SCM 485 Exam 1 Review Forecast Notes Supply Chain Management Sequence of activities and organizations involved in producing and delivering a good or service SCM Define by Council of Supply Chain Management Professionals (CSCMP) Supply Chain Management encompasses the planning and management of all activity involved in sourcing and procurement‚ conversion‚ and all logistics management activities. Importantly‚ it also includes coordination and collaboration with channel partners‚ which can
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educated opinions of appropriate persons 1. Delphi method: forecast is developed by a panel of experts who anonymously answer a series of questions; responses are fed back to panel members who then may change their original responses a- very time consuming and expensive b- new groupware makes this process much more feasible 2. Market research: panels‚ questionnaires‚ test markets‚ surveys‚ etc. 3. Product life-cycle analogy: forecasts based on life-cycles of similar
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merchandising‚ design‚ product‚ and inventory specialists. The first step of its creation process is initial conceptualization followed by the preliminary forecasts of total sales. Then forecasts were developed by book. After the layout and pagination of the books‚ initial commitments to vendors were made. The subsequent step is that item forecasts were repeatedly revised and finally the items were fixed. When catalogs were in the hands of customers‚ inventory managers decided on additional commitments
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ADM 3301 Sample Mid-term Exam Duration: 2.5 hours Student name:_______________________ Student No.__________________ INSTRUCTIONS: 1- Write down the exam copy number (that exists at the top right corner of this page) on the identification white card next to your name. 2- Verify that your exam has 9 pages (including this title page). 3- Answer all questions on your examination copy. Use the opposite (blank) side‚ if necessary. Answers or calculations written on the sheet
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Chapter 1 Introduction to Operations Management True/False 1. Operations managers are responsible for assessing consumer wants and needs and selling and promoting the organization’s goods or services. Answer: False Page: 4 Difficulty: Easy 2. Often‚ the collective success or failure of companies’ operations functions will impact the ability of a nation to compete with other nations. Answer: True Page: 4 Difficulty: Easy 3. Companies are either producing
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On a recent afternoon at Amador Valley High School in Pleasanton‚ Calif.‚ students sat at picnic tables and bit into McDonald’s cheeseburgers‚ Subway sandwiches and Quiznos flatbreads. They didn’t have to travel far to get their fast-food fix for lunch. In fact‚ they didn’t even have to leave campus. The burgers and sandwiches were available right inside their school cafeteria. As they try to keep pace with student taste‚ lunchrooms across the country have given up meatloaf and mashed potatoes
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graph of the data. On this same graph‚ plot a 12-month moving average forecast. Discuss any apparent trend and seasonal patterns. 2. Use regression to develop a trend line that could be used to forecast monthly sales for the next year. Is the slope of this line consistent with what you observed in question 1? If not‚ discuss a possible explanation. 3. Use the multiplicative decomposition model on these data. Use this model to forecast sales for each month of the next year. Discuss why the slope of the
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STAT 758: Homework #6 Due on Wednesday‚ 11 April‚ 2012 Zaliapin‚ 1:00pm Tracy Backes 1 Tracy Backes STAT 758 (Zaliapin): HW #6 Problem #1 We assume below that Zt ∼ W N (0‚ σ 2 )‚ B is a backshift operator. 6.1 For the model (1 − B)(1 − 0.2B)Xt = (1 − 0.5B)Zt : a) Classify the model as an ARIMA(p‚ d‚ q) process (i.e. find p‚ d‚ q). ARIMA(1‚1‚1) b) Determine whether the process is stationary‚ causal‚ invertible. • The process is stationary if all roots of ϕ(z) are off of the unit
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Business Organization Selection: Subway has now become the world’s largest fast food chain in the world‚ overpassing McDonalds with over 39‚500 restaurants in 102 countries. I felt that the success of this business and the motivating story behind founder Fred DeLuca‚ this was a very aspiring business to select. Deluca and a family friend opened up a sandwich shop in 1965 with only a loan for $1‚000. DeLuca hoped the tiny sandwich shop would earn enough to put him through college. After struggling
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6. At the item level‚ forecasts have to be issued and ultimately purchase commitments have to be made. Problem: the large number of errors (either over stock or under stock) at the item level is disturbing to top management. Estimated costs of lost sales and backorders is about $11 million dollars‚ and liquidation costs associated with having too much of the wrong inventory is an additional $10 million totaling $21 million or 4% of catalog sales. 7. The item forecast process involves a group
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