2 Issues Raised Drug development issues – selecting a portfolio of products In-house versus Licensing issues Types of risks – Target risk‚ Mechanism risk‚ Molecule risk‚ Market risk Real options analysis Team 2 - Vertex Pharmaceuticals case 3 Which of the 4 project portfolio options currently facing Vertex do you favor? VX-148: least scientific sizzle (IMPDH is a ‘validated target’; Vertex wants breakthroughs)‚ already similar drugs on market‚ 2.7 million people affected by psoriasis
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Professor: José Tudela Martins Students: João Pedro Jesus‚ Maria Kostyunina & Marta Gonçalves Agenda • • • • • • Problem Statement Antamina Project Overview Assumptions Prices Forecast DCF Valuation: 3 Scenarios Options Valuation Real Options Option to Abandon • Re‐valuation according to changes Expropriation Block Funds • Main Conclusions Location of Antamina Problem Statement How much is Antamina worth? Impact of a 5% per year risk of expropriation or a possibility of a two
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Case #1 Executive summary Our company operates in a small but lucrative market. We make expensive hi-tech widgets. Due to one of the broadest product portfolios in the market we have a sustainable‚ long-term relationship with our customers. The market we operate in is narrow from both customers and competitors’ perspective. At this point in time we command approximately 40% market share‚ while our closest competitor holds 25%. The remaining 35% is divided between 6 other major competitors. From
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Differences between APV and option valuation Valuing MW Acquisition by using APV method assumes in practice that exploiting of all MW’s reserves is certain and happens right after the acquisition. In other words‚ the APV method excludes the flexibility in future decision making. In this case‚ Apache has both an option to defer the exploiting of reserves into future and Apache may also choose not to exploit the MW reserves at all. As some of MW’s reserves are actually real options‚ the APV valuation method
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decision. We have formatted this formal report to be easy to understand‚ as well as‚ comprehensive. Analysis Methods Net Present Value Decision Tree Analysis Black-Scholes Model We used the above methods to determine the appropriate value of the option for the sequel rights under each scenario. This value can be looked at as the maximum price to pay‚ given that it is the highest value you can expect to earn. If the agreed upon per-film price exceeded the derived values‚ you will be out-of-the-money
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The Youth Criminal Justice Act contains non-custodial sentencing options that are not available to adults. State each of these options and argue whether or not they are appropriate for youths and not for adults. Sentencing Option 42 (2) (a) Sentencing option 42(2) under the Youth Criminal Justice Act is to reprimand the young person. Reprimand is a severe reproof or rebuke in this case by a person of authority. -This option is appropriate for the youth than it is for the adults for many reasons
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- Summarize the viewpoints given in the option. In other words‚ what are the ins and outs of the option? This ideology believed that abolitionism did not have to be violent and could be quickly as long as the slave owners were requited. This would include a sort of “buying” the slaves and then letting them free. This would leave the old slave owners compensated and would allow the slaves to go free. Along with no violence this is an ideal solution. Although this idea sounds perfect‚ there were
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times more often than commuters in the rest of the country” (Ginsburg). Yet‚ most commuters in our area still prefer to drive themselves to work. When weighing the option to either drive yourself to work or carpool‚ it would be smart to consider the benefits and drawbacks of both‚ as well as to take an inventory of how each option fits your priorities‚ goals‚ and preferences. A carpool is made up of two or more people who share a ride. The obvious benefits of carpooling include reduced
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is a very controversial topic in the news today. The people who think medical marijuana should be legal believe that it could help with symptoms of many diseases and disorders‚ like epilepsy‚ AIDS‚ and even cancer. (“Should Marijuana Be a Medical Option?” :ProCon‚ “Medical Marijuana”: Drug Policy Alliance) The people who think medical marijuana is bad believe that if the drug is made legal‚ it will just encourage people to abuse it‚ making its symptoms‚ like slow reaction time‚ poor memory‚ rapid
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Investors” published in SEBI-NCAER 8 9. Lalit Mohan Kathuria and Kanika Singhania(2010) “Investor Knowledge and Investment Practices of Private Sector Bank Employees” published in The Indian journal of commerce 10 11. N. Kathirvel (2009)“Investment Option with Reference to Insurance Products” published in SOUTHERN ECONOMIST 12 13. N. Geetha and Dr. M. Ramesh(2011) “A study on People’s Preferences in Investment Behaviour” published in the IJEMR‚ Vol 1‚ Issue 6 APPENDIX A
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