Revitalizing Dell: Forecast Dell’s 2009 and 2010 revenues • Work through the “Proposed Steps” of Case 9-1 Revitalizing Dell in your textbook – Make lagged drivers – Use correlation to pick a lagged driver – Build a linear forecast model using regression‚ perform DW test on residuals – Repeat if residuals do not pass DW test • Forecast revenues and generate 95% prediction intervals for 2009 and 2010 6 Revitalizing Dell: Bright forecast 7 Revitalizing Dell: Harsh reality 8 Revitalizing
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Multiple regression‚ a time-honored technique going back to Pearson’s 1908 use of it‚ is employed to account for (predict) the variance in an interval dependent‚ based on linear combinations of interval‚ dichotomous‚ or dummy independent variables. Multiple regression can establish that a set of independent variables explains a proportion of the variance in a dependent variable at a significant level (through a significance test of R2)‚ and can establish the relative predictive importance
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Chapter 13 Linear Regression and Correlation True/False 1. If a scatter diagram shows very little scatter about a straight line drawn through the plots‚ it indicates a rather weak correlation. Answer: False Difficulty: Easy Goal: 1 2. A scatter diagram is a chart that portrays the correlation between a dependent variable and an independent variable. Answer: True Difficulty: Easy Goal: 1 AACSB: AS 3. An economist is interested in predicting
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Assignment 12 Name: Wendy Number: 100501042 Real Life vs Virtual Life For many‚ the first thing they do to start a day is logging into their Facebook account to check out news feeds. After catching up with all their friends’ updates‚ they go to the virtual farm or restaurant that they are running and begin the works. Meanwhile‚ they are preparing for their real-life exam or meeting. But things used to be a lot easier when there were no Facebook and Farm Ville. With the popularity of social
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exorcisms‚ and some practices of spiritualism and ritual magic—are specifically designed to rest the spirits of the dead. Ghosts are generally described as solitary essences that haunt particular locations‚ objects‚ or people they were associated with in life‚ though stories of phantom armies‚ ghost trains‚ phantom ships‚ and even ghost animals have also been recounted. The English word ghost continues Old English gást‚ from a hypothetical Common Germanic *gaistaz. It is common to West Germanic‚ but lacking
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linear regression In statistics‚ linear regression is an approach to model the relationship between a scalar dependent variable y and one or more explanatory variables denoted X. The case of one explanatory variable is called simple linear regression. For more than one explanatory variable‚ it is called multiple linear regression. (This term should be distinguished from multivariate linear regression‚ where multiple correlated dependent variables are predicted‚[citation needed] rather than a single
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Poisson Regression This page shows an example of poisson regression analysis with footnotes explaining the output. The data collected were academic information on 316 students. The response variable is days absent during the school year (daysabs)‚ from which we explore its relationship with math standardized tests score (mathnce)‚ language standardized tests score (langnce) and gender . As assumed for a Poisson model our response variable is a count variable and each subject has the same length
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Topic 4. Multiple regression Aims • Explain the meaning of partial regression coefficient and calculate and interpret multiple regression models • Derive and interpret the multiple coefficient of determination R2and explain its relationship with the the adjusted R2 • Apply interval estimation and tests of significance to individual partial regression coefficients d d l ff • Test the significance of the whole model (F-test) Introduction • The basic multiple regression model is a simple extension
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Simple Linear Regression in SPSS 1. STAT 314 Ten Corvettes between 1 and 6 years old were randomly selected from last year’s sales records in Virginia Beach‚ Virginia. The following data were obtained‚ where x denotes age‚ in years‚ and y denotes sales price‚ in hundreds of dollars. x y a. b. c. d. e. f. g. h. i. j. k. l. m. 6 125 6 115 6 130 4 160 2 219 5 150 4 190 5 163 1 260 2 260 Graph the data in a scatterplot to determine if there is a possible linear relationship. Compute and interpret
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Types of regression and linear regression equation 1. The term regression was first used as a statistical concept in 1877 by Sir Francis Galton. 2. Regression determines ‘cause and effect’ relationship between variables‚ so it can aid to the decision-making process. 3. It can only indicate how or to what extent variables are associated with each other. 4. There are two types of variables used in regression analysis i.e. The known variable is called as Independent Variable and the variable which
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