淡江大學運輸管理學系 101(2): 2nd Semester‚ 2013 運輸經濟(二) Transportation Economics Assignment #1 Due: March 21‚ 2013 1. (40%) Transportation Demand Analysis Application Background: 新北市「淡水捷運延伸線輕軌運輸系統」，即淡水捷運延伸至淡海新市鎮之輕軌 捷運系統，此線原先由臺北市政府捷運工程局規劃，後來因淡海新市鎮未完全開 發，興建上無迫切性，故該案被裁定暫以公車接駁方式暫行之為佳。目前為配合 內政部營建署調整淡海新市鎮之建設及帶動當地發展，由交通部高速鐵路工程局 重新推動本計劃。目前淡水捷運延伸線可行性研究報告書已經由行政院核定，原 則同意綠山線及藍海線之路網，並優先推動綠山線。高鐵局刻正辦理綜合規劃複 審與環評複審相關作業。 Problem: 針對「淡海輕軌捷運」可行性評估，首要工作為未來的旅運需求分析與預測，試 說明與研擬如何進行淡海輕軌捷運系統的旅運需求分析步驟與架構，須蒐集、調 查或分析哪些因素與資訊？
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Demand Forecasting Problems Simple Regression a) RCB manufacturers black & white television sets for overseas markets. Annual exports in thousands of units are tabulated below for the past 6 years. Given the long term decline in exports‚ forecast the expected number of units to be exported next year. |Year |Exports |Year |Exports | |1 |33 |4 |26
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DEMAND ANALYSIS PROBLEM Larson is trying to estimate the market potential for Stacy’s Pita Chips. She knows that there are 150 million snack food consumers in the U.S. market. Of these consumers‚ around 20% are heavy snackers‚ 50% are moderate snackers‚ and 30% are light snackers. Market research shows Larson that heavy snackers purchase 21 bags of snacks annually‚ moderate snackers purchase 8 bags of snacks annually‚ and light snackers purchase 3 bags of snacks annually‚ on average. Heavy snackers
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including the creation of appropriate sampling populations and instruments. Other topics include descriptive statistics‚ probability concepts‚ confidence intervals‚ sampling designs‚ data collection‚ and data analysis—including parametric and nonparametric tests of hypothesis and regression analysis. Policies Faculty and students will be held responsible for understanding and adhering to all policies contained within the following two documents: • University policies: You must be logged into
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47 Review: Inference for Regression Example: Real Estate‚ Tampa Palms‚ Florida Goal: Predict sale price of residential property based on the appraised value of the property Data: sale price and total appraised value of 92 residential properties in Tampa Palms‚ Florida 1000 900 Sale Price (in Thousands of Dollars) 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 Appraised Value (in Thousands of Dollars) Review: Inference for Regression We can describe the relationship
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Demand and Supply Analysis 1. Demand indicates how much of a good consumers are willing and able to buy at each possible price during a given time period‚ other things constant. 2. The process to satisfy human wants/ needs/desires. * Want: having a strong desire for something * Need: lack of means of subsistence * Desire: an aspiration to acquire something 3. Demand: effective desire 4. Demand is that desire which backed by willingness and ability to buy a particular commodity
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Travis Foglesong Dr. Carter English 111-F23 February 19‚ 2013 The American Regression In Cal Thomas ’ article‚ “Is the American Dream Over?” he expresses a strong‚ anti-liberal opinion that explains why “the American dream” is lost. The article points out that the American society has become too dependent on a dysfunctional government while the key to a successful life in America used to lie in individual initiative. Certain traits‚ that had lead past generations to success‚ have been lost
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Progressive Regression: A brief analysis of the post-Soviet democratization process of Azerbaijan The demise of the Soviet Union of December of 1991 did not only bring an end of the Cold War; it brought over two-hundred and ninety-three million souls spanning over eleven time zones out of the shadows that lurked behind an Iron Curtain. This unprecedented event in modern history gave birth to an era of transition for the fifteen republics that would emerge‚ providing the world with one of the most
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Contents 1.0 Introduction and Motivation 2 2.0 Methodology 5 2.1. Descriptive Statistics 5 2.2 Matrix of pairwise correlation. 6 3.0 Model Specification 6 3.1 Linear Regression Model. 6 3.2 The Regression Specification Error Test 8 3.3 Non-linear models 9 3.4 Autocorrelation. 10 3.5 Heteroskedasticity Test 10 4.0 Hypothesis Testing 11 5.0 Binary (Dummy) Variables 11 6.0 Conclusion 13 Reference List 13 1.0 Introduction and Motivation Crude oil is one of the world’s most important natural
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F-2‚Block‚ Amity Campus Sec-125‚ Nodia (UP) India 201303 ASSIGNMENTS PROGRAM: SEMESTER-I Subject Name : Study COUNTRY : Permanent Enrollment Number (PEN) : Roll Number : Student Name : INSTRUCTIONS a) Students are required to submit all three assignment sets. ASSIGNMENT DETAILS MARKS Assignment A Five Subjective
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