Chapter 1 The Probability in Everyday Life In This Chapter Recognizing the prevalence and impact of probability in your everyday life Taking different approaches to finding probabilities Steering clear of common probability misconceptions You’ve heard it‚ thought it‚ and said it before: “What are the odds of that happening?” Someone wins the lottery not once‚ but twice. You accidentally run into a friend you haven’t seen since high school during a vacation in Florida. A cop pulls you over the
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Introduction: The purpose of this lab is to apply Mendel’s laws to predict the probability of the occurrence of a single event‚ of two independent events and of certain traits in offspring of parents exhibiting traits. Gregor Mendel was an Austrian monk in 1866‚ who studied how traits were passed using pea plants. From his studies of inheritance‚ he created three laws of inheritance: the law of dominance‚ the law of segregation‚ and the law of independent assortment. He called genes ‘’factors’’
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differences between classical and empirical probabilities. a. Classical probabilities are based on assumptions; Empirical probabilities are based on observations. b. Classical probabilities do not require an action to take place; Empirical probabilities have to have been “performed”. 2) Gather 16 to 30 coins. Shake and empty bag of coins 10 times and tally up how many head and tails are showing. Number of coins: 20 * Consider the first toss‚ what is the observed probability of tossing
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Chapter 6 Continuous Probability Distributions Case Problem: Specialty Toys 1. Information provided by the forecaster At x = 30‚000‚ [pic] [pic] Normal distribution [pic] [pic] 2. @ 15‚000 [pic] P(stockout) = 1 - .1635 = .8365 @ 18‚000 [pic] P(stockout) = 1 - .3483 = .6517 @ 24‚000 [pic] P(stockout) = 1 - .7823 = .2177 @ 28‚000 [pic]
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1 Why probability and statistics? Is everything on this planet determined by randomness? This question is open to philosophical debate. What is certain is that every day thousands and thousands of engineers‚ scientists‚ business persons‚ manufacturers‚ and others are using tools from probability and statistics. The theory and practice of probability and statistics were developed during the last century and are still actively being refined and extended. In this book we will introduce the basic notions
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Probability Distribution Memo To: Howard Gray‚ CEO; Jean Dubois‚ VP Mechanical Watch Division; Uma Gardner‚ VP Production; Amanda Hamilton‚ VP Marketing After identifying the business problem of falling sales and an increase in rejections by the Swiss Official Chronometer Control‚ conducting a study for research will prove to identify a solution. Researchers performed a study of a sample population of 500 people. The study reveals 60% of the watches purchased are certified and the average
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Even if the sample size is more than 1000‚ we cannot always use the normal approximation to binomial. Solution: If a sample is n>30‚ we can say that sample size is sufficiently large to assume normal approximation to binomial curve. Hence the statement is false. #2 A salesperson goes door-to-door in a residential area to demonstrate the use of a new Household appliance to potential customers. She has found from her years of experience that after demonstration‚ the probability of purchase
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the scripts in blackboard to create the tables in your own oracle space. It is your choice how you want to do this – just make sure that if you create the tables in your own directory that you do not change the data. [6 pts] 1. How many different jobs are listed in the POS table? [8 pts] 2. How many publishers fall into each of the three credit codes? [10 pts] 3. List the jobid‚ podate‚ custid‚ and name for any jobs with purchase orders dated (podate) since February 1‚ 2006. [10
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2009‚ but the sample sizes were not reported. Suppose the results‚ based on a sample of 100 males and 100 females‚ were as follows:If a respondent is selected at random‚ what is the probability that he or she a. prefers to order at the drive-through? b. is a male and prefers to order at the drive-through? c. is a male or prefers to order at the drive-through? d. Explain the difference in the results in (b) and (c). e. Given that a respondent is a male‚ what is the probability that he prefers
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Probability Concepts 1. Fundamental Concepts of Probability 2. Mutually Exclusive and Collectively Exhaustive 3. Statistically Independent and Dependent Events 4. Bayes’Theorem Learning Objectives • Understand the basic foundations of probability analysis • Learn the probability rules for conditional probability and joint probability • Use Bayes’ theorem to establish posterior probabilities Reference: Text Chapter 2 Introduction • Life is uncertain; we are note sure what the
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