Integrated Planning – Module 2 1 Agenda • Forecasting‚ • Factors influencing Demand • Basic Demand Patterns • Basic Principles of Forecasting • Principles of Data Collection • Basic Forecasting Techniques‚ Seasonality • Sources & Types of Forecasting Errors Forecasting can be conducted at various levels Strategic Required for • Product life cycle • Long-term capacity planning • Capital asset/equipment/ human resource management Examples • Product line transitions • Annual volume out
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UVA-F-1372 Rev. Sept. 8‚ 2010 WORLDWIDE PAPER COMPANY In December 2006‚ Bob Prescott‚ the controller for the Blue Ridge Mill‚ was considering the addition of a new on-site longwood woodyard. The addition would have two primary benefits: to eliminate the need to purchase shortwood from an outside supplier and create the opportunity to sell shortwood on the open market as a new market for Worldwide Paper Company (WPC). Now the new woodyard would allow the Blue Ridge Mill not only to reduce its
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The possible impact of university corruption on customers’ ethical standards Merlin Stone1 and Michael Starkey2 Correspondence: Merlin Stone‚ The Customer Framework‚ Lily Hill House‚ Lily Hill Road‚ Ascot RG12 2SJ‚ UK. E-mail:merlin.stone@thecustomerframework.com 1is Head of Research at The Customer Framework. He is author or co-author of many articles and 30 books on customer management. The UK’s Chartered Institute of Marketing listed him in 2003 as one of the world’s top 50 marketing thinkers
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CAPITAL BUDGETING FOR MULTINATIONALS 13.1 INTRODUCTION Although the original decision to undertake an investment in a particular foreign country may be the outcome of combination of strategic‚ behavioural and economic considerations‚ choice of a specific project within a particular product-market posture calls for evaluation of its economic feasibility. For this purpose‚ capital budgeting exercise has to be done. A firm should deploy funds in a project if the marginal revenue obtained there from
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FIN3101 Corporate Finance Practice Questions Topic: Capital Budgeting 1. Marsh Motors has to choose one of two new machines. Machine 1 costs $180‚000‚ has a 3 year life and EBIT of $108‚750 per year. Machine 2 costs $360‚000‚ has a life of 6 years and EBIT of $122‚875 per year. Assume straight line depreciation over the life of the machine. Marsh is a levered firm with a debt equity ratio of 0.40. The beta of equity is 1.125 while the beta of debt is 0.25. The market risk premium is 8 percent
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The Policy Process Part II Lenue Richardson HCS/455 March 14‚ 2013 University of Phoenix The Policy Process Part II Introduction The development of policy is not something that can be done in an efficient manner. However; there are times when policies are very burdensome and can be a very big challenge‚ one that is loaded with all sorts of committees and everything else‚ it is truly an experience. Although the creating of a policy is a very different experience it is necessary
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1) Raw data‚ not seasonalized 2) Seasonal Adjustment used: Census II X-12 multiplicative (MASA): Used because of the presence of seasonal variations that are increasing with the level of my series. Increasing degree of variability overtime… TX non seasonalized and seasonalized 3) Combined seasonally adjusted with non-seasonally adjusted De-seasonalizing the data helped with the removal of seasonal component that creates higher volatility in model. Now‚ variations
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Case Forecasting Beer Demand at Anadolu Efes Murat Köksalan Department of Industrial Engineering‚ Middle East Technical University‚ Ankara 06531‚ Turkey koksalan@ie.metu.edu.tr Selin Özpeynirci ˙ ˙ Department of Industrial Systems Engineering‚ Izmir University of Economics‚ Izmir 35330‚ Turkey‚ selin.ozpeynirci@ieu.edu.tr Haldun Süral Department of Industrial Engineering‚ Middle East Technical University‚ Ankara 06531‚ Turkey sural@ie.metu.edu.tr Key words: forecasting; regression
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The Role of Participation in Budgeting Introduction Although participation in budgeting may enforce the managerial performance‚ it has constrains and can cause some problems as well. This article analyses the possible advantages and limitations of the role of participation in budget setting. In the next section‚ the possible merits of budgetary participation are demonstrated. This is followed by a section that explains the equivocation existing in the relationship between budgetary participation
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on the importance of forecasting. The presentation would be done along the following lines. * THE MEANING OF FORECASTING * STEPS USED TO DEVELOP A FORECASTING SYSTEM * QUALITATIVE FORECASTING * QUANTITATIVE FORECASTING * BENEFITS OF FORECASTING THE MEANING OF FORECASTING A planning tool that helps management in its attempts to cope with the uncertainty of the future‚ relying mainly on data from the past and present and analysis of trends. Forecasting entails the use of
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