Decision Analysis Page 1 of 4 Decision Analysis Donna L. Christian‚ Strayer University Winter Quarter (MAT 540) Instructor: Mune Lokesh March 11‚ 2012 Decision Analysis Page 2 of 4 In business today‚ many decision-making situations occur under conditions of uncertainty. The demand for a product can be one number this week and double that number next week or vice versa. There are several decision-making techniques to aid the decision maker in dealing with these types of uncertainties
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Contents Introduction p‚ 2 Management Decisions p‚ 2-3 Strategic p‚ 2 Tactical p‚ 2 Operational p‚ 2 Structured and unstructured p‚ 3 The decision Making process p‚ 3-4 Normative Model p‚ 3 Descriptive Model p‚ 3‚ 4 Factors Affecting Decision Making p‚ 5 Internal Factors External Factors Conclusion p‚ 6 Recommendations p‚ 6 Reference List p‚ 7 Appendix 1 p‚ 8 Appendix 2 p‚ 9 Introduction Paragon is a decentralized organisation as it has relatively few layers of
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Decision Tree Analysis Choosing Between Options by Projecting Likely Outcomes Decision Trees are useful tools for helping you to choose between several courses of action. They provide a highly effective structure within which you can explore options‚ and investigate the possible outcomes of choosing those options. They also help you to form a balanced picture of the risks and rewards associated with each possible course of action. This makes them particularly useful for choosing between different
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3 – Decision Analysis 1 Decision analysis is concerned with establishing systematic procedures for making decisions under uncertainty. Knowledge of decision analysis should help analyze a problem in a complicated and uncertain setting‚ to develop alternatives‚ and to identify possible outcomes. The decision maker then selects the alternative that best meets his or her objectives and psychological desires. Decision analysis is important because it provides decision makers with a rational way
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there are many decisions which have to be made. One such decision opportunity arose about one week ago. The question was what to do with a major cable which is in the way of a guard rail that the Department of Transportation is installing. In this paper‚ the decision on what to do with this cable will be solved using a decision tree. The discussion will include the major factors involved in making the decision and also show how the final decision was made. Decision tree The decision tree is an effective
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Question 1: Which biases in decision making can be identified in the performances of both Pieterson and Gack? How can the identified biases be overcome? In general‚ the decision making style for manager approach decision making is toward rational and intuitive thinking. In rational thinking a person consider the problem in a rational‚ step-by-step and analytical way. Rational thinking person will resolve a complex and complicated problem into smaller part and then resolve them in a rational‚
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Topic: Some people make decisions quickly. Others arrive at decisions only after long‚ careful thought. Which type of decision do you most often make? Use specific details and examples to support your answer. There is an European proverb says “Each person’s life is a series of decisions”‚ which means that our decisions will have big effects on our life‚ including good ones and bad ones. To decide truly and then make my life better‚ I often arrive at decisions only after long‚ careful thought
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Imagine being judged‚ people thinking they know the whole story‚ just for them to find out that they really know nothing at all. Alice was taken when she was ten years old‚ by a man named Ray. She has to face many extremely difficult decisions and throughout these decisions she shows her true colors. Alice proves that she is not broken when she decides to save Lucy from their kidnapper rather than escape herself. Alice is a living dead girl‚ living each day feeling as if she is being suffocated
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Programmed decisions . Programmed decisions are made in routine‚ repetitive‚ well-structured situations with predetermined decision rules. These may be based on habit‚ or established policies‚ rules and procedures and stem from prior experience or technical knowledge about what works or does not work in a given situation. For example‚ organisations often have standardised routines for handling customer complaints or employee discipline. Decisions are programmed to the extent that they are repetitive
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Tracey Lindsey Week 1-Case Analysis Managerial Decision Making January 8‚ 2012 1. Define the decision problem. The decision problem is not having a location for the user’s conference due to Hurricane Katrina. 2. As part of defining the decision problem‚ the following questions should be addressed: o What is the general nature of the problem? The general nature of the problem is not having a location due to Katrina and having to make last minute adjustments on whether to continue
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