ASW/QMB-Ch.04 3/8/01 10:35 AM Page 96 Chapter 4 DECISION ANALYSIS CONTENTS 4.1 PROBLEM FORMULATION Influence Diagrams Payoff Tables Decision Trees DECISION MAKING WITHOUT PROBABILITIES Optimistic Approach Conservative Approach Minimax Regret Approach DECISION MAKING WITH PROBABILITIES Expected Value of Perfect Information RISK ANALYSIS AND SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS Risk Analysis Sensitivity Analysis DECISION ANALYSIS WITH SAMPLE INFORMATION An Influence Diagram A Decision Tree Decision Strategy
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STUDY GUIDE EMRM5103 Project Risk Management CENTRE FOR GRADUATE STUDIES STUDY GUIDE EMRM5103 Project Risk Management Writer: John Rudolph Raj Developed by: Centre for Instructional Design and Technology Open University Malaysia First Edition‚ August 2012 Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) All rights reserved. No part of this work may be reproduced in any form or by any means without the written permission of the President‚ Open University Malaysia. 1 STUDY
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QUANTITATIVE MODULE Decision-Making Tools Discussion Questions 1. The 6 steps of the decision process are: 1. Clearly define the problem and the factors that influence it. 2. Develop specific and measurable objectives. 3. Develop a model. 4. Evaluate each alternative solution. 5. Select the best alternative. 6. Implement the solution. 2. The purpose of this question is to make students use a personal experience to distinguish between good and bad decisions. A “good”
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Business Ethics Written Assignment for Module 2 1. Shaw and Barry distinguish two different forms of utilitarianism. What are these two forms. Briefly describe each and use examples. Act Utilitarianism and Rule Utilitarianism are the two different forms of utilitarianism that Shaw and Barry distinguish. Utilitarianism refers to the greatest happiness principle for the most amounts of people. Act utilitarianism “states that we must ask ourselves what the consequences of a particular act in a particular
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According to dictionary.com Stress is the body’s normal response to anything that disturbs its natural physical‚ emotional‚ or mental balance. Stress reduction refers to various strategies that counteract this response and produce a sense of relaxation and tranquility. Stress in nursing school is one of the most painful and main cause of many students dropping out of Nursing school. During the past years‚ whenever test approached my body‚ and mind turn nervous making It impossible to concentrated
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1. Discuss differences in terms: prejudice‚ discrimination‚ racism‚ stereotyping 2. Recent research on prevalence of prejudice and stereotyping 3. How racial prejudice (toward African Americans) has changed since the 1940’s 4. Describe the research by Clark and Clark 5. Cross cultural study from 27 countries on gender 6. Social Dominance Orientation- Characteristics‚ career choice/social dominance 7. Altmeyer’s research on social dominance 8. Church membership and prejudice 9. Pettigrew’s
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Linear Programming in Finance‚ Accounting and Economics Sijia Lu 7289928683 Abstract This article is literatures review about five articles‚ which apply linear programming to Finance‚ accounting and economics. The mathematical method is found of crucial importance in those fields. The paper shows how theoretical inference in linear programming throws light upon realistic practice‚ and how empirical evidence supports those theories. Keywords: finance; accounting; economics; linear programming; investment
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1. a. “Statistics is the nerve center for Operations Research.” Discuss. b. State any four areas for the application of OR techniques in Financial Management‚ how it improves the performance of the organization. 2. At the beginning of a month‚ a lady has Rs. 30‚000 available in cash. She expects to receive certain revenues at the beginning of the months 1‚ 2‚ 3 and 4 and pay the bills after that‚ as detailed here: Month Revenue Bills 1 Rs
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Introduction to the Economics of Uncertainty and Information Timothy Van Zandt INSEAD November 2004 Copyright 2004 Preliminary and incomplete: Use only with the permission of the author. Author’s address: Voice: +33 1 6072 4981 INSEAD Boulevard de Constance Fax: +33 1 6074 6192 77305 Fontainebleau CEDEX Email: tvz@insead.edu FRANCE WWW: faculty.insead.edu/vanzandt Table of Contents 1 Choosing among Uncertain Prospects 1.1 Introduction to decision theory . . . . . . . . . . . .
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analysis influence diagram prior probabilities payoff table posterior probabilities decision tree expected value of sample information (EVSI) optimistic approach efficiency of sample information conservative approach Bayesian revision minimax regret approach utility opportunity loss or regret lottery expected value approach expected utility expected value of perfect information (EVPI) Solutions: 1. a. b. Decision Maximum Profit Minimum Profit d1 250 25 d2
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