DETERMINANTS OF EXCHANGE RATE FLUCTUATIONS FOR VENEZUELA: APPLICATION OF AN EXTENDED MUNDELL-FLEMING MODEL HSING‚ Yu* Abstract Applying and extending the Mundell-Fleming model‚ this study attempts to examine the behavior of short-term real exchange rates for Venezuela. It finds that the real effective exchange rate is positively associated with real government deficit spending and negatively influenced by real M2‚ the world interest rate‚ county risk‚ and the expected inflation rate. Hence‚ the
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An exchange-rate regime is the way an authority manages its currency in relation to other currencies and the foreign exchange market. It is closely related to monetary policy and the two are generally dependent on many of the same factors. The basic types are 1. Floating exchange rate‚ where the market dictates movements in the exchange rate Floating rates are the most common exchange rate regime today. For example‚ the dollar‚ euro‚ yen‚ and British pound all are floating currencies. However
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INTRODUCTION=Your business is open to risks from movements in competitors ’ prices‚ raw material prices‚ competitors ’ cost of capital‚ foreign exchange rates and interest rates‚ all of which need to be (ideally) managed. This section addresses the task of managing exposure to Foreign Exchange movements. These Risk Management Guidelines are primarily an enunciation of some good and prudent practices in exposure management. They have to be understood‚ and slowly internalised and customised so that
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INTRODUCTION An exchange rate is the price at which one country’s currency must pay in order to buy one unit of another county’s currency on the foreign exchange market. The concept of exchange rate mechanism may be explained as the technique employed by the governments in order to manage and control their respective currencies in the context of the other major currencies of the world. There are 5 exchange rate mechanisms established which each of it is meant to be followed by government regarding
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Assignment Topic 2 AUD/USD Exchange Rate The main movements of the AUD/USD exchange rate in the past eighteen months will be studied‚ as well as the underlying conditions that caused these specific movements to happen. Economic models and theories will be used to support the discussion and to analyse the reason for these fluctuations. Discussion will then take place to whether these movements have been a help or a hindrance to the overall health of the Australian economy. FIGURE 1.0
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Information 4 1.1 Limitations of Analysis 4 2.0 Data analysis 4 2.1 Foreign exchange rate between AUD and USD (AUD/USD) 5 2.2 Foreign exchange rate between RMB and USD (RMB/USD) 7 2.3 Comparison of exchange rates of AUD/USD and RMB/USD 8 3.0 Relationship between AUD/USD and RMB/USD 10 4.0 Hypothesis testing 11 5.0 Factors Analysis 13 5.1 Inflation rate 13 5.2 Interest rate 13 6.0 The effects of exchange rate movements 13 6.1 American dollar depreciation 14 6.2 Australian dollar
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Introduction – Determinants of Exchange rate ................................................................................. 3 2 Research papers .............................................................................................................................. 4 2.1 Paper -1: Determinants of Exchange Rate Movements ............................................................. 4 2.2 Paper -2: Macroeconomic Determinants of Real Exchange Rates ............................
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Exchange rate movement has been an important subject of macroeconomic analysis and market surveillance. Despite its importance‚ forecasting the exchange rate level has been a challenge for academics and market practitioners since the collapse of the Bretton Woods system. Empirical results from many of the exchange rate forecasting models in the literature have not yielded satisfactory results. This paper is constructed for the purpose of comparing the forecast performance of various competing models
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LABUAN SCHOOL OF INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS AND FINANCE UNIVERSITI MALAYSIA SABAH LABUAN INTERNATIONAL CAMPUS GB30703 INTERNATIONAL MONEY AND CAPITAL MARKETS INTEREST RATE AND EXCHANGE RATE POLICIES SEMESTER 1‚ 2013/2014 PREPARED TO: MR. RICKY CHIA CHEE JIUN PREPARED BY: NO. NAME MATRIC NO. HP. NO. 1 MUHAMMAD RIDZWAN BIN ABD RAHMAN BG11110337 013-6604707 SUBMISSION DATE: 10th DECEMBER 2013 Table of Contents LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS ADF
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FIN340 304 Tutorial week 3 Questions 1. How can a central bank use direct intervention to change the value of a currency? Explain why a central bank may desire to smooth exchange rate movements of its currency.. 2. Should the governments of Asian countries allow their currencies to float freely? What would be the advantages of letting their currencies float freely? What would be the disadvantages? 3. What is the impact of a weak home currency on the home economy‚ other things
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