Chapter 6 Continuous Probability Distributions Case Problem: Specialty Toys 1. Information provided by the forecaster At x = 30‚000‚ [pic] [pic] Normal distribution [pic] [pic] 2. @ 15‚000 [pic] P(stockout) = 1 - .1635 = .8365 @ 18‚000 [pic] P(stockout) = 1 - .3483 = .6517 @ 24‚000 [pic] P(stockout) = 1 - .7823 = .2177 @ 28‚000 [pic]
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Dysfunctional Ever After Some women strive for attention‚ and would pay any price to get it‚ but not all attention seekers do so because of personality disorders. Most sacrifice some of their personal values for the sake of attention. Therefore this usually is the result of an underlying disorder. Ariel Schulman‚ Henry Joost‚ and Yaniv Schulman‚ Ariel’s brother‚ are the filmmakers that created Catfish‚ a documentary showing how even a seemingly normal‚ but troubled housewife who spent the majority
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Probability Concepts 1. Fundamental Concepts of Probability 2. Mutually Exclusive and Collectively Exhaustive 3. Statistically Independent and Dependent Events 4. Bayes’Theorem Learning Objectives • Understand the basic foundations of probability analysis • Learn the probability rules for conditional probability and joint probability • Use Bayes’ theorem to establish posterior probabilities Reference: Text Chapter 2 Introduction • Life is uncertain; we are note sure what the
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Chapter 1 The Probability in Everyday Life In This Chapter Recognizing the prevalence and impact of probability in your everyday life Taking different approaches to finding probabilities Steering clear of common probability misconceptions You’ve heard it‚ thought it‚ and said it before: “What are the odds of that happening?” Someone wins the lottery not once‚ but twice. You accidentally run into a friend you haven’t seen since high school during a vacation in Florida. A cop pulls you over the
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Chapter 3 Probability True/False 1. A contingency table is a tabular summary of probabilities concerning two sets of complementary events. Answer: True Difficulty: Medium 2. An event is a collection of sample space outcomes. Answer: True Difficulty: Easy 3. Two events are independent if the probability of one event is influenced by whether or not the other event occurs. Answer: False Difficulty: Medium 4. Mutually exclusive events have a nonempty
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A group of investors wants to develop a chain of fast-food restaurants. In determining potential costs for each facility‚ they must consider‚ among other expenses‚ the average monthly electric bill. They decide to sample some fast-food restaurants currently operating to estimate the monthly cost of electricity. They want to be 90% confident of their results and want the error of the interval estimate to be no more than $100. They estimate that such bills range from $600 to $2‚500. How large a sample
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Homework #4 - SQL Use the following (denormalized) database schema (and the attached tables) to write the queries. Publishers (custid‚ name‚ city‚ phone‚ creditcode) Bookjobs (jobid‚ custid‚ jobdate‚ descr‚ jobtype) POS (jobid‚ poid‚ podate‚ vendorid) Items (itemid‚ descr‚ onhand‚ price) Po_Items (jobid‚ poid‚ itemid‚ quantity) For each question‚ turn in the Oracle SQL query and the output. You should feel free to do these by hand (paper and pencil)‚ or you may actually run them
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[pic] TITILE : THEORY OF PROBABILITY NAME : KYRIOS JOYCE ERDAYA RAJOO IC NO : 930603-10-5700 CLASS : 5 MULIA TEACHER : MRS.MALLIKA a) History of Probability The scientific study of probability is a modern development. Gambling shows that there has been an interest in quantifying the ideas of probability for millennia‚ but exact mathematical
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MGT 601: Statistical Inference Lecture 03 Dr. MUMTAZ AHMED Objectives of Current Lecture In the current lecture: Introduction to Probability Definition and Basic concepts of probability Some basic questions related to probability Laws of probability Conditional probability Independent and Dependent Events Related Examples 2 Probability Probability (or likelihood) is a measure or estimation of how likely it is that something will happen or that a statement is true. For example
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classical and empirical probabilities. a. Classical probabilities are based on assumptions; Empirical probabilities are based on observations. b. Classical probabilities do not require an action to take place; Empirical probabilities have to have been “performed”. 2) Gather 16 to 30 coins. Shake and empty bag of coins 10 times and tally up how many head and tails are showing. Number of coins: 20 * Consider the first toss‚ what is the observed probability of tossing a head? Of
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