"Use probability concepts to formulate a decision" Essays and Research Papers

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    Concept of Communication

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    CONCEPT OF COMMUNICATION Communication is sharing our feelings‚ ideas and opinions with others. This can be intellectual‚ personal‚ spoken or written in nature. We live in groups and man is invariably a social animal. As the social needs insist that we share our thoughts with others. This can be called communication. It is a two-way process. In spoken communication‚ we have speakers and listeners who send and receive verbal messages from each other. In written communication‚ we have writers and

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    decision

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    Decision making models can be very effective in problem solving. Scheduling is a big problem at Direct HomeHealth Care and a solution needed to be found. Scheduling software which can be very expensive was the only conclusion that could be reached. With much thought and analysis a resolution was reached with critical thought and a decision making model from the Small Business Development Center. Decision making models can be very helpful in analyzing a problem and setting up a step by step process

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    Homework 3   Probability   1.    As part of a Pick Your Prize promotion‚ a store invited customers to choose which of three prizes they’d like to win.  They also kept track of respondents’ gender.  The following contingency table shows the results:     | MP3 Player | Camera | Bike | Total | Men | 62 | 117 | 60 | 239 | Woman | 101 | 130 | 30 | 261 | Total | 163 | 247 | 90 | 500 |         What is the probability that: a.    a randomly selected customer would pick the camera? 247/500= 0.494=

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    NAME: SHU ZHAOHUI ID: 17329164 Q5. Descriptive Statistics | | N | Minimum | Maximum | Mean | Std. Deviation | Skewness | | Statistic | Statistic | Statistic | Statistic | Statistic | Statistic | Std. Error | Gasolinescore | 1000 | 3.00 | 21.00 | 14.9090 | 4.83654 | -.493 | .077 | Globalscore | 1000 | 3.00 | 21.00 | 17.0490 | 3.78774 | -1.073 | .077 | Valid N (listwise) | 1000 | | | | | | | The mean in the gaslinescore and globalscore stand for the average the respondents choose is

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    2. In “Everyday Use” by Alice Walker‚ Maggie and her mother’s relationship is depicted as tight-knit. This can be interpreted throughout the story because Mama describes how they spend the majority of their time together. An example of this is when Mama says‚ “Maggie will marry John Thomas… then I’ll be free to sit here and I guess just sing church songs by myself”‚ implying that they normally sing together. Mama also predicts Maggie’s actions. She predicts how Maggie will “be nervous until her sister

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    Karan negi 12.2 12.3 We use equation 2 to find out probability: F(t)=1 – e^-Lt 1-e^-(0.4167)(10) = 0.98 almost certainty. This shows that probability of another arrival in the next 10 minutes. Now we figure out how many customers actually arrive within those 10 minutes. If the mean is 0.4167‚ then 0.4167*10=4.2‚ and we can round that to 4. X-axis represents minutes (0-10) Y-axis represents number of people. We can conclude from this chart that the highest point with the most visitors

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    ------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------- Research Paper ------------------------------------------------- THE PROBABILITY OF FINANCIAL CRISIS IN THE USA IN 2012-2013 ------------------------------------------------- Ilias Habbasov ------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------- BBA course submitted to Elżbieta Jendrych‚ PhD on 3 December 2012 Winter Semester 2012/2013

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    2006‚ suggesting that Nationwide’s decision to cancel policies in light of the calm hurricane seasons (in Florida) in 2005-07 may have cost the company potential revenue and customer goodwill. Do you think Rommel’s quote about making a ‘sound business decision’ reveals any perceptual or decision-making biases? Why or Why not? A: Jeff Rommel’s quote about making a ‘sound business decision’ reveals two main perceptual or decision-making biases. The first decision-making bias is overconfidence bias

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    Decision Tree

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    Decision Tree A decision tree is a schematic tree shaped diagram which is used to determine a course of action or statistical probability. Each branch of the decision tree represents a possible decision or occurrence. A decision tree is important to use when planning the festival because we be able to see all of the possible outcomes for all of the options before investing and going ahead with them. From the decision tree we will be able to see how much can be made and how much can be lost when investing

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    t) P (X > s + t) P (X > t) e−λ(s+t) e−λt e−λs P (X > s) – Example: Suppose that the amount of time one spends in a bank is exponentially distributed with mean 10 minutes‚ λ = 1/10. What is the probability that a customer will spend more than 15 minutes in the bank? What is the probability that a customer will spend more than 15 minutes in the bank given that he is still in the bank after 10 minutes? Solution: P (X > 15) = e−15λ = e−3/2 = 0.22 P (X > 15|X > 10) = P (X > 5) = e−1/2 =

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