SIMULATION AND MODELING 1. Generate 20 random numbers and solve the following integrals by monte-carlo (i) (ii) 2. A piece of equipment contains four identical tubes and can function only if all the four are in working order. The lives of tubes has approximately uniform distribution from 1000 to 2000 hours. The current maintenance practice is to replace a tube when it fails. Equipments has to be shut down for 1 hr for replacing a tube‚ the cost of one tube is sh 100‚ while the shut down time
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owned by his uncle‚ thus beginning the illustrious career that he enjoyed for the next 62 years. His culinary career took him many places‚ from the early years at the fashionable Le Petit Moulin Rouge and several other restaurants in Paris‚ to Monte Carlo‚ Switzerland‚ and London. In 1870‚ when the Franco-Prussian War began‚ Escoffier was called to duty in the army where he served as Chef de Cuisine. It was during this period that he came to consider the need for tinned foods and was thus the first
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Favourite Holiday Destination: Broome‚ Western Australia_ Favourite Band(s): Live‚ Savage Garden‚ Midnight Oil‚ Hoodoo Gurus Favourite Athletic Track: Monte Carlo Cathy says her greatest influence on her career was her
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Auguste Escoffier is the father of modern french cuisine and is recognized as the finest master chef of the 20th century. Throughout his cooking career he catered to royalty and established the kitchens of many fine hotels such as: The Grand Hotel Monte Carlo‚ Hotel Ritz Paris‚ The Savoy and Grand Hotel Rome. He also was the first chef to undertake in-depth study of techniques for canning and preserving meats and vegetables. His culinary arts included the study of seasonal items‚ lighter sauces and mother
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Gambler’s fallacy 1 Gambler’s fallacy The Gambler’s fallacy‚ also known as the Monte Carlo fallacy (because its most famous example happened in a Monte Carlo Casino in 1913)[1] . Also referred to as the fallacy of the maturity of chances‚ which is the belief that if deviations from expected behaviour are observed in repeated independent trials of some random process‚ future deviations in the opposite direction are then more likely. For example‚ if a fair coin is tossed repeatedly and tails
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as specified in the contract documents P.3 The calculated duration for a project is 28.166. The standard deviation is 5.5. What technique would you use to compute the probability of completing a project on a specific day? A. PERT formula B. Monte Carlo simulation C. Probability analysis D. Variance analysis P.4 The best reason to use multiple calendars is to ___________ A sequence the float for the benefit of the contractor B more accurately show how the project will be built C give specialty
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x N and M x 2 games‚ pure strategy games with saddle point‚ Mixed strategies (Graphical and algebraic methods)‚ Limitations of game theory. Module VI (6 Hours) Simulation‚ process of simulation‚ types of simulation‚ steps in simulation process‚ Monte Carlo simulation‚ application in queuing‚ inventory‚finance‚ marketing and HR areas‚ Advantages & Disadvantages . Module VII (4 Hours) Queuing theory‚ General structure of queuing system‚ Operating characteristics of queuing system‚ Queuing models (Problems
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BADM 574 - MSTM Simulation and Risk Analysis Spring 2013 Lectures: ADV: TR 9:30 am - 10:50 am in 2043 BIF GRD: TR 11:00 am - 12:20 pm in 2043 BIF Final Exam: 7-10 pm‚ Tuesday May 7‚ 2013 ADV: 2041 BIF GRD: 2043 BIF Instructor: H. Dharma Kwon‚ Assistant Professor of Business Administration‚ College of Business‚ University of Illinois Office: Email: Phone: Office Hours: 365 Wohlers Hall dhkwon@illinois.edu 217-333-3522 Tuesdays 2 - 4 pm or by appointment Note: When you send email to the instructor
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VTT WORKING PAPERS 31 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Gamma Lognormal probability density charring depth l (mm) ESPOO 2005 0 20 40 60 80 0.0 time (min) 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 charring rate (m m /m in) A Probabilistic Approach to Wood Charring Rate Jukka Hietaniemi VTT Building and Transport ISBN 951–38–6583–5 (URL: http://www.vtt.fi/inf/pdf/) ISSN 1459–7683 (URL: http://www.vtt.fi/inf/pdf/) Copyright © VTT 2005 JULKAISIJA – UTGIVARE – PUBLISHER
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Explain the terms: Pure strategy‚ Mixed Strategy‚ Saddle point‚ Competitive games‚ Payoff matrix‚ Rectangular games. [ 5 marks] b. Explain the Maximin and Minimax principle used in Game Theory.[ 5 marks] 2. a. Explain the steps involved in Monte-Carlo simulation. [ 5 marks] b. What are the advantages and limitations of using simulation? [ 5 marks] 3. a. Distinguish between PERT and CPM. What is a critical path? [ 5 marks] b. Write a short note on PERT/CPM networks in Operations Research
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