Choose one of the forecasting methods and explain the rationale behind using it in real life. I would choose to use the exponential smoothing forecast method. Exponential smoothing method is an average method that reacts more strongly to recent changes in demand than to more distant past data. Using this data will show how the forecast will react more strongly to immediate changes in the data. This is good to examine when dealing with seasonal patterns and trends that may be taking place. I would
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Demand Forecasting Problems Simple Regression a) RCB manufacturers black & white television sets for overseas markets. Annual exports in thousands of units are tabulated below for the past 6 years. Given the long term decline in exports‚ forecast the expected number of units to be exported next year. |Year |Exports |Year |Exports | |1 |33 |4 |26
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FINANCIAL FORECASSTING: 1) Initial Investment In the following table "Initial Investment"‚ this is for all disbursements required in the pre-operative project to be evaluated‚ i.e. all expenditures necessary for the company to begin operations and includes fixed assets. Current assets‚ i.e. all raw materials or products that the company will engage in selling. In addition‚ the initial investment table includes the composition of the investment that the company will need to boot‚ in simple words
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CHAPTER 16: FINANCIAL PLANNING AND FORECASTING 1. The first‚ and most critical‚ step in constructing a set of forecasted financial statements is the sales forecast. a. True b. False ANSWER: True 2. A typical sales forecast‚ though concerned with future events‚ will usually be based on recent historical trends and events as well as on forecasts of economic prospects. a. True b. False ANSWER: True 3. Errors in the sales forecast can be offset by similar errors in costs and income forecasts
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Financial Econometrics Modeling and Forecasting Natural Gas Prices Abstract In this project we will model and forecast the natural gas prices over the short-term through the development of the Error Correction Model (ECM). This is presented as the best predictive model among various alternatives. To build this model‚ we gathered the oil prices to analyze the impact of the changes in these prices on the changes in natural gas prices. The results of the forecasting exercise‚ carried out using the
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Qantas | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | Revenue | 15060 | 15627 | 14552 | 13772 | 14894 | Net income($M) | 673 | 970 | 123 | 116 | 249 | Net profit margin | 4.48% | 6.23% | 0.85% | 0.84% | 1.67% | × Asset turnover | 0.77 | 0.79 | 0.73 | 0.69 | 0.71 | = ROA | 3.45% | 4.92% | 0.61% | 0.58% | 1.19% | × Financial leverage | 3.45 | 3.44 | 3.49 | 3.34 | 3.40 | = ROE | 11.93% | 16.91% | 2.13% | 1.94% | 4.05% | NOPAT margin | 6.48% | 8.72% | 1.40% | 1
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Fashion Trend Forecast Fall/Winter 2012-13. www.sippo.ch Table of contents. Sources/Publisher....................................................... 3. Simplicity features Elegance.. ............................. 4 Colours..................................................................................... 5 Styling.Trends...................................................................... 6-12 Knitwear.Trends................................................................. 13-18 Accessories
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Basics in Social Science What is Family? Family is considered to be one of the oldest institutions of the society. Sociologists have traditionally viewed the family as a social group whose members are related by ancestry‚ marriage‚ or adoption and live together‚ cooperate economically‚ and care for the young. (Murdock‚ 1949) ❖ When we think of a family‚ we picture it as a more or less durable association of husband and wife with or without children or of a man or woman alone with
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Forecasting Compact Car Market in India Contents Executive Summary 3 Problem Statement 4 1. Demand Analysis 5 2. SupPly Analysis 7 4. Forecasting model 11 5. Cost/Profit Analysis for KIa 12 Conclusion 13 References 14 Executive Summary 1. Problem Statement KIA has decided to enter Compact Car market in India. KIA proposes to introduce cars in the range of 5-8 Lacks that will compete with Maruti Dzire‚ Hundai Accent‚ Maruti SX4 rtc. The current size of market for
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Time Series Models for Forecasting New One-Family Houses Sold in the United States Introduction The economic recession felt in the United States since the collapse of the housing market in 2007 can be seen by various trends in the housing market. This collapse claimed some of the largest financial institutions in the U.S. such as Bear Sterns and Lehman Brothers‚ as they held over-leveraged positions in the mortgage backed securities market. Credit became widely available to unqualified borrowers
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