DECISION ANALYSIS PROBLEMS Many decision analysis problems can be viewed as having three variables: decision alternatives‚ states of nature‚ and payoffs. • Decision alternatives are the various choices or options available to the decision maker in any given problem situation. On most days‚ financial managers face the choices of whether to invest in blue chip stocks‚ bonds‚ commodities‚ certificates of deposit‚ money markets‚ annuities‚ and other investments. Construction decision makers must
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MODULES Quantitative Module Decision-Making Tools A Module Outline THE DECISION PROCESS IN OPERATIONS FUNDAMENTALS OF DECISION MAKING DECISION TABLES TYPES OF DECISION-MAKING ENVIRONMENTS Decision Making Under Uncertainty Decision Making Under Risk Decision Making Under Certainty Expected Value of Perfect Information (EVPI) DECISION TREES A More Complex Decision Tree Using Decision Trees in Ethical Decision Making SUMMARY KEY TERMS USING SOFTWARE FOR DECISION MODELS SOLVED PROBLEMS INTERNET
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Contents 1. Decision making .................................................................................................................................. 2 1.1. 1.2. Information systems.................................................................................................................... 2 1.3. 2. What is decision making? ........................................................................................................... 2 The process of decision making ...
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In everyday life we are challenged in making sound decisions‚ decisions that will last for a life time. People often wonder after making a decision if it was the right choice‚ will it affect the people around me‚ was this a good choice for my family‚ and will the decision affect them. The decision- making process should be one that makes a positive change. Can the decision making process work for organization as well as individuals. Before changing to the job that I currently have‚ I had to decide
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Ethical Decision-Making Critical Thinking: Strategies in Decision Making Ethical Decision-Making In today’s business and personal world‚ ethical decisions are made on a daily basis. Most of these decisions are based on company ground rules. The others are based on personal ground rules. All decisions can have a number of ground rules that help us determine whether our decision is ethical or unethical. Each decision whether it is based on company or personal ground rules will have its own set
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| Decision Making Process | Choosing a College | | | 3/19/2012 | | It is never easy to make decisions in life‚ especially life changing decisions. The decision making process is a very difficult process that is used by everyone in one way or another. Some people may alter the decision making process in order to fit their own needs and their own personal circumstances‚ but there is a model that has been provided in order to show the basic steps. The decision making process model
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The Outsourcing Decision 1.0 Introduction In an effort to focus on core functions‚ reduce costs and increase efficiency‚ many organizations have been forced to outsource some departments and even divisions. Outsourcing is a common practice in the oil and gas industry and many companies have experimented with it. In fact‚ British Petroleum has outsourced its IT and accounting operations to other firms in order to concentrate on activities that facilitate improvements in the entire business (Cross
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A Case Study of “Rational Decision Making” Ali Rashid Cheema ECON 401: Engineering Economics Decision Making •Decision – Making a choice from two or more alternatives. •The Decision-Making Process – Identifying a problem and decision criteria and allocating weights to the criteria. – Developing‚ analyzing‚ and selecting an alternative that can resolve the problem. – Implementing the selected alternative. – Evaluating the decision’s effectiveness. The Situation • Hamzah is a sales
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Chapter 8 Decision Support Systems Managers and Decision Making A decision refers to a choice made between alternatives. Why Managers Need the Support of Information Technology. It is very difficult to make good decisions without valid‚ timely and relevant information. Number of alternatives to be considered is increasing Many decisions are made under time pressure. Due to uncertainty in the decision environment‚ it is frequently necessary to conduct a sophisticated analysis
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1 I 1.1 Chapter Outline A Decision Tree Model and Its Analysis • The following concepts are introduced through the use of a simple decision tree example (the Bill Sampras ’ summer job decision): Decision tree Decision node Event node Mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive set of events Branches and final values Expected Monetary Value (EMV) Optimal decision strategy • Introduction of the folding back or backward induction procedure for solving a decision tree. • Discussion on sensitivity
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