(a) Statement of Problem. Ocean Carriers is evaluating a proposed three year lease of a ship. Currently‚ no ships in Ocean Carrier’s fleet meet the requirements of the customer. Since the new ship requires an investment of $39 million‚ Mary Linn‚ the Vice President of Finance for Ocean Carriers‚ needs to evaluate the proposal’s NPV and determine whether or not to accept the proposal by considering expected cash flows‚ tax implications‚ and future market conditions. (b) Statement
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Ocean Carriers Objectives • Forecast pro-forma cash flows for a project • Estimate project values using Net Present Value (NPV) • Conduct sensitivity analysis for the forecast inputs Setting • January 2001 • Customer offering attractive terms on 3-year lease for a capesize carrier • Would require purchase of new carrier since existing fleet does not fulfill customer needs • Should it be purchased? Industry Dynamics • Revenue Drivers • Outlook in the: –
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FIN 555 CASE 1 Q3 Ms.Linn should not purchase the capsize carrier because the NPV is negative. a. Incremental earning forecast 1. Operating Revenue From the following Exhibit‚ We can see that from year 2003 to year 2007‚ from year 2008 to year 2012‚ and from year 2013 to year 2017‚ 8 days‚ 12 days and 16days is separately used to repair. The annual operating revenue = expected daily hire rate * (365- numbers of days for repair) 2. Operating Cost The annual operating cost
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iron ore shipments. They claim demand in iron ore shipments has historically shown a strong correlation with charter rates‚ and we believe this makes sense. Vessel size‚ distance of route‚ and demand for ore/coal are drivers of daily rates. Per the case‚ technological developments in ship construction play a role in capacity‚ as newer ships are bigger‚ faster‚ and more fuel efficient‚ increasing the overall shipping capacity of a fleet. Accordingly the long-term decline in daily hire rates makes sense
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Ocean Carriers Case Report Executive Summary Ocean Carriers is evaluating a proposed lease for a ship over three years starting in 2003. Currently‚ Ocean Carriers does not have any ships that are available to meet this customer demand. This report will assist VP of Finance Mary Lynn to make a decision on whether or not to commission a new carrier and how long to hold on to this asset. Based off a financial analysis using the data Ocean Carriers has provided‚ the final recommendation is that
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Strategy and Valuation Case Analysis Ocean Carriers March 23‚ 2011 Executive Summary Industry Overview Capesize dry bulk carriers provide shipping services worldwide. Due to their size‚ Capesize carriers must sail around Cape Horn in order to travel between the Atlantic and Pacifica Oceans – the ships are too large to utilize the Panama Canal. In January 2001‚ there were 553 capesize vessels in service throughout the world. Demand for dry bulk carriers is determined by the world
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Case Study: ‘Ocean Carriers’ By: Alyssa Linder Wenliang Zhang Xhangoli‚ Eva 1. Daily spot hire rates are determined according to supply and demand of the shipping capacity. According to the article‚ the supply of ships available equals the number of ships currently in the fleet plus any new ships added‚ minus any scrapings and sinking. According to Exhibit 2‚ there are a limited number of ships older than 24 years which are likely to be scraped. For those ships under the age group
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NPV Analysis. 4 Table 3: Estimation of Resale value of Carrier @15th year 7 1. Introduction 1.1 Executive Summary Ocean Carriers Inc. (OCI) is an International provider of Marine transportation services mainly focussing on Dry Bulk commodities mainly iron ore and coal. OCI has offices located in New York and Hongkong. One of OCI’s customer’s is keen in committing for a 3 year lease starting from 2003 for a large dry bulk Capesize carrier of capacity 180‚000 DWT in order to fulfil its own interests
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the Ocean Carriers Group is to evaluate the potential revenues and expenses of commissioning a new capsize ship for cargo transportation in order to meet a received demand for lease. A recommended approach would consist in analyzing the expectations for the world economy‚ trends in world trade and potential contracts; however‚ an estimated time of service should be assigned in order to predict future cash flows. Summary of facts In January 2001‚ Mary Linn‚ vice president of Finance for Ocean Carriers
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OCEAN CARRIERS ANALYSIS DATE: 8/29/2007 TO: MS MARY LINN CC: PROF. TOM MILLER FROM: RYAN DALE SEELKE RE: DECISION ON CAPE SIZE CARRIER PRIORITY: [URGENT] Ms Mary Linn‚ After careful cash flow analysis and a discount rate (WACC) of 9%‚ commissioning a capsize carrier for 25 years is the only appropriate option for our firm. However‚ if the discount were instead 10%‚ both options would fail the NPV test by yielding negative results. I make this recommendation after thorough analysis of
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