1 Why probability and statistics? Is everything on this planet determined by randomness? This question is open to philosophical debate. What is certain is that every day thousands and thousands of engineers‚ scientists‚ business persons‚ manufacturers‚ and others are using tools from probability and statistics. The theory and practice of probability and statistics were developed during the last century and are still actively being refined and extended. In this book we will introduce the basic notions
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option. Use the risk-neutral valuation method to price this call option. Work recursively back through the Binomial tree‚ calculating the call option price at each node. Check that the option price at each node matches that calculated in part a. Again use the risk-neutral method to value this call option‚ but this time do not work back recursively. Rather‚ focus on the terminal distribution of stock price (and the number of paths which lead to each terminal stock price). Assume a European-style put
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guys‚ this is the probability Assignment. Last date for submission is 10 aug... Q1. What is the probability of picking a card that was either red or black? Q2. A problem in statistics is given to 5 students A‚ B‚ C‚ D‚ E. Their chances of solving it are ½‚1/3‚1/4‚1/5‚1/6. What is the probability that the problem will be solved? Q3. A person is known to hit the target in 3 out of 4 shots whereas another person is known to hit the target in 2 out of 3 shots. Find the probability that the target
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Conditional Probability How to handle Dependent Events Life is full of random events! You need to get a "feel" for them to be a smart and successful person. Independent Events Events can be "Independent"‚ meaning each event is not affected by any other events. Example: Tossing a coin. Each toss of a coin is a perfect isolated thing. What it did in the past will not affect the current toss. The chance is simply 1-in-2‚ or 50%‚ just like ANY toss of the coin. So each toss is an Independent
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Distribution Apples upstream partners are the manufactures Foxconn Technology Group‚ which also manufactures Apple’s iPod‚ iPhone and Mac Min. It is headquartered in Tucheng‚ Taiwan but it manufactures the Apple products in its largest plan in Shenzhen‚ China. However Apple does not disclose the makers of its components‚ research shows that various parts and suppliers include: * Apple A4 SoC: Samsung.[13][98] * NAND flash RAM chips: Toshiba; except Samsung for the 64 GB model.[99][100]
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are noted. What is the probability that both outcomes are heads? Explain. Ans. P(H) = 1/2 Probability of 2 heads = 1/2 x 1/2 = 1/4 Q.2 Suppose that 25% of the population in a given area is exposed to a television commercial on Ford automobiles‚ and 34% is exposed to Ford’s radio advertisements. Also‚ it is known that 10 % of the population is exposed to both means of advertising. If a person is randomly chose out of the entire population on this area‚ what is the probability
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EPGDIB 2014-16 Business statistics class exercise 1 Business application problems of probability Q1)Arthur Anderson enterprise group /National small business united ‚Washington conducted a national survey of small business owners to determine the challenges for growth for their businesses. The top challenge selected by 46% of the small business owners was the economy. A close second was finding qualified workers (37%) .Suppose 15% of the small
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deviation =10.59 3. If the variance is 846‚ what is the standard deviation? Solution: standard deviation = square root of variance = sqrt(846) = 29.086 4. If we have the following data 34‚ 38‚ 22‚ 21‚ 29‚ 37‚ 40‚ 41‚ 22‚ 20‚ 49‚ 47‚ 20‚ 31‚ 34‚ 66 Draw a stem and leaf. Discuss the shape of the distribution. Solution: 2 3 4 5 6 | | | | | 219200 48714 0197 6 This distribution is right skewed (positively skewed) because the “tail” extends to the right. 5. What type of relationship is shown by this
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TLFeBOOK FUNDAMENTALS OF PROBABILITY AND STATISTICS FOR ENGINEERS T.T. Soong State University of New York at Buffalo‚ Buffalo‚ New York‚ USA TLFeBOOK TLFeBOOK FUNDAMENTALS OF PROBABILITY AND STATISTICS FOR ENGINEERS TLFeBOOK TLFeBOOK FUNDAMENTALS OF PROBABILITY AND STATISTICS FOR ENGINEERS T.T. Soong State University of New York at Buffalo‚ Buffalo‚ New York‚ USA TLFeBOOK Copyright 2004 John Wiley & Sons Ltd‚ The Atrium‚ Southern G ate‚ Chichester‚ West
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skills can be used anytime and anywhere. For instance‚ the mathematical usage of probability can aid people in smart decision making‚ and can help people understand their odds. Statistically‚ probability refers to the relative possibility that an event will occur‚ as expressed by the ratio of the number of actual occurrences to the total number of possible occurrences (SOURCE). A rather obvious activity where probability applies is to is gambling. Casino games‚ such as Texas Hold Em’‚ can be played
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