Accuracy and Bias In general‚ a set of forecasts will be considered to be accurate if the forecast errors‚ that is‚ the set of et values which results from the forecasts‚ are sufficiently small. The next section presents statistics based on the forecast errors‚ which can be used to measure forecast accuracy. In thinking about forecast accuracy‚ it is important to bear in mind the distinction between error and noise. While related‚ they are not the same thing. Noise in the demand data is real and
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Topic Proposals Social Problems: Spring 2014 Due Date: See course schedule Fill out the following form (see page 2) completely and turn in on or before the due date. Be as clear as possible: the primary purpose of this exercise is to make sure that you have a workable topic; I will not approve topics that I think are too broad‚ too narrow‚ are not sociological in focus‚ don’t address the assignment‚ etc. In other words‚ I’m trying to help you succeed on this project. In order to help
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The thirteenth‚ fourteenth and fifteenth amendments were measures taken by the American government to ensure equal right after the civil war. The thirteenth amendment was declared to abolish slavery. The fourteenth guaranteed equal protection for everyone and the fifteenth guaranteed equal voting rights regardless of race. Together these are known as the Civil War Amendments. To a certain extent these amendments had an impact because it presented blacks with many opportunities. Although the civil
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In the ANE‚ numerous tablet inscriptions and references exist‚ the oldest dating to ancient Babylon. Unfortunately‚ these references are general to an inscribed message. Authoritative references to tablets are less‚ and references to named tablets referred are rare. Research uncovered only five such tablets: the Covenant Tablet‚ the Tablet of Destinies‚ the Tablets with the Words of Fate‚ the Holy Tablet of the Heavenly Stars‚ and the Tablet of Wisdom. The first two tablet concepts graded highest
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Intellectual Merits of Television Steven Johnson wrote an article “Watching TV makes you smarter. In his article he explains how watching television can help you make a smarter person. He uses examples from several TV shows and series that may be affecting our brain activity even when we don’t realize it. He try to reach to audience from teenagers to older adults. He makes some good points in his argument as well. He argue that TV isn’t necessarily a bad thing‚ but too much of anything is never
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REVISITING THE ”TRAGEDY OF THE COMMONS” University Sciences Po Paris Semester: Fall 2011/2012 Student: Sönke-Timo Kisker Student – ID: 100033186 Course: Thinking and Acting the Environment Course-ID: 23811 Course Coordinaton: Florence Faucher-King; Thomas Léon Assignment: Mid-term paper Word-count: 2746 Date: 18.10.2011 | Agenda
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“IS THE GAME THEORY‚ THE RIGHT GAME?” Yes‚ indeed the game theory is the right game. Business is not about winning and losing nor is it about how well you play the game. The essence of business success lies in making sure you’re playing the right game. The challenge for us is to make sure we’re playing the right game. There are times in our life that we think we are in the right game but suddenly we realize that it is not the game we should play. For example‚ the course that you choose in college
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Wealth‚ well wealth is a very complex thing to really comprehend under any circumstances. There are many ideas about what wealth really is‚ but wealth can mean different many things to people. However this does not mean that all of the ideas don’t really mean anything; they do but those ideas will have an effect in day to day life‚ the economy and social ideas. For instance in Carnegie’s Wealth he makes it a point to pin point certain things in society that have caused it change rapidly‚ and
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When we think of success and wealth‚ we often think financial benefits; but no matter how we define success‚ we soon come to realize that there is no specific answer that will guide us down the right path to our personal success. We all have different ambitions and priorities‚ which mean that different accomplishments and behaviors will make us feel better about ourselves. To be successful the individual must understand what is important and must recognize one’s strengths and weaknesses. When we
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7 February 2013 Gospel of Wealth Andrew Carnegie has a very unique perspective pertaining to the wealth in America and its distribution. Not only is he concerned about how much money is put to good use‚ but when; such as if the person donating the money is in life or after death. The “Gospel of Wealth” brings perspective of the nation’s money recirculation and the worth of a man by his generosity while living. Carnegie lists three ways how extra money (that is left behind) should be handled
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