Integrated Planning – Module 2 1 Agenda • Forecasting‚ • Factors influencing Demand • Basic Demand Patterns • Basic Principles of Forecasting • Principles of Data Collection • Basic Forecasting Techniques‚ Seasonality • Sources & Types of Forecasting Errors Forecasting can be conducted at various levels Strategic Required for • Product life cycle • Long-term capacity planning • Capital asset/equipment/ human resource management Examples • Product line transitions • Annual volume out
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11:00A CARMEN CANDELARIA May 3‚ 2013 Table of Contents Introduction 1 Theme 1 Product Line of the Company 3 Industry History and Analysis 3 Major Competitors 4 NAICS Numbers 4 Relative Sales 4 Relative Returns 5 Product Life Cycle 5 Stock Performance 6 Financial Analysis 7 Ratio Analysis 8 Pro forma 8 Assumptions 8 Growth Rate of Sales 9 Asset Acquisitions 9 Financing Needs 9 Conclusion
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Issues 1.1 What is forecasting? Forecasting is the process of making statements about future happenings based on the previous data collected. Forecasting usually is an estimation of the future data‚ happenings‚ trends‚ values‚ etc for the specified date. A commonplace example is estimation of the expected value for some variable of interest at some specified future data. The forecasting is similar to the prediction‚ but more general term. However‚ as the term implies‚ forecasting is not necessarily
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specific number that L L Bean commits with its vendors. Taking the information given in the case into account the ratio would be calculated as follows: Gain= 30-15=15 Loss=15-10=5 Therefore the ratio equals= 5/(5+15) = 0.75. So given this case the company should keep the additional item of inventory‚ only if 0.75 is greater than the probability that the item won’t be needed. 2.The costs and revenues primarily used by L. L. Bean to make decisions include the cost of the item that L. L. Bean pays to
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The PepsiCo‚ Inc.(PEP) was founded in 1965 and is a global food‚ snack and beverage company that encompasses over 22 brands within Pepsi Cola‚ Lay’s‚ Gatorade‚ Tropicana and Quaker Oats and are a vital player in the beverages and foods industry. Their primary sector is based on consumer goods and the company employs approximately 297‚000 people and $60B in revenue. Currently‚ the Chief Executive Officer (CEO) of PepsiCo is Indra K. Nooyi and its headquarters is located in Purchase‚ NY. On 19
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References: Mikesell‚ J. L. (2010). Fiscal administration: Analysis and applications for the public sector (8th ed.: 2010 custom edition). Mason‚ OH: Cengage Learning. Investopedia.com. (n.d). Retrieved May 11‚ 2012 from http://www.investopedia.com/terms/i/irr.asp#axzz1ubymv0Nf Investopedia.com. (n.d). Retrieved
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Theories on Financial Analysis The landmark study of financial analysis is “Security Analysis” by Benjamin Graham (an investment manager) and David Dodd (professor of finance at Columbia). The first edition was 1934‚ about the worst period in the financial history of America. Despite being in the middle of the Great Depression‚ their analysis and recommendations were professional and hard boiled. They distinguished investment from speculation‚ but considered most investments in common stock as speculative
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Qualitative Forecasting Approaches Qualitative forecasting methods are based primarily on human judgement. Quantitative forecasting methods are based primarily on the mathematical modelling of historical data. Here we provide a brief overview of the most important qualitative forecasting approaches. In many environments the time horizon is closely linked to the type of forecasting method used. Longer term and higher level forecasting will often require qualitative forecasting techniques. Such techniques
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CONTENTS 1.0. Introduction 2 2.0. Competitive Priority 3 2.1. The sales division 3 2.2. The cafeteria 4 2.3. The hire branch 5 3.0. FORECASTING 6 3.1. Time series 6 4.0. Discussion 7 4.1. Expend Population 7 4.2. Environmental 8 5.0. Conclusion 8 6.0. Recommendation 错误! 未定义书签。 7.0. References 10 1.1. Introduction Gardening becomes hugely popular in the last decade‚ and this trend will continue. According to Key Note (2014)‚ over the next 5 years‚ a considerable growth of 3.3% in the garden market
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not affect cash flows‚ but it does affect classification within the statement of cash flows. Expensing results in an operating cash ouflow in year one. Capitalization results in an investing cash outflow. 7.2 Self-Constructed Assets. The company should capitalize the full costs of construction‚ including direct labor‚ direct materials‚ and an allocation of overhead (both variable and fixed). Also‚ if interest is incurred during the project‚ interest cost on accumulated average expenditures
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