The article‚ ‘What I Was Wrong About This Year” by David Leonhardt‚ explains the misconceptions and realities of probabilities‚ mainly through a number of real life examples. Leonhardt begins with an initial example‚ the probability of a “full-scale war” occuring in Syria. Initially‚ Israel used classic intelligence reports‚ but‚ after years of leaders manipulating these reports to justify any event occurring‚ they decided to present leaders with estimated probabilities of different events. With
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My mom woke me and my brother up yelling at 10:00 we were confused because our baseball game was canceled because it was raining hard. She said we left our bikes outside at first we didn’t get up because we were tired. We didn’t believe her also because our older brother said he was going to bring them in because we couldn’t. So then we jumped out of bed to check our bikes to make sure there wasn’t any damage to them. We just left our bikes outside because the sun was out and would dry them for
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Ola Ahmed Al-Aserei Level 5A April 13‚ 2013 My Best Friend and I Friendship is one of the greatest gifts ever bestowed upon mankind. While making friends may be easy‚ finding true and loyal friends who provide a lasting and fulfilling friendship is a much greater challenge. A real friend is one who stands by her friend in the hour of her need person deserts her friend at a time when she needs her most‚ she cannot be called a real friend if two persons simply know each other‚ and they can
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Colonial Empire was the second-largest empire in the world‚ directly behind the British Empire‚ with 12‚347‚000 squared kilometers. 2‚381‚741 of those kilometers were a nation‚ which had been forced into colonization and depression by the French‚ known as Algeria. In 1954 Algerian people and guerilla movements mobilized and initiated attacks upon the French‚ which led to a victory in the latter part of the century. Throughout this paper I will attempt to successfully answer why this war was initiated
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One Terrific Day 1 THE DAY MY DAUGHTER WAS BORN Nicole Somers ENG121: English Composition I (ADC1322A) Karrie Higgins
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If there was a fire in my house I would take three thing that are meaningful to me and symbolize other things in my life; the symbolization of the objects is similar to the symbolism of a certain ritual that was very important to me. One of the objects I would take with me out of the fire is my guitar. I would also take take a picture frame with a collage of picture of me when I was younger. I would also take a old picture of mickey mouse framed on my wall. The ritual that really meant something
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When people hear how I quit my job as a lawyer after six years of corporate work‚ they assume I burned out and fled the nine-to-five (or‚ more accurately‚ the nine-to-midnight)‚ leaving contracts‚ negotiations and lawsuits behind. In reality‚ I long had aspired to travel the world for a year‚ inspired by a documentary I saw in high school about trans-Siberian trains. Staring at the screen‚ watching birch trees and snow and a railroad track running for thousands of kilometres‚ I resolved to take the
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hundred languages‚ including the Wa tribe. “Wa” (pronounced Va in English) refers to a mountainous tribe of about one million people who live in the southern part of the Nu Shan Mountains‚ which run along the border of Myanmar and China. The Wa refer to themselves‚ “Va‚” “Pa rauk‚” and “A va‚” which all mean “a people who reside in the mountain.” The Wa distinguish themselves with there own language – Wa (Ma 170). ECONOMICS Commercial Activities The Wa rely on mountain farming‚ which
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I base my values on stuff that makes me happy. My God is the head of my value system. I believe spiritual growth is the foundation of my life and everything else will follow suit. One major value in life is peace of mind that is something I treasure. Being able to sleep at night‚ without anxiety‚ fear or anything affecting my ability to sleep. Knowing that I have God to watch over me‚ taking all the problems and issues away makes me value him so much more. When my mind is at peace I can get through
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I WISH I KNEW WHY Broken families are often hard to live in. Especially divorced ones. It’s one thing for your parents to split-up when you’re a young child‚ but it’s another when you go through 15 years of your life thinking that you’ll always be a family like I did. I would have to say the most significant time in my life was when my parents were getting a divorce. Christmas had just passed and the New Year of 1998 was approaching fast. My parents had always bickered but this time their
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