Richard C. Carrier‚ Ph.D. “Bayes’ Theorem for Beginners: Formal Logic and Its Relevance to Historical Method — Adjunct Materials and Tutorial” The Jesus Project Inaugural Conference “Sources of the Jesus Tradition: An Inquiry” 5-7 December 2008 (Amherst‚ NY) Table of Contents for Enclosed Document Handout Accompanying Oral Presentation of December 5...................................pp. 2-5 Adjunct Document Expanding on Oral Presentation.............................................pp. 6-26
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Bayes’ theorem describes the relationships that exist within an array of simple and conditional probabilities. For example: Suppose there is a certain disease randomly found in one-half of one percent (.005) of the general population. A certain clinical blood test is 99 percent (.99) effective in detecting the presence of this disease; that is‚ it will yield an accurate positive result in 99 percent of the cases where the disease is actually present. But it also yields false-positive results in 5
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1. What is Bank? Institution which accept deposit for lending Banks are the financial institutions that mobilise the savings of the community and make them available to the people for generating income. A bridge between the user of capital and those who save but can’t use the funds themselves. 2. What are the functions of Banks? 1. Receipts of Deposits: 3 types of deposits- Current deposits‚ Savings deposits‚ Term deposits 2. Lending of Money: Cash Credit‚ Over Draft‚ Loans and Advances 3. Agency
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Chapter 9 Na¨ve Bayes ı David J. Hand Contents Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Algorithm Description . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Power Despite Independence . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Extensions of the Model . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
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Chapter 14—Business Presentations MULTIPLE CHOICE 1. What is the least accurate statement about oral presentations? a. Only employees at upper levels find it necessary give persuasive oral presentations. b. Many future business people don’t take opportunities in college to develop speaking skills. c. A recent study shows that the No. 1 predictor of success and upward mobility is how much you enjoy public speaking and how effective you are at it. d. Speaking skills are useful at every career
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ANSWERS TO AICPA QUESTIONS CHAPTER 10 INTELLECTUAL PROPERTY RIGHTS AND THE INTERNET 1. (a) Computer software is covered under the general copyright laws and is therefore usually copyrightable as an expression of ideas. Answer (b) is incorrect because copyrights in general do not need a copyright notice for works published after March 1‚ 1989. Answer (c) is incorrect because a recent court ruled that programs in both source codes‚ which are human readable‚ and in machine readable object
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fundamental goal of business? Do all organizations share this goal?The fundamental goal of business is to earn a profit. Not all organizations share this goal because they are nonprofit organizations. 2. Name the forms a product may take and give some examples of each. The forms a product may take are tangible and intangible. Tangible goods are computers‚ clothing‚ automobiles‚ and food. Intangible goods are services or ideas made by people. 3. Who are the main participants of business? What are the
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CHAPTER 1 1. Internal expansion involves a normal increase in business resulting from increased demand for products and services‚ achieved without acquisition of preexisting firms. Some companies expand internally by undertaking new product research to expand their total market‚ or by attempting to obtain a greater share of a given market through advertising and other promotional activities. Marketing can also be expanded into new geographical areas. External expansion is the bringing together
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UNIT 2 THEOREMS Structure 2.1 Introduction Objectives PROBABILITY 2.2 Some Elementary Theorems 2.3 General Addition Rule 2.4 Conditional Probability and Independence 2.4.1 Conditional Probability 2.4.2 Independent Events and MultiplicationRule 2.4.3 Theorem of Total Probability and Bayes Theorem 2.5 Summary 2.1 INTRODUCTION You have already learnt about probability axioms and ways to evaluate probability of events in some simple cases. In this unit‚ we discuss ways to evaluate
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• Question 1 1 out of 1 points On the managerial grid‚ a leader who is high in both concern for people and concern for production would rate ________. Answer Selected Answer: (9‚9) Correct Answer: (9‚9) • Question 2 1 out of 1 points Recent studies indicate that this measure of ability is the best predictor of who will be a leader in an organisation. Answer Selected Answer: Emotional intelligence. Correct Answer: Emotional intelligence
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