Quantitative Methods ADMS 3330 3 0 3330.3.0 Forecasting QMB Chapter 6 © M.Rochon 2013 Quantitative Approaches to Forecasting Are based on analysis of historical data concerning one or more time series. Time series - a set of observations measured at successive points in time‚ or over successive periods of time. If the historical data: • are restricted to past values of the series we are trying to forecast‚ it is a time series method. 1 Components of a Time Series 1)
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The CFO can forecast exchange rates by using either of two approaches‚ fundamental forecasting or technical forecasting. Fundamental forecasting uses trends in economic variables to predict future rates. The data can be plugged into an econometric model or evaluated on a more subjective basis. Technical forecasting uses past trends in exchange rates themselves to spot future trends in rates. Technical forecasters‚ or chartists‚ assume that if current exchange rates reflect all facts in the market
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tactics implemented by management in order to become more competitive and world-class in their operations. Hard Rock Café has clearly made great strides in modernizing their business venue by utilizing sophisticated POS systems with the latest forecasting trends. Some tactics they have implemented include an extensive Point-of-sale system (POS)‚ which captures transaction data on nearly every person who walks through a cafe’s door. The sale of each entrée represents one customer. They forecast monthly
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3 Cost-Volume-Profit Analysis Learning Objectives 1. Explain the features of cost-volumeprofit (CVP) analysis 2. Determine the breakeven point and output level needed to achieve a target operating income 3. Understand how income taxes affect CVP analysis 4. Explain how managers use CVP analysis in decision making 5. Explain how sensitivity analysis helps managers cope with uncertainty 6. Use CVP analysis to plan variable and fixed costs 7. Apply CVP analysis to a company producing multiple
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Industry Forecasting For the purpose of this assignment‚ we will review Apple Inc.‚ a technology based company that has extended beyond computers and provides a number of different device options for their consumers. The devices offered by Apple range from computers to cell phones‚ and reflect the technological advances that have taken place over the past decade. A PESTEL Analysis of Apple‚ Inc. would be important in order to identify information pertinent to the marketing campaign of the company
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PORTFOLIO ASSIGNMENT Due date: Complete assignment due Week 9 PART 1: HUMAN RESOURCE FORECASTING Reference: Adapted from Human Resource Forecasting Assignment‚ pp 108 – 110 in Nkomo‚ S. M.‚ Fottler‚ M. D.‚ McAfee‚ R. B. (2008) Human Resource Management Applications: Cases‚ Exercises‚ Incidents‚ and Skill Builders‚ 6th Edition Due date: Week 9 LEARNING OBJECTIVES • Practice in forecasting an organisation’s people needs • To familiarize you with some of the factors that affect an
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TYPES OF FORECASTING METHODS Qualitative methods: These types of forecasting methods are based on judgments or opinions‚ and are subjective in nature. They do not rely on any mathematical computations. Quantitative methods: These types of forecasting methods are based on quantitative models‚ and are objective in nature. They rely heavily on mathematical computations. QUALITATIVE FORECASTING METHODS Qualitative Methods Executive Opinion Market Research Delphi
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Film techniques used to emphasize themes in V for Vendetta In the film V for Vendetta‚ the director‚ James McTeigue uses symbolism‚ costume and dialogue to emphasise the idea of everybody having a right to individuality‚ and the right - and duty – to resist forced conformism. James McTeigue uses symbolism in the film V for Vendetta to juxtapose the idea of individuality and the resistance of forced conformity. The first important symbol used in the film is V’s mask. This symbol is shown in all
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------------------------------------------------- Techniques for creative teaching Creativity Home About Creativity Defining creativity Elements of creativity Fostering creativity Teaching Creative teachers Techniques for creative teaching Creativity as a course module Evaluating creativity Learn More Resources Research Creative teaching In order to teach creativity‚ one must teach creatively; that is‚ it will take a great deal of creative effort to bring out the most creative thinking
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the effectiveness of the techniques used by the business to plan production and product development. Walkers will need to plan and develop new products within the market‚ therefore an evaluation of how effective the techniques used by Walkers to plan production and product development is necessary. Walkers crisps limited will need new products to survive‚ these products may be genuinely new or just redevelopments of older or existing products‚ this is one technique used by Walkers to plan production
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