 1: Discrete and Continuous Probability Distributions Section 1: Probability Contents: 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 Some basics of probability theory Axioms‚ Interpretations‚ and Properties of Probability Counting Techniques and Probability Conditional Probability Independence TEM1116 1 TEM1116 Probability and Statistics Tri1 2013/14 Chapter 1 1.1 Basics of Probability Theory Probability refers to the study
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consumer behavior and marketing concept Marketing comprises of all the activities and tasks undertaken to promote and sell the product to the end consumer. It encompasses a wide array of techniques that can be used to push the product/service to the consumer and get them to pay for the same. Marketing can also be done for non-selling objectives like brand awareness‚ recognition‚ brand image enhancement etc. In essence‚ marketing concept creates a value for the customer and communicates it effectively
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Probability theory Probability: A numerical measure of the chance that an event will occur. Experiment: A process that generates well defined outcomes. Sample space: The set of all experimental outcomes. Sample point: An element of the sample space. A sample point represents an experimental outcome. Tree diagram: A graphical representation that helps in visualizing a multiple step experiment. Classical method: A method of assigning probabilities that is appropriate when all the experimental
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Expected Monetary Value In a business environment‚ we frequently use probabilities to assess alternative financial decisions Example 1: A coin is tossed ten times. When a head is obtained‚ €4 is won. When a tail is obtained‚ €2 is lost Calculate the expected winnings. Outcome HEAD TAIL Winnings €4 -€2 Probability 0.5 0.5 Expected winnings in one toss: Expected Monetary Value (or just Expected Value (EV) = €1 Note: You never actually receive
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Question 1 – Develop an awareness of the client situation (a) List five (5) topics you would discuss with Sarah and Stan at your first meeting. Why are these topics important? Give a brief reason for the need to discuss each topic. (Each discussion topic: 1 mark each ‚ Reason: 1 mark each) 10 marks 1. Personal Details As a financial planning organisation we are subject to certain legislative and regulatory requirements which necessitate us to obtain personal information about Sarah
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Chapter 1 The Problem and Its Background Introduction Changes are permanent thing on earth. Are the people is ready enough to accept the changes on the educational system? The current opening of classes here in the Philippines usually starts from June to March but our lawmakers want to amend the opening of classes. The existing school calendar which spans from June to March is often disrupted as destructive typhoons plague the region during the rainy season that’s why our lawmakers decided to
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Concept and basics of probability sampling methods One of the most important issues in researches is selecting an appropriate sample. Among sampling methods‚ probability sample are of much importance since most statistical tests fit on to this type of sampling method. Representativeness and generalize-ability will be achieved well with probable samples from a population‚ although the matter of low feasibility of a probable sampling method or high cost‚ don’t allow us to use it and shift us to the
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the values and mission statement help to shape planning. Also give some internal and external factors that may influence the business in the future and explain how they will influence the business. Respond substantively to two other learners. 1. Dunkin’ Donuts Dunkin Donuts core and distinctive competence is the ability to market and sell baked goods and coffee. The Dunkin Donuts mission statement is“Dunkin’ Donuts will strive to be the dominant retailer of high quality donuts‚ bakery
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