FORECASTING IN QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS I am highly honoured to give a presentation on forecasting. You are all welcome. Every organisation’s success depends on how well it is able to forecast. We will look at the meaning of forecast‚ the steps‚ qualitative and quantitative forecasting and finally the benefits. The Meaning Of Forecasting Forecasting is a process of predicting or estimating the future based on past and present data. Forecasting provides information about the potential future events
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Qualitative Forecasting Approaches Qualitative forecasting methods are based primarily on human judgement. Quantitative forecasting methods are based primarily on the mathematical modelling of historical data. Here we provide a brief overview of the most important qualitative forecasting approaches. In many environments the time horizon is closely linked to the type of forecasting method used. Longer term and higher level forecasting will often require qualitative forecasting techniques. Such techniques
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Marriott Corporation: The Cost of Capital Executive Summary J. Willard Marriott started Marriott Corporation in 1927 with a root beer stand‚ expanding it into a leading lodging and food service company with sales of over $6 billion by 1987. At the time‚ Marriott had three main lines of business‚ lodging‚ contract services and restaurants‚ with lodging generating about 51% of company’s profits. The four key elements of Marriott’s financial strategy were managing hotel assets rather than owning‚
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WEATHER ANALYSIS & FORECASTING ** Weather Analysis: process of collecting‚ compiling‚ analyzing and transmitting the observational data of atmospheric conditions *this data & analysis is then used to forecast future weather conditions * Types of data: * Each weather station‚ 10‚000 around the world‚ collects the same data at the same time‚ at least 4 times per day(0000‚ 0600‚1200‚ 1800 GMT) * Most US stations also collect data continuously or at least every hour
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Forecasting: The McDonald ’s Way McDonald’s is a well-known worldwide franchise and has been around since the 1950s. Serving customers for over 50 years successfully entails a strong inventory and operations management system. “McDonald ’s is the world ’s #1 fast-food company by sales‚ with more than 33‚500 restaurants serving burgers and fries in 119 countries” (University of Phoenix [UOP]‚ 2012‚ p. 2). To maintain and continue a successful franchise operation‚ quality food items‚ and highly successful
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1. How does Marriott use its estimate of its cost of capital? Does this make sense? Marriott has defined a clear financial strategy containing four elements. To determine the cost of capital‚ which also acted as hurdle rate for investment decision‚ cost of capital estimates were generated from each of the three business divisions; lodging‚ contract services and restaurants. Each division estimates its cost of capital based on: Debt Capacity Cost of Debt Cost of Equity All of the above are
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CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION Demand forecasting refers to the prediction or estimation of a future situation under given constraints. Demand Forecasting is the activity of estimating the quantity of a product or service that consumers will purchase. Demand forecasting involves techniques including both informal methods‚ such as educated guesses‚ and quantitative methods‚ such as the use of historical sales data or current data from test markets. Demand forecasting may be used in making pricing decisions
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Case Forecasting Beer Demand at Anadolu Efes Murat Köksalan Department of Industrial Engineering‚ Middle East Technical University‚ Ankara 06531‚ Turkey koksalan@ie.metu.edu.tr Selin Özpeynirci ˙ ˙ Department of Industrial Systems Engineering‚ Izmir University of Economics‚ Izmir 35330‚ Turkey‚ selin.ozpeynirci@ieu.edu.tr Haldun Süral Department of Industrial Engineering‚ Middle East Technical University‚ Ankara 06531‚ Turkey sural@ie.metu.edu.tr Key words: forecasting; regression
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UNIVERSITY Of ZIMBABWE FACULTY OF COMMERCE TOURISM‚ LEISURE AND HOSPITALITY STUDIES DEPARTMENT ROOMS DIVISION MANAGEMENT THM208 YEAR 2012 LECTURER: MRS. D ZENGENI Time table Monday 11.00-13.00hrs Tuesday 11.00-12.00hrs Preamble This course is designed to introduce students to the principles of accommodation management in hospitality industry. Emphasis will be placed on Rooms Divisions’ traditional role as the best generator of the hotel’s revenue as well as its principal operational
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Question 6 What is the cost of capital for the lodging and restaurant divisions of Marriott? Answer: The cost of capital for lodging is 9.2% and the cost of capital for restaurants is 13.1% Calculation: WACC = (1-t) * rd * (D/V) + re* (E/V) Where: D= market value of DEBT re = aftertax cost of equity E = market value of EQUITY V = D+E rd = pretax cost of debt t = tax rate To calculate the formula above‚ we need to determine each component Tax rate (t) 56% --> calculated before LODGING
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