Ocean Carriers Inc. A Case Study By ab Introduction • Ocean Carriers Inc. owned and operated cape-size dry bulk carriers worldwide. • Major Cargo type : Iron ore. • Vessel sizes : 80000 DWT to 210000 DWT. • Cape-size carriers travel around Cape Horn rather than the Panama Canal due to size constraints. Operations Maintenance Maintaining Supplies And on board Stores Supply of Lubricants Cargo Operations Repairs Insurance Business Model • Mostly chartered
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Ocean Carriers Case Ocean Carriers uses a 9% discount rate. 1. Do you expect daily spot rate to increase or decrease next year? Daily spot rates are expected to decrease next year because 63 new vessels are scheduled for delivery over the next year and imports of ore and coal would most likely remain stagnant over the next two years. Imports of iron ore and coal and the number of vessels available are two big factors of spot rates. 2. What factors drive average daily hire rates?
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Ocean Carrier Case Study Summary In order to accept the recently submitted leasing contract proposal‚ Ocean Carriers would have to purchase a new ship. The purchasing of a new ship is a considerable investment. We have analyzed whether or not Ocean Carriers should make this investment using Free Cash Flow and Net Present Value (NPV) analysis. Given the details of the contract‚ the forecasted daily time charter rates‚ and the costs data; we have concluded that Ocean Carriers should not accept
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Ocean Carriers Case Expectations for Daily Spot Hire Rates Next Year Iron ore and coal imports will most probably decrease the upcoming year With the increasing supply of vessels should result in a market surplus By creating this surplus‚ prices will be driven down‚ since we will have limited demand and suppliers competing Average daily rates‚ based on historical numbers‚ have a direct relationship with the number of shipments. What Factors Drive Average Daily Hire Rates? u
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Financial Management Read ‘Ocean Carriers’ and answer the following questions: Ocean Carriers uses a 9% discount rate. 1. Do you expect daily spot rate to increase or decrease next year? - The expected daily hire rates drives the daily spot rates higher. So we are expecting the higher daily spot rates under higher expected daily hire rates. 2. What factors drive average daily hire rates? - Demand in iron ore shipments‚ - World economy‚ strong economy in western countries will raise
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REPORT ON CAPESIZE PURCHASE FOR OCEAN CARRIERS Introduction The purpose of this report is to evaluate whether Ocean Carriers Inc. should immediately commission a new capesize carrier that would cost $39 million‚ and would be completed two years hence‚ in order to finalize a lease of the ship for a three-year period with a potential charterer in very good faith. The contrasting tax regulations between the two countries where the company locates its office‚ and the different cost-benefit circumstances
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(a) Statement of Problem. Ocean Carriers is evaluating a proposed three year lease of a ship. Currently‚ no ships in Ocean Carrier’s fleet meet the requirements of the customer. Since the new ship requires an investment of $39 million‚ Mary Linn‚ the Vice President of Finance for Ocean Carriers‚ needs to evaluate the proposal’s NPV and determine whether or not to accept the proposal by considering expected cash flows‚ tax implications‚ and future market conditions. (b) Statement
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Ocean Carriers Objectives • Forecast pro-forma cash flows for a project • Estimate project values using Net Present Value (NPV) • Conduct sensitivity analysis for the forecast inputs Setting • January 2001 • Customer offering attractive terms on 3-year lease for a capesize carrier • Would require purchase of new carrier since existing fleet does not fulfill customer needs • Should it be purchased? Industry Dynamics • Revenue Drivers • Outlook in the: –
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FIN 555 CASE 1 Q3 Ms.Linn should not purchase the capsize carrier because the NPV is negative. a. Incremental earning forecast 1. Operating Revenue From the following Exhibit‚ We can see that from year 2003 to year 2007‚ from year 2008 to year 2012‚ and from year 2013 to year 2017‚ 8 days‚ 12 days and 16days is separately used to repair. The annual operating revenue = expected daily hire rate * (365- numbers of days for repair) 2. Operating Cost The annual operating cost
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Ocean Carriers Assumptions and Methodology Based on an NPV analysis considering multiple scenarios‚ Ocean Carriers should commission the construction of a new capesize carrier in the event they are operating with no corporate tax and chartering the ship for its entire 25 year life. Such is the recommendation assuming the forecasted hire rates and estimated costs are accurate over the long-term. However‚ if Ocean Carriers chooses to adhere to their policy of selling ships at market value
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