Managerial Decision Modeling w/ Spreadsheets‚ 3e (Balakrishnan/Render/Stair) Chapter 11 Forecasting Models 11.1 Chapter Questions 1) Consider the following data that was fitted using a Linear Trend. Period Actual value (or) Y Period number (or) X Period 1 10 1 Period 2 11 2 Period 3 9 3 Period 4 12 4 Period 5 13 5 Period 6 12 6 Period 7 15 7 The intercept of the trend line is 8.714‚ and the slope is 0.75. What is the forecast for period 8? A) 13.714 B) 14.714 C) 15.714 D) 16.714 E) 15.75
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products and has over 355 employees. In addition‚ NCO has been having some issues with their supply chain in the past few months and it has affected their customer service. This paper will summarize the case study‚ determine NCO ’s appropriate forecasting technique‚ discuss the impact of aggregate planning‚ weigh NCO ’s various cost factors associated with carrying inventory‚ and make recommendations for improvement. Mr. Williams was approached by his Director of Marketing‚ Mr. Barney Thompson
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“The business world has become more complex and more dynamic. Planning tools are designed for stable environments. Therefore‚ planning should be abandoned. Please‚ comment on this statement.” 1035 Words 2 I. Introduction In today’s increasingly dynamic and complex business world‚ it is important to decide whether to use and trust in planning tools or if one should abandon them because they are made for more stable environments. This essay will give an overview of the planning
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o Supplier improvement strategies • Describe how lean production principles may be used to maximize the efficiency and effectiveness of the electric fan supply chain process. • Select a business forecasting technique (qualitative or quantitative) for the electric fans and describe the forecasting process to be used at Riordan. • Create a sales forecast for electric fans using selected techniques. • Develop Aggregate Production Plan‚ Master Schedule‚ and Materials Requirement Plans for electric
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CASE STUDY Company Background AUGY COLLECTION was established on October 2008 and has been registered under AUGY Enterprise. The company is located at No 14‚ Solok Kg Jawa 1‚ 11950 Bayan Baru‚ Pulau Pinang (10 minutes from Penang International Airport). Dealing with trading business‚ the company started with one type of products ( Bedsheet and Comforter ) only and the covered area is only factory and government office around Penang area. After 6 months company has develop more products and
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potential benefits of a more formalized approach to forecasting? Q2.Prepare a Weekly forecast for the next four weeks for each product. Briefly explain why you chose the methods you used. Forecasting helps to predict the future orders‚ in turns it ensures customers demands are constantly being fulfilled; which eventually makes the customers happy. Forecasting helps the company to remain competitive‚ it reduces inventory costs. Besides‚ forecasting helps to prepare for an increase or drop in sales
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problems assigned or done in class. Forecasting Do forecasting accuracy increase or decrease as the planning horizon increases Do forecasting accuracy increase or decrease as items are grouped (aggregated) What is Delphi method What problems do you see with sales force composite estimate What is causal (associative) forecasting What is time series forecasting What are the components of time series (pp 108-109) Which statistic do we use to choose between two forecasting methods In using simple exponential
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statistics. An exponential smoothing model specific for forecasting was applied. Different weights ranging from 0.3-0.9 were given to the past data to get the precise estimates. Results revealed that a quantity of 7.55 million tons wheat will be surplus in Punjab as the total requirements would be 12.45 million tons for the population of 95.78 million projected for the year 2010-11. Key words: Population‚ production‚ requirement‚ forecasting and Punjab (Pakistan) ----------------------------
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LEITAX CASE ANALYSIS: QUESTION 1 Digital camera market has enjoyed tremendous growth since it was introduced in the photographic industry. Starting in 1998‚ price has been falling rapidly. In addition‚ the development of CMOS allowed digital camera to not only capture professional market‚ but also enter consumer market. It was estimated that in 2006 forecast would peak with 63% penetration rate for digital cameras in the US. After 2006‚ the growth rate was expected to fall negative. Product lives
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shipping applications to meet the increased demand and to ship and market the products. The strategies that will be used will consist of forecasting‚ staffing‚ competition‚ finance‚ and advertising. All of these are used for a successful business. Forecasting is a decision-making tool that aids in budgeting‚ planning‚ and estimating future growth. Forecasting helps to plan for the worst but project for the best outcome. To be prepared to at least break even in tough times‚ but also be ready for
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