Financial Management Read ‘Ocean Carriers’ and answer the following questions: Ocean Carriers uses a 9% discount rate. 1. Do you expect daily spot rate to increase or decrease next year? - The expected daily hire rates drives the daily spot rates higher. So we are expecting the higher daily spot rates under higher expected daily hire rates. 2. What factors drive average daily hire rates? - Demand in iron ore shipments‚ - World economy‚ strong economy in western countries will raise
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Ocean Carriers Case Ocean Carriers uses a 9% discount rate. 1. Do you expect daily spot rate to increase or decrease next year? Daily spot rates are expected to decrease next year because 63 new vessels are scheduled for delivery over the next year and imports of ore and coal would most likely remain stagnant over the next two years. Imports of iron ore and coal and the number of vessels available are two big factors of spot rates. 2. What factors drive average daily hire rates?
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Ocean Carriers Case Expectations for Daily Spot Hire Rates Next Year Iron ore and coal imports will most probably decrease the upcoming year With the increasing supply of vessels should result in a market surplus By creating this surplus‚ prices will be driven down‚ since we will have limited demand and suppliers competing Average daily rates‚ based on historical numbers‚ have a direct relationship with the number of shipments. What Factors Drive Average Daily Hire Rates? u
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Ocean Carriers Objectives • Forecast pro-forma cash flows for a project • Estimate project values using Net Present Value (NPV) • Conduct sensitivity analysis for the forecast inputs Setting • January 2001 • Customer offering attractive terms on 3-year lease for a capesize carrier • Would require purchase of new carrier since existing fleet does not fulfill customer needs • Should it be purchased? Industry Dynamics • Revenue Drivers • Outlook in the: –
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FIN 555 CASE 1 Q3 Ms.Linn should not purchase the capsize carrier because the NPV is negative. a. Incremental earning forecast 1. Operating Revenue From the following Exhibit‚ We can see that from year 2003 to year 2007‚ from year 2008 to year 2012‚ and from year 2013 to year 2017‚ 8 days‚ 12 days and 16days is separately used to repair. The annual operating revenue = expected daily hire rate * (365- numbers of days for repair) 2. Operating Cost The annual operating cost
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Ocean Carriers Project Analysis Introduction Ocean Carriers receives a lease for a ship over three years starting in 2003. However‚ the company currently does not hold qualified ships that can meet customers’ demand. Our report is not only to assist Ms. Linn to decide whether or not to purchase a new ship but also give a reasonable suggestion on how long to hold on the ship regarding the NPV and long term prospective of dry bulk industry. Upon business operating in U.S or H.K‚ we consider four scenarios
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Ocean Carriers Project Analysis Introduction Ocean Carriers receives a lease for a ship over three years starting in 2003. However‚ the company currently does not hold qualified ships that can meet customers’ demand. Our report is not only to assist Ms. Linn to decide whether or not to purchase a new ship but also give a reasonable suggestion on how long to hold on the ship regarding the NPV and long term prospective of dry bulk industry. Upon business operating in U.S or H.K‚ we consider four scenarios
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Strategy and Valuation Case Analysis Ocean Carriers March 23‚ 2011 Executive Summary Industry Overview Capesize dry bulk carriers provide shipping services worldwide. Due to their size‚ Capesize carriers must sail around Cape Horn in order to travel between the Atlantic and Pacifica Oceans – the ships are too large to utilize the Panama Canal. In January 2001‚ there were 553 capesize vessels in service throughout the world. Demand for dry bulk carriers is determined by the world
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maintenance. In the final year‚ these expenses make up 80% of her revenue before taxes. Additionally‚ the $5 million received from scrapping the ship 15 years in the future is only worth $3 million today. Net loss is still about $10 million. 4. If Ocean Carriers sells the capsize in the
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November 9‚ 2004 Mary Linn Vice President of Finance Ocean Carriers Re: 180‚000 DWT Vessel Proposal Dear Mary: Our analysis of the proposal for the construction of a new 180‚000 DWT vessel has brought us to the conclusion that the project should not be undertaken. Our recommendation and decision is based on a discounted cash flow analysis of expected future cash flows from the vessel that produced a net loss for the project of $7‚201‚639. Included in this recommendation are a number
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