Smooth Transition Exponential Smoothing James W. Taylor Saïd Business School University of Oxford Journal of Forecasting‚ 2004‚ Vol. 23‚ pp. 385-394. Address for Correspondence: James W. Taylor Saïd Business School University of Oxford Park End Street Oxford OX1 1HP‚ UK Tel: +44 (0)1865 288927 Fax: +44 (0)1865 288805 Email: james.taylor@sbs.ox.ac.uk Smooth Transition Exponential Smoothing SMOOTH TRANSITION EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING Abstract Adaptive exponential smoothing methods allow a smoothing
Premium Exponential smoothing Time series analysis Forecasting
Admiral Chester W. Nimitz Jr. was a submarine commander and son of Chester Nimitz Sr.‚ a naval hero of the World War II. Nimitz Jr. and his wife‚ at the age of 86 and 89 respectively‚ made the tragic news of committing a double suicide with an overdose of sleeping pills. In their suicide note‚ they stated‚ “We have consciously‚ rationally‚ deliberately and of our own free will taken measures to end of lives today because of the physical limitations on our quality of life placed upon us by age‚ failing
Premium Suicide Religion Chester W. Nimitz
Does Clifford present a persuasive viewpoint of religious faith? In his article “The Ethics of Belief (Clifford‚ 1877) W.K. Clifford sought to claim that it is inappropriate always‚ in all places‚ and for anyone‚ to believe anything upon unsatisfactory evidence. The goal of this paper is to determine whether indeed this opinion offered by Clifford‚ when considering religious faith‚ is persuasive. To successfully do this‚ I will weigh up the arguments that Clifford put forward‚ including that of disbelieving
Premium Belief Religion Faith
Fredrick W. Taylor (1856 1915)‚ pioneered the scientific management movement which studies a job carefully‚ breaking it into its smallest components‚ establish exact time and motion requirements for each task to be done‚ and then train workers to best complete these tasks in the same ways over and over again (Schermerhorn‚ Hunt & Osborn‚ 1998). These efforts are the forerunners of modern industrial engineering approaches to job design that focus on process efficiencies‚ the best methods and smooth
Premium Management
“The Monkey’s Paw” was written by Wiliam Wymark Jacobs of England in 1902. W. W. Jacobs‚ who wrote mostly humorous short stories which reflected British culture‚ lived in England near the wharves where trading ships moored to load and unload their goods from other countries. Surprisingly a horror story‚ “The Monkey’s Paw” is actually his most famous piece‚ involving a popular theme from the Book of One Thousand and One Nights. In this short story‚ a monkey’s paw grants three wishes to its three consecutive
Premium
Anne Boleyn Boleyn” By G. W. Bernard In this article G. W. Bernard talks about the reasons why Anne Boleyn was charged and convicted of adultery. The main reason presented is that King Henry VIII wanted to cast Anne Boleyn aside‚ in order to marry his latest mistress‚ Jane Seymour. G. W. Bernard argues that King Henry VIII was upset because Anne Boleyn had not produced a male child‚ and that King Henry VIII found Anne Boleyn’s abrasive character and pride intolerable. G. W. Bernard states that he
Premium Henry VIII of England Anne Boleyn Marriage
the other there is another type of slavery going on in cooperate businesses. In these two essays I chose and plan to tell you about the oppression in “Caged Bird” (Angelou‚ M.) and the oppression in “Life Under the Chief Doublespeak officer” (Lutz‚ W.) which he shows with the firing of people. Oppression whether by a slaves masters or by the leaders of major corporations‚
Premium Writing American Civil War Southern United States
In his inaugural speech on January 20 th in 2001‚ President Bush reminds the American people of the rare authority in history and that they can easily affirm old traditions and make new beginnings. He begins with the story of the United States and gives several examples like slavery or the immigrants coming to America. After that he describes the ideals everyone has got‚ the promise that everybody deserves a chance. Furthermore Bush requests Americans to enact this promise and to follow that course
Free President of the United States United States Bless you
First of all I want to begin with the narrative perspective. In the short story “Mr. Know-All” by William Somerset Maugham there is a first person narrator‚ who takes an active part in the story. He is a very important character. It is not easy to tell whether he is a minor or a major character. On the one hand he is a major character because the way he presents Mr. Kelada influences the reader a lot. On the other hand he is just a minor character because he is only the presenter of Mr. Kelada. The
Free Fiction Narrative
P.W Catanese wrote a book called “The Brave Apprentice” and the story is a Folktale Characters Because the It Realistic Fiction because it relates to real life. The main characters are Patch‚Gosling‚ and Osbert’s. Patch is a kid from a village that been called for help he is the hore of the village. Gosling is one of Patch friends they they are both going to war together and Osbert is the king son. He will train they both kids to be as good as him. The three boys are going to work hard because
Premium KILL English-language films Family