Financial Econometrics Modeling and Forecasting Natural Gas Prices Abstract In this project we will model and forecast the natural gas prices over the short-term through the development of the Error Correction Model (ECM). This is presented as the best predictive model among various alternatives. To build this model‚ we gathered the oil prices to analyze the impact of the changes in these prices on the changes in natural gas prices. The results of the forecasting exercise‚ carried out using the
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An Analysis of the Sources of Disagreement between Alice Mathias and Dana L. Fleming Regardless of whether one participates or not‚ there is no denying the significant impact that online social networking sites‚ such us MySpace and Facebook‚ are having on America’s younger generations. These trends are duly noted in Alice Mathias’s New York Times feature‚ “The Fakebook Generation” and Dana Fleming’s New England Journal of Higher Education article‚ “Youthful Indescretions: Should Colleges Protect
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Unit 5 Midterm Assignment William A. Hall CJ 210 Criminal Investigations November 20th‚ 2012 1. What are methods of inquiry and how are they used in criminal investigation? A method of inquiry must be based on gathering observable practical evidence subject to reasoning. The method of inquiry must be used to reconstruct the past. Methods of inquiry used in criminal investigation are who‚ what‚ when‚ where‚ why‚ and how for example who is the victim or suspect‚ what is or was the problem
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NATIONAL ELECTRICITY FORECASTING REPORT For the National Electricity Market (NEM) 2012 NATIONAL ELECTRICITY FORECASTING REPORT Disclaimer This document is subject to an important disclaimer that limits or excludes AEMO’s liability. Please read the full disclaimer on page D1. Published by AEMO Australian Energy Market Operator ABN 94 072 010 327 Copyright © 2012 AEMO ii © AEMO 2012 FOREWORD This is the first edition of AEMO’s National Electricity Forecasting Report (NEFR)‚
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In a 2 to 3 page paper‚ evaluate the three methods of analysis: horizontal‚ vertical‚ and ratio as explained in Chapter 9 of your textbook. Summarize each method‚ and discuss how the financial information is used to make a particular decision. Provide a scenario in a health care situation in which a given method of analysis might be used. Horizontal: "Horizontal analysis‚ also called trend analysis‚ refers to studying the behavior of indi- vidual financial statement items over several accounting
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CHAPTER 16: FINANCIAL PLANNING AND FORECASTING 1. The first‚ and most critical‚ step in constructing a set of forecasted financial statements is the sales forecast. a. True b. False ANSWER: True 2. A typical sales forecast‚ though concerned with future events‚ will usually be based on recent historical trends and events as well as on forecasts of economic prospects. a. True b. False ANSWER: True 3. Errors in the sales forecast can be offset by similar errors in costs and income forecasts
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FINANCIAL FORECASSTING: 1) Initial Investment In the following table "Initial Investment"‚ this is for all disbursements required in the pre-operative project to be evaluated‚ i.e. all expenditures necessary for the company to begin operations and includes fixed assets. Current assets‚ i.e. all raw materials or products that the company will engage in selling. In addition‚ the initial investment table includes the composition of the investment that the company will need to boot‚ in simple words
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a business - sources of business ideas Author: Jim Riley Last updated: Sunday 23 September‚ 2012 Starting a Business - Sources of business ideas Where does an entrepreneur come up with the idea for his/her business? In practice there are many ways in which the business opportunity and idea is first spotted. As we shall see‚ sometimes luck plays a big part; at other times there is a role for approaches which encourage deliberate creativity. Here are some of the main sources of business ideas
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ETHICAL ISSUES IN FORECASTING AND DECISION ANALYSIS Dunal M. McCurdy MBA 615- Business Foundations November 24‚ 2011 ETHICAL ISSUES IN FORECASTING AND DECISION ANALYSIS It is especially important to think about the most critical causes of the problem in making your forecasts and decisions. The process of forecasting involves using observations about the problem situation to predict the outcomes of your own actions‚ the actions of others‚ and the outcomes of other situational
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Section 3.6 provides information on data coding and analysis; section 3.7 focuses upon the issues of generalization‚ reliability and validity; section 3.8 enlists study limitations. Section 3.9 summarizes and concludes the chapter. 3.1 Choice for Research Methodology Research methods have been broadly divided into quantitative and qualitative categories with a third category bridging both methods often referred as mixed-method approach (Biemans‚ 2003). The quantitative methods have been employed
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