TIME SERIES MODELS Time series analysis provides tools for selecting a model that can be used to forecast of future events. Time series models are based on the assumption that all information needed to generate a forecast is contained in the time series of data. The forecaster looks for patterns in the data and tries to obtain a forecast by projecting that pattern into the future. A forecasting method is a (numerical) procedure for generating a forecast. When such methods are not based upon
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Regression with Time Series Data Week 10 Main features of Time series Data Observations have temporal ordering Variables may have serial correlation‚ trends and seasonality Time series data are not a random sample because the observations in time series are collected from the same objects at different points in time For time series data‚ because MLR2 does not hold‚ the inference tools are valid under a set of strong assumptions (TS1-6) for finite samples While TS3-6 are often too restrictive
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Course Outline for Spring 2012‚ Statistics 153: Introduction to Time Series January 16‚ 2012 • Instructor: Aditya Guntuboyina (aditya@stat.berkeley.edu) • Lectures: 12:30 pm to 2 pm on Tuesdays and Thursdays at 160 Dwinelle Hall. • Office Hours: 10 am to 11 am on Tuesdays and Thursdays at 423 Evans Hall. • GSI: Brianna Heggeseth (bhirst@stat.berkeley.edu) • GSI Lab Section: 10 am to 12 pm OR 12 pm to 2 pm on Fridays at 334 Evans Hall (The first section will include a short Introduction
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dad‚ I can’t believe you got tickets to a World Series game!” “That’s not all‚” replied my dad. “It’s something even better than tickets.” What could be better than tickets to a World Series game‚ I thought? “CROWN tickets!” my dad said excitedly. “You‚ me‚ your mom‚ and your brother!” I literally almost fainted on the spot. It was so unexpected. Especially since our hometown team the Royals were playing the San Francisco Giants in the World Series. And the Royals haven’t won it since 1985‚ the
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The World Series has been kicking for over one hundred years (one hundred twelve‚ to be exact)‚ and involves the best action and plays baseball fans will ever see. It has the most colorful history of any finals round of any sport‚ with the 1919 White Sox scandal when eight players threw the game on purpose‚ and not one‚ but two player strikes occurred. There have also been many controversies. As of the 112th edition of the MLB World Series this November has just occurred‚ the accursed Chicago Cubs
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total derivative‚ Exact differentials‚ Chain rule‚ Change of variables‚ Minima and Maxima of functions of two or more variables. Infinite Series : Notion of convergence and divergence of infinite series‚ Ratio test‚ Comparison test‚ Raabe’s test‚ Root test‚ Series of positive and negative terms‚ Idea of absolute convergence‚ Taylor’s and Maclaurin’s series. Module 2 (17 hours) First order ordinary differential equations: Methods of solution‚ Existence and uniqueness of solution‚ Orthogonal
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The 1972 Canada-Soviet Hockey Series was perhaps the most dramatic sports event in Canadian history. Before the series came into being‚ the Soviet ’s demonstrated that they were a tower of strength by winning 11 of 12 Olympic and World Championships from 1963 to 1973. However‚ Canadians believed that the Soviets would lose to Canadian professionals. The 1972 Super Series was the opportunity for Canada ’s "best" to prove their dominance over the Soviets. Charles Hay (President Hockey Canada 1972)
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it In Game six of the 1985 World Series‚ Don Denkinger made an erroneous call at first base in the bottom of the ninth inning. It would serve to be the most memorable part of that World Series that was played between the Royals and Cardinals. This was a play that would cost the Cardinals the series and help the Royals rally and win the game‚ 2-1 (which would also force a seventh game). The series was called‚ at the time “I-70 Showdown Series” or “Show Me Series”‚ due to both cities being in Missouri
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Analysis of Financial Time Series Third Edition RUEY S. TSAY The University of Chicago Booth School of Business Chicago‚ IL A JOHN WILEY & SONS‚ INC.‚ PUBLICATION Analysis of Financial Time Series WILEY SERIES IN PROBABILITY AND STATISTICS Established by WALTER A. SHEWHART and SAMUEL S. WILKS Editors: David J. Balding‚ Noel A. C. Cressie‚ Garrett M. Fitzmaurice‚ Iain M. Johnstone‚ Geert Molenberghs‚ David W. Scott‚ Adrian F. M. Smith‚ Ruey S. Tsay‚ Sanford Weisberg Editors Emeriti:
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Faculty of Engineering & Computing Laboratory Report Title of Experiment: Series and Parallel Circuits Date Given: January 28‚ 2013 AIM: To investigate the circuits to tell whether the resistors are in parallel or in series also to determine the internal resistance of a 1.5V cell. THEORY: In this experiment it was expected of the experimenter to have a basic knowledge of circuits in both aspects theoretically and practically. A basic circuit comprises of a cell or power supply
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