Strategic Management Financial & Political Risk David Warnock-Smith Strategic Management Programme • • • • Introduction to “risk” and “risk management” Sources of risk Risk classification Overview and management of: – Financial risk – Political risk – (Business / operational risk) Strategic Management Risk - Definition “The fact that the results of any action are not certain‚ but may take more than one value. Risk is usually used to describe the form of uncertainty where‚ while
Premium Risk Risk management
Risk Management Risk management is the process of evaluation and quantification of business risks in order to take the necessary measures to control or reduce them. Risk management in organizations includes the methods and processes used to manage risks and seize opportunities related to the achievement of their objectives. By identifying and proactively addressing risks and opportunities‚ business enterprises protect and create value for their stakeholders‚ including owners‚ employees‚ customers
Premium Risk management Risk Management
EXC3613 Risk Management with derivatives Geir Høidal Bjønnes geir.bjonnes@bi.no 1 Introduction • Learning objectives: 1. 2. 3. 4. What is a derivative? What is the role of Derivatives and Derivatives Markets Firms’ risk exposures Hedging price risk with derivatives • McDonald: Chapter 1 2 Example • Consider a farmer that grows wheat and is expecting to yield 10‚000 bushels of crop in 3 months. He is afraid that the price of wheat might drop at the period
Premium Futures contract Derivative Option
Additional useful information on types of risk Market or price risk relates to the uncertainty in markets and prices for both inputs (purchased for the production process)‚ and outputs (products and services for sale by the firm). Market/price risk has always been a major problem in most businesses and results from the economic forces of supply and demand. Outcome of these forces are fluctuations in the price for a commodity and/or inputs in the production of that commodity. These fluctuations
Premium Risk Finance Generally Accepted Accounting Principles
Bill Nye VS Ken Ham Bill Nye Believes in Earths natural creation with the big bang theory. He said that it is impossible to have Noahs ark. He doesn’t believe there was a 500 foot wooden boat with 8 zookeepers taking care of 14‚000 individual animals and all the plants under water. This is what Ken Ham believes. Bill Nye then brings up the Grand Canyon and explains that the fossils are found in layers and not one spot is there fossils that cross over into another fossil layer. He says animals would swim up to a higher level
Premium Evolution Creationism Intelligent design
Will My Risk Parity Strategy Outperform? Robert M. Anderson∗ University of California at Berkeley Stephen W. Bianchi† University of California at Berkeley Lisa R. Goldberg‡ MSCI and University of California at Berkeley November 10‚ 2011§ Abstract We gauge the return-generating potential and risk inherent in four investment strategies: value weighted‚ fixed mix‚ and levered and unlevered risk parity‚ over an 85-year horizon. There are three essential conclusions from our study. First‚ even over periods
Premium Rate of return Investment Stock market
op y CC-111-010 Do No tC BMW’s Foreign Exchange Risk Management This case was prepared by Professor Xu Bin and Dr. Liu Ying‚ Research Associate at CEIBS. The case was prepared as the basis for class discussion rather than to illustrate either effective or ineffective handling of an administrative situation. Copyright © 2011 by CEIBS (China Europe International Business School) No part of this publication may be reproduced‚ stored in a retrieval system‚ or transmitted in any form or by any means-electronic
Premium United States dollar BMW Germany
with no central location. A dealer market with no central location is referred to as an over-the-counter market. They are largely unregulated markets and each contract is with a counterparty‚ which may expose the owner of a derivative to default risk (when the counterparty does not honor their commitment). Some options trade in the over-the-counter market‚ notably bond options. LOS 1.b: Contrast forward commitments and contingent claims. A forward commitment is a legally binding promise to
Premium Futures contract Derivative Forward contract
surpluses/deficits. Cash rationing (misnomer cash budgeting) Last resort liquidity management Limits ability to commit until sufficient funds are available (delays implementation) No forward cash planning Disruptive to programs‚ vendors High corruption potential Need transparent ex ante rules Public procedure Likely to undermine budget priorities Benefits of efficient cash management Ensure obligations can be met as they fall due Minimize idle balances and associated costs
Premium Bank Money Cash flow
Risk and Return: Portfolio Theory and Asset Pricing Models Portfolio Theory Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) Efficient frontier Capital Market Line (CML) Security Market Line (SML) Beta calculation Arbitrage pricing theory Fama-French 3-factor model Portfolio Theory • Suppose Asset A has an expected return of 10 percent and a standard deviation of 20 percent. Asset B has an expected return of 16 percent and a standard deviation of 40 percent. If the correlation between A and B is 0.6
Premium