Integrated Planning – Module 2 1 Agenda • Forecasting‚ • Factors influencing Demand • Basic Demand Patterns • Basic Principles of Forecasting • Principles of Data Collection • Basic Forecasting Techniques‚ Seasonality • Sources & Types of Forecasting Errors Forecasting can be conducted at various levels Strategic Required for • Product life cycle • Long-term capacity planning • Capital asset/equipment/ human resource management Examples • Product line transitions • Annual volume out
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Case Forecasting Beer Demand at Anadolu Efes Murat Köksalan Department of Industrial Engineering‚ Middle East Technical University‚ Ankara 06531‚ Turkey koksalan@ie.metu.edu.tr Selin Özpeynirci ˙ ˙ Department of Industrial Systems Engineering‚ Izmir University of Economics‚ Izmir 35330‚ Turkey‚ selin.ozpeynirci@ieu.edu.tr Haldun Süral Department of Industrial Engineering‚ Middle East Technical University‚ Ankara 06531‚ Turkey sural@ie.metu.edu.tr Key words: forecasting; regression
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Demand Estimation Demand Curve Estimation ■ Simple Linear Demand Curves ■ The best estimation method balances marginal costs and marginal benefits. ■ Simple linear relations are useful for demand estimation. ■ Using Simple Linear Demand Curves ■ Straight-line relations give useful approximations. Identification Problem ■ Changing Nature of Demand Relations ■ Demand relations are dynamic. ■ Interplay of Supply and Demand ■ Economic
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Although demand forecasting is usually the responsibility of the sales and/or marketing functions‚ it is a very important input into the capacity planning and control decision‚ and so is of interest to operations managers. After all‚ without an estimate of future demand it is not possible to plan effectively for future events‚ only to react to them. It is therefore important to understand the basis and rationale for these demand forecasts. As far as capacity planning and control is concerned‚ there
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Demand forecasting is one of the most important tools of production and operation management of a company. 1. The objective of demand forecasting is to forecast the sales of the company in future and it helps the company in budgeting it’s sales and to determine the resources which the company will require to fulfill that demand. 2. Forecasting demand method can also help the companies to avoid oversupply and undersupply of the products 3. This also helps the company in inventory management and lowers
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METABICAL Problem Statement Cambridge Sciences Pharmaceuticals (CPS) wishes to determine the best possible target market in order to launch Metabical‚ the new weight-loss prescription drug that’s stipulated to be included in their portfolio. Importance of Positioning Strategies It’s important to note that finding the accurate positioning for any product within the market is crucial‚ given that historically when a product is incorrectly placed it tends to lack
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What pricing strategy approaches would you suggest PrintUp explore?What are the advantages and disadvantages of each strategy ?What price should you recommend? What pricing strategy approaches would you suggest Printup explore?What are the advantages and disadvantages of each strategy? Comparacion con la competencia: Ventaja: los precios al estar ya fijados sirven como punto de referencia para fijar los precios propios Desventaja: El producto seria similar al de la competencia por parte
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Assignment On Estimation of the Demand for Oranges by Market Experiment Title: Elasticity of Demand with respect to Price. Protagonist: Here‚ We consider Florida Interior Oranges as the protagonist. The reasons are explained bellow. * When there is 1% increase in the price of Florida Indian river oranges‚ there is 1.56% growth in demand of the Florida Interior oranges. * When there is 1% increase in the price of Florida Interior
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Mai Nguyen New Product Planning Professor Patton 3/5/14 Metabical: Pricing‚ Packaging‚ and Demand Forecasting for a New Weight-Loss Drug Case 1. How does Metabical compare to current weight-loss options? There are only several other weight-loss options in the market competing with Metabical. The first is prescription drugs. These are prescribed for use only by obese and severely obese individuals. This meant that only individuals with BMI of over 30 who were prescribed weight-loss drugs
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1. How does Metabical compare to current weight-loss options? Answer: Metabical is revolutionary product and forecasted to be the first FDA approved prescriptive drug for overweight individuals with weight-loss goals. The previous prescriptive drugs have a negative side effects that out weighed its positives. Metabical‚ on the other hand‚ did not display as many negative effects in its trail runs and thus was being strongly endorsed by the medical community. The current weight-loss drugs can be
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