Information 4 1.1 Limitations of Analysis 4 2.0 Data analysis 4 2.1 Foreign exchange rate between AUD and USD (AUD/USD) 5 2.2 Foreign exchange rate between RMB and USD (RMB/USD) 7 2.3 Comparison of exchange rates of AUD/USD and RMB/USD 8 3.0 Relationship between AUD/USD and RMB/USD 10 4.0 Hypothesis testing 11 5.0 Factors Analysis 13 5.1 Inflation rate 13 5.2 Interest rate 13 6.0 The effects of exchange rate movements 13 6.1 American dollar depreciation 14 6.2 Australian dollar
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Exchange rate movement has been an important subject of macroeconomic analysis and market surveillance. Despite its importance‚ forecasting the exchange rate level has been a challenge for academics and market practitioners since the collapse of the Bretton Woods system. Empirical results from many of the exchange rate forecasting models in the literature have not yielded satisfactory results. This paper is constructed for the purpose of comparing the forecast performance of various competing models
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Introduction – Determinants of Exchange rate ................................................................................. 3 2 Research papers .............................................................................................................................. 4 2.1 Paper -1: Determinants of Exchange Rate Movements ............................................................. 4 2.2 Paper -2: Macroeconomic Determinants of Real Exchange Rates ............................
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China ’s Exchange Rate Peg concerning Trade Policy with U.S. Overview of the Problem The U.S. and China trade imbalance continue to be on the rise. U.S. manufacturing firms and workers voiced complaints over the competitive challenges posed by cheap Chinese imports. China ’s trade policy of pegging its currency‚ the yuan‚ to the U.S. dollar has enabled an unfair trade advantage according to the U.S. Some have gone as far as calling it "currency manipulation." The outcome has been loss of
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Exchange rate policy The exchange rate of an economy affects aggregate demand through its effect on export and import prices‚ and policy makers may exploit this connection. Deliberately altering exchange rates to influence the macro-economic environment may be regarded as a type of monetary policy. Changes in exchanges rates initially work there way into an economy via their effect on prices. For example‚ if £1 exchanges for $1.50 on the foreign exchange market‚ a UK product selling for £10 in
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The CFO can forecast exchange rates by using either of two approaches‚ fundamental forecasting or technical forecasting. Fundamental forecasting uses trends in economic variables to predict future rates. The data can be plugged into an econometric model or evaluated on a more subjective basis. Technical forecasting uses past trends in exchange rates themselves to spot future trends in rates. Technical forecasters‚ or chartists‚ assume that if current exchange rates reflect all facts in the market
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whether government intervention is necessary in order to preserve and regulate economic changes within an economy. In the source‚ Ronald Reagan states that “the problem is not that people are taxed too little‚ the problem is that government spends too much.” Through this source‚ it is evident that Reagan in an advocate of supply-side economics as he believes in the natural regulation of the economy through demand and production. Furthermore‚ he is not in favor of government intervention of the economy
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most arguable opinion is about government intervention. Experts who suggest government intervention focus on the epidemic of obesity and unethical ploys of the food companies such as indeterminate modifiers. They think the government should intervene to protect people. However‚ other experts who disagree claim obesity is a personal problem. They also warn about the ineffectiveness of regulating unhealthy foods. Although some experts say that the government intervention is not a good solution to obesity
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LABUAN SCHOOL OF INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS AND FINANCE UNIVERSITI MALAYSIA SABAH LABUAN INTERNATIONAL CAMPUS GB30703 INTERNATIONAL MONEY AND CAPITAL MARKETS INTEREST RATE AND EXCHANGE RATE POLICIES SEMESTER 1‚ 2013/2014 PREPARED TO: MR. RICKY CHIA CHEE JIUN PREPARED BY: NO. NAME MATRIC NO. HP. NO. 1 MUHAMMAD RIDZWAN BIN ABD RAHMAN BG11110337 013-6604707 SUBMISSION DATE: 10th DECEMBER 2013 Table of Contents LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS ADF
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GOVERNMENT INTERVENTION IN MARKET The Market Structures The complete economic activities are handled in four different market structures‚ namely perfect competition‚ monopolistic competition‚ oligopoly and monopoly. The nature and degree of competition varies among the all the above-mentioned four markets. In summarized manner we can describe that as the number of sellers increases‚ each firms’ ability to charge high prices reduces. If number of buyers increases then buyers practice
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