Bayes’ theorem describes the relationships that exist within an array of simple and conditional probabilities. For example: Suppose there is a certain disease randomly found in one-half of one percent (.005) of the general population. A certain clinical blood test is 99 percent (.99) effective in detecting the presence of this disease; that is‚ it will yield an accurate positive result in 99 percent of the cases where the disease is actually present. But it also yields false-positive results in 5
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The Poisson probability distribution‚ named after the French mathematician Siméon-Denis. Poisson is another important probability distribution of a discrete random variable that has a large number of applications. Suppose a washing machine in a Laundromat breaks down an average of three times a month. We may want to find the probability of exactly two breakdowns during the next month. This is an example of a Poisson probability distribution problem. Each breakdown is called an occurrence in Poisson
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Copula Theory: an Introduction Fabrizio Durante and Carlo Sempi Abstract In this survey we review the most important properties of copulas‚ several families of copulas that have appeared in the literature‚ and which have been applied in various fields‚ and several methods of constructing multivariate copulas. This version: September 14‚ 2009 1 Historical introduction The history of copulas may be said to begin with Fr´ chet [69]. He studied the fole lowing problem‚ which is stated here
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TLFeBOOK FUNDAMENTALS OF PROBABILITY AND STATISTICS FOR ENGINEERS T.T. Soong State University of New York at Buffalo‚ Buffalo‚ New York‚ USA TLFeBOOK TLFeBOOK FUNDAMENTALS OF PROBABILITY AND STATISTICS FOR ENGINEERS TLFeBOOK TLFeBOOK FUNDAMENTALS OF PROBABILITY AND STATISTICS FOR ENGINEERS T.T. Soong State University of New York at Buffalo‚ Buffalo‚ New York‚ USA TLFeBOOK Copyright 2004 John Wiley & Sons Ltd‚ The Atrium‚ Southern G ate‚ Chichester‚ West
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Probability Distribution Essay Example Suppose you flip a coin two times. This simple statistical experiment can have four possible outcomes: HH‚ HT‚ TH‚ and TT. Now‚ let the random variable X represent the number of Heads that result from this experiment. The random variable X can only take on the values 0‚ 1‚ or 2‚ so it is a discrete random variable Binomial Probability Function: it is a discrete distribution. The distribution is done when the results are not ranged along a wide range‚ but are
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EXERCISES (Discrete Probability Distribution) EXERCISES (Discrete Probability Distribution) P X x n C x p 1 p x BINOMIAL DISTRIBUTION n x P X x n C x p 1 p x BINOMIAL DISTRIBUTION n x 1. 2. 3. The probability that a certain kind of component will survive a given shock test is ¾. Find the probability that exactly 2 of the next 4 components tested survive. The probability that a log-on to the network is successful is 0.87. Ten users
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Statistics Chapter 5 Some Important Discrete Probability Distributions 5-1 Chapter Goals After completing this chapter‚ you should be able to: Interpret the mean and standard deviation for a discrete probability distribution Explain covariance and its application in finance Use the binomial probability distribution to find probabilities Describe when to apply the binomial distribution Use Poisson discrete probability distributions to find probabilities 5-2 Definitions Random Variables A
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TEM1116 Probability and Statistics Tri1 2013/14 Chapter 1 Chapter 1: Discrete and Continuous Probability Distributions Section 1: Probability Contents: 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 Some basics of probability theory Axioms‚ Interpretations‚ and Properties of Probability Counting Techniques and Probability Conditional Probability Independence TEM1116 1 TEM1116 Probability and Statistics Tri1 2013/14 Chapter 1 1.1 Basics of Probability Theory Probability refers to the study
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Chapter 6 Continuous Probability Distributions Case Problem: Specialty Toys 1. Information provided by the forecaster At x = 30‚000‚ [pic] [pic] Normal distribution [pic] [pic] 2. @ 15‚000 [pic] P(stockout) = 1 - .1635 = .8365 @ 18‚000 [pic] P(stockout) = 1 - .3483 = .6517 @ 24‚000 [pic] P(stockout) = 1 - .7823 = .2177 @ 28‚000 [pic]
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Discrete and Continuous Probability All probability distributions can be categorized as discrete probability distributions or as continuous probability distributions (stattrek.com). A random variable is represented by “x” and it is the result of the discrete or continuous probability. A discrete probability is a random variable that can either be a finite or infinite of countable numbers. For example‚ the number of people who are online at the same time taking a statistics class at CTU on
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