DETERMINANTS OF EXCHANGE RATE FLUCTUATIONS FOR VENEZUELA: APPLICATION OF AN EXTENDED MUNDELL-FLEMING MODEL HSING‚ Yu* Abstract Applying and extending the Mundell-Fleming model‚ this study attempts to examine the behavior of short-term real exchange rates for Venezuela. It finds that the real effective exchange rate is positively associated with real government deficit spending and negatively influenced by real M2‚ the world interest rate‚ county risk‚ and the expected inflation rate. Hence‚ the
Premium Inflation Monetary policy Foreign exchange market
Exchange rate movement has been an important subject of macroeconomic analysis and market surveillance. Despite its importance‚ forecasting the exchange rate level has been a challenge for academics and market practitioners since the collapse of the Bretton Woods system. Empirical results from many of the exchange rate forecasting models in the literature have not yielded satisfactory results. This paper is constructed for the purpose of comparing the forecast performance of various competing models
Premium Inflation Exchange rate Foreign exchange market
Exchange rate determination is Two-way process and following are factors that Influence Exchange Rates Floating rates are determined by the market forces of supply and demand. How much demand there is in relation to supply of a currency will determine that currency ’s value in relation to another currency. For example‚ if the demand for U.S. dollars by Europeans increases‚ the supply-demand relationship will cause an increase in price of the U.S. dollar in relation to the euro. There are countless
Premium Foreign exchange market Central bank Inflation
Introduction – Determinants of Exchange rate ................................................................................. 3 2 Research papers .............................................................................................................................. 4 2.1 Paper -1: Determinants of Exchange Rate Movements ............................................................. 4 2.2 Paper -2: Macroeconomic Determinants of Real Exchange Rates ............................
Premium Inflation Exchange rate Purchasing power parity
BAO3402 INTERNATIONAL BAKING AND FINANCE GROUP ASSIGNMENT SEMSTER ONE 2013 GROUP MEMBER: SHANSHAN XU 3899722 KUN ZHANG 3812402 LIQIAO LV 3899729 DATE: 03/05/2013 Table of content The General Business Environment For General Motors Company (GM) General Motors (GM) was founded in 1908 ‚ headquartered in City of Detroit‚ since William Durant created General Motors‚ it has combined or merged with
Premium Royal Dutch Shell International economics Inflation
LABUAN SCHOOL OF INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS AND FINANCE UNIVERSITI MALAYSIA SABAH LABUAN INTERNATIONAL CAMPUS GB30703 INTERNATIONAL MONEY AND CAPITAL MARKETS INTEREST RATE AND EXCHANGE RATE POLICIES SEMESTER 1‚ 2013/2014 PREPARED TO: MR. RICKY CHIA CHEE JIUN PREPARED BY: NO. NAME MATRIC NO. HP. NO. 1 MUHAMMAD RIDZWAN BIN ABD RAHMAN BG11110337 013-6604707 SUBMISSION DATE: 10th DECEMBER 2013 Table of Contents LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS ADF
Premium Foreign exchange market Monetary policy Currency
neither fixed nor flexible exchange rate system. China has announced in 2005 the “end of its firm peg against the dollar‚ instead allowing it to trade within a narrow band against a basket of currencies.” China regime is managed floating system where the currency increases very slowly year by year and the China government prevent the currency from changing quickly in the short term. The reason why Chinese government intervene in the currency market is to lower exchange rate to increase employment‚
Premium Foreign exchange market Bretton Woods system United States dollar
fiscal policy designers should opt for a flexible exchange rate system. Nations‚ however‚ which do not have such policy makers should opt instead for a fixed exchange rate system. When attempting to stabilize an economy‚ monetary policy is the most efficient weapon that policymakers possess (Weerapana‚ 2003). In other words‚ it is much simpler to enact monetary policy than fiscal (Weerapana‚ 2003). Some nations benefit from a fixed exchange rate system‚ however. Nations such as Brazil‚ Kenya and
Premium Inflation Bretton Woods system Monetary policy
EFFECT OF INTEREST RATE ON FOREIGHN EXCHANGE RATE (EVIDENCE FROM ASIAN REGION) ABSTRACT: In this article we investigate the impact of a change in U.S. short term interest rates relative to those in some Asian countries like Bangladesh‚ Thailand‚ Japan‚ Pakistan‚ and China on the bilateral foreign exchange rates between the U.S dollar and each country’s currency. Several factors determine the exchange rate of a country. A higher currency makes a country’s exports more expensive and imports cheaper
Premium Foreign exchange market Exchange rate Inflation
to volatile exchange rate because volatility increases exchange rate risk. If the participants in international trade are aware about exchange rate risks‚ they may prefer to switch to domestic activities where profits are relatively less uncertain rather than continuing trading in foreign markets. Alternatively‚ international traders may attempt to use forward foreign exchange markets in order to hedge against any possible losses. EXCHANGE RATE SYSTEM IN INDIA The exchange rate regime in our
Premium Inflation Foreign exchange market United States dollar