Maryland‚ USA Decision Analysis Publication details‚ including instructions for authors and subscription information: http://pubsonline.informs.org A Multiple-Objective Decision Analysis for Terrorism Protection: Potassium Iodide Distribution in Nuclear Incidents Tianjun Feng‚ L. Robin Keller‚ To cite this article: Tianjun Feng‚ L. Robin Keller‚ (2006) A Multiple-Objective Decision Analysis for Terrorism Protection: Potassium Iodide Distribution in Nuclear Incidents. Decision Analysis 3(2):76-93
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10:35 AM Page 96 Chapter 4 DECISION ANALYSIS CONTENTS 4.1 PROBLEM FORMULATION Influence Diagrams Payoff Tables Decision Trees DECISION MAKING WITHOUT PROBABILITIES Optimistic Approach Conservative Approach Minimax Regret Approach DECISION MAKING WITH PROBABILITIES Expected Value of Perfect Information RISK ANALYSIS AND SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS Risk Analysis Sensitivity Analysis DECISION ANALYSIS WITH SAMPLE INFORMATION An Influence Diagram A Decision Tree Decision Strategy Risk Profile Expected
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Psychology Behind a Criminal Mind Usually‚ a person has clear motives for committing a crime. In 1866‚ though‚ Fyodor Dostoevsky examines a man with no clear motives for murder in his Russian crime novel‚ Crime and Punishment. He writes of a man‚ Raskolnikov‚ who overhears some people hypothetically talking of killing an old‚ misanthropic pawnbroker‚ and using her money for better uses than she does herself. Raskolnikov actually considers this thought; then he murders the woman but does not care
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DECISION ANALYSIS Definition: A systematic procedure based on thinking patterns used to make choices in the hopes that they are good ones. It involves considering the Elements of a good choice and weighing them against your MUSTS/WANTS and any risks before making a final decision: The book is full of mumbo jumbo on this‚ but it isn’t rocket science. We do some decision analysis almost every time we take a course of action. 1.Develop a Goal or Decision Statement. ACTION Oriented statement.
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DECISION TREES DECISION Decision trees may be described as the graphic display of the decision-making process. Let us take for example a situation where one must decide whether to go to a movie house or to stay at home and watch TV or a video tape. State of nature node Branches Good movie Decision node Movies Bad Movie Good program TV New program or cassette Poor program Rerun
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Ethical Decisions for Stakeholders: A Practical Application Introduction Organizational culture‚ or the values‚ attitudes and beliefs held by an organization‚ directly impacts all the stakeholders of an organization. This assignment looks at a hypothetical scenario from Strait about a situation at private university. The goal is to determine an ethical decision that has the greatest benefits to the stakeholders in this organizational culture. To lend insight to the university
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Proposal The No Child Left Behind Act‚ a federal social program that tries to encourages after school programs should be eliminated and the extra funds given to schools to decide where it goes. The NCLB Act‚ "was designed to improve education and achievement in America’s schools in four clearly defined ways: accountability for results‚ an emphasis on doing what works based on scientific research‚ expanded parental options and expanded local control flexibility." Basically the Federal government
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Making a Decision Lorraine Gambino HCS/514 January 25‚ 2015 Louis Kastner Making a Decision Planning is a manner of deciding what to do in the present-day that would have an impact on the future and its desired outcomes and making decisions can posses some uncertainty. Planning entails having the right goals and deciding on how to achieve them‚ by making assumptions‚ developing ideas‚ and reviewing alternative methods to achievement. Making a decision for a large organization requires adequate tools
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Celia Behind Me By Isabel Huggan – 1989 The pressure to be perfect‚ to fit in‚ to be part of the group and accepted. These are things the majority of teenagers go through in their early years. At the time it will seem like the most important thing in life and an insecure teenager or child will do whatever it takes to accomplish it. The persistence to achieve the desired social status and acceptance from fellow classmates will often lead to the horror of bullying. Upgrading yourself by downgrading
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management during the decision making so that the factory can run smoothly and increase the production without stressing the workers. First at all‚ the management should be discussing with the other management division such as the union workers before deciding to apply the new proposal among the workers. Even the proposal were came from the employee‚ the management should not ignore other staff since it involve the company performance and future position. Beside that‚ in decision making process‚ the
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