Chapter 1 1 Chapter 1 I 1.1 Chapter Outline A Decision Tree Model and Its Analysis • The following concepts are introduced through the use of a simple decision tree example (the Bill Sampras ’ summer job decision): Decision tree Decision node Event node Mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive set of events Branches and final values Expected Monetary Value (EMV) Optimal decision strategy • Introduction of the folding back or backward induction procedure for solving a decision tree
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Ethical Decisions and Responsibility Richard DeSordi Law‚ Ethics And Corporate Governance Professor Everett L. Bensten‚ Esq. February 13‚ 2013 Ethical Decisions and Responsibility Running a large corporation or organization will always be challenging. Making sure it is being run ethically with profitability only enhances the challenge. To be effective‚ ethical and profitable Dr. DoRight will need to be able to uphold the “Hippocratic Oath” (Hippocratic Oath‚ 2013) and identify who he and
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1) Is it important for organizations‚ managers‚ employees to practice sound ethical decision making? Why or why not? Yes‚ it is important because not only do they hold their company’s reputation on the line they also are responsible for the lives of the people that are working for them and the environment that they are working in. When an unethical decision is made it can be penalized with fines and even jail time depending on the severity of the situation. 2) What are the 4 types of corporate
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Decision Trees for Decision Making The management of a company that I shall call Stygian Chemical Industries‚ Ltd.‚ must decide whether to build a small plant or a large one to manufacture a new product with an expected market life of ten years. The decision hinges on what size the market for the product will be. Possibly demand will be high during the initial two years but‚ if many initial users find the product unsatisfactory‚ will fall to a low level thereafter. Or high initial demand might
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A M BORISON Applied Decision Analysis. Inc. 27W Sand Hill Road Mcnio Park. California 94025 Oglethorpe Power Corporation (OPC) provides wholesale power to consumer-owned distribution cooperatives in Georgia. Late in 1990‚ OPC managers learned that Florida Power Corporation wanted to expand its connections to Georgia with another transmission line. To decide whether to build this line‚ OPC worked with Applied Decision Analysis‚ Inc. to conduct a comprehensive decision analysis in less than two
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are many decisions which have to be made. One such decision opportunity arose about one week ago. The question was what to do with a major cable which is in the way of a guard rail that the Department of Transportation is installing. In this paper‚ the decision on what to do with this cable will be solved using a decision tree. The discussion will include the major factors involved in making the decision and also show how the final decision was made. Decision tree The decision tree is an effective
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Decision Tree A decision tree is a schematic tree shaped diagram which is used to determine a course of action or statistical probability. Each branch of the decision tree represents a possible decision or occurrence. A decision tree is important to use when planning the festival because we be able to see all of the possible outcomes for all of the options before investing and going ahead with them. From the decision tree we will be able to see how much can be made and how much can be lost when investing
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Decision Tree Analysis Choosing Between Options by Projecting Likely Outcomes Decision Trees are useful tools for helping you to choose between several courses of action. They provide a highly effective structure within which you can explore options‚ and investigate the possible outcomes of choosing those options. They also help you to form a balanced picture of the risks and rewards associated with each possible course of action. This makes them particularly useful for choosing between different
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What did you do? To get a deeper insight into creating decision trees on the laptop‚ I started to inform myself about possible supporting tools that can be used. As I am using an Apple MacBook‚ I found out that the software “XMind” cannot just help for drawing decision trees‚ but also for developing flowing charts‚ mind maps or to-do-lists. I thought about using Microsoft Excel as a tool for sorting the data. However‚ I finally looked up the necessary information in the given table without using
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Decision Tree Psy/410 The scenario chosen for this portfolio involves a woman seeking help with her addiction to methamphetamines. She wants to free her life from drugs but does not know how or where to start. Missouri offers several organizations and hotlines to help individuals get clean and sober. Center for addictions‚ SIGMA house‚ and Carol Jones alternative opportunities are all rehabilitation centers that offer both in and outpatient treatment. The Burrell center has a collaboration of
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