An Assignment On Forecasting Submitted To Dr. Tophan Patra Submitted By Kumail Murtaza MBA AVM SEM III R250211021 College of Management and Economic Studies (CMES) University of Petroleum and Energy Studies Dehradun‚ India Exponential Smoothing Class Values Ft+1 = α.Xt + (1- α).Ft ----------------------------------- Eqn 1 Ft+1----- Forecasted Value of the next period “t+1” α------- Smoothing Factor/Coefficient Xt------- Actual Value
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1 2.8 3.1 2.5 2.2 3.6 4. a. Explain the characteristics of business forecasting. [ 5 marks] b. Differentiate between prediction‚ projection and forecasting. [ 5 marks] 5. What are the components of time series? Bring out the significance of moving average in analysing a time series and point out its limitations. [ 10 marks] 6. List down various measures of central tendency and explain the difference between them? [ 5 marks] b. What is a confidence interval‚ and why it is useful? What is a confidence
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of everyone. Let’s start with a time series where we know the answer. In the example below‚ X starts at 100‚ grows 3%‚ then falls back again‚ then grows 3% again. So over the three years‚ it has grown from 100 to 103. 1 Year 2000 2001 2002 2003 Average CAGR 2 3 4 X Growth X DlnX 100 103 0.03 0.0295588 100 -0.0291262 -0.0295588 103 0.03 0.0295588 0.01029126 0.00985293 0.00990163 Column 3 calculates by Xt/Xt-1 -1 and column 4 by ln(Xt)-ln(Xt-1)‚ click on the spreadsheet to check. What can we say
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National Cranberry Cooperative 2. The resource with least capacity determines the maximum long-term achievable throughput rate. Because wet and dry berries follow different routes at RP#1 there will be a maximum achievable throughput for each. The capacity of the dryers is the bottleneck for the wet berries. The maximum throughput for wet berries is 600 bbls/hr. For dry berries the separation process is the bottleneck. The maximum throughput for dry berries is 1200 bbls/hr. The percentage
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department ($) |375‚000 |620‚000 | Bob new the his labor cost per hour has increased from average of $13 per hour to an average of $14 per hour‚ primarily due to a move by management to become more competitive with a new company that had just opened a plant in the area. He also knew that his average cost per barrel of raw material had increased from $320 to $360. He was concerned about the accounting procedures that increased his capital cost
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Chapter 9 Cost of Capital 1. What is the WACC? a. Weighted Average Cost of Capital- most firms employ different types of capital‚ and because of their differences in risk‚ the difference securities have different required rates of return. Typically=debt‚ preferred stock and common equity. 2. What precautions must we take when measuring the WACC to use for capital budgeting decisions (future investment)? b. The company’s current and recent past book and market value structures
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inventory holding cost rate is $3 per unit‚ and the cost to place an order is estimated tobe $50. Calculate the following:a) Average inventory level• EOQ sqrt(2DS)/H• sqrt(2*5200*50/3)= 416b) The number of orders placed per year• 5200/416= 12.5 per yearc) The total annual inventory holding cost• $3x416/2= 624 holding cost(Holding cost of annual inventory times the average inventory dived by 2)d) The total annual ordering cost• Cost to place order is $50 x 4= $200e) The total annual cost• $3 per unit
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13-06A partiallyCorrect 1. 5.21 partiallyCorrect 2. 5.83 incorrect 3. 0.00 incorrect 4. 0.00 Wrong "Check My Work" Clicked: 3 Times Hint(s) Check My Work eBookeBook Problem 13-6A Specific Identification‚ FIFO‚ LIFO‚ and Weighted-Average Swing Company’s beginning inventory and purchases during the fiscal year ended September 30‚ 20-2‚ were as follows: Use the following information for the specific identification method. There are 1‚300 units of inventory on hand on September
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order chosen. A model which depends only on the previous outputs of the system is called an autoregressive model (AR)‚ while a model which depends only on the inputs to the system is called a moving average model (MA)‚ and of course a model based on both inputs and outputs is an autoregressive-moving-average model (ARMA). Note that by definition‚ the AR model has only poles while the MA model has only zeros. Several methods and algorithms exist for calculating the coefficients of the AR model‚ all
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Jessica Benson Elizabeth Shelley KCHU 120 November 13‚ 2013 A is for Average The percentage of A grades awarded in colleges throughout the United States have skyrocketed over the past 50 years. Unfortunately‚ this trend is not seen as an indication of higher quality or harder-working students. In fact‚ many studies have found that students in higher education devote considerably less time to studying and completing schoolwork than in the past. Corollaries between grade inflation and changing
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