Changes in the structure of the UKs population since 1970 has been due to many factors, the main influences being immigration, emigration, birth and death rates and total fertility rates. In 2005, the population of the UK reached its highest total ever; 60 million people. In the future, this is predicted to rise, reaching 64 million by 2023 and 67 million by 2031.
The total population is constantly changing and this is described as a dynamic system. Inputs (births and immigration) and out puts (deaths and emigration) vary over time to create either growth or decline in the population. The relative importance of migration to the UKs changing population varied significantly during the twentieth century. During the 1970s, more people emigrated from the UK than immigrated, however this all coincided with a baby boom, so natural increase due to higher birth rates compensated for the loss. This natural increase was responsible for around 98% of the UK’s population growth at the time, while net migration made up for the other 2%.
Between 2001 and 2005, immigration outstripped emigration. During this period of time, net migration was responsible for an extra 182,000 people living in the UK each year; whereas natural increase only added an extra 92,000 people each year. The main reasons for such a large amount of immigration are available job opportunities for people coming into the UK. Migration patterns in and out of the UK reflect the country’s cultural ties with members of the Commonwealth, as well as with other European nations. Between 2005 and 2021, it is expected that natural changes and net migration will account for similar amounts of the overall population size.
More people in the UK are living into old age, a situation that has been given the term a greying of the population. At the same time, the number of births in the UK is in decline. These two trends have been working together over the last 35 years to change the population structure of the UK. In 1971, there were twice as many under 16’s (14.3 million) as there were people aged over 65 and over (7.4 million). By 2005, the number of people in the under 16s age group and the 65 and over was much closer at 11.6 million under 16s and 9.6 million 65 and overs. By 2014, it is estimated that the number of people aged 65 and over will exceed those aged under 16 for the first time. There are already 1.2 million people aged over 85 living in the UK.
The UK experienced four baby booms in the twentieth century; the number of births each year in the UK fluctuated greatly during this period. The longest baby boom of the twentieth century occurred during the 1960s, with a peak of 1,014,700 births in 1964. However, the final years of the twentieth century saw a generally low number of births, with less than 700,000 births each year in 2001 and 2002. Since then, births have slightly increased and projections suggest that the number of births will continue as a relatively stable level at between 695,000 to 724,000 each year.
Fertility is another important measure for monitoring population change. Total fertility rate (TFR) is the average number of children who would be born per women if she was to live to the end of her childbearing years and follow natural patterns of fertility. In 2005, the TFR in the UK was 1.79. The replacement level needed to maintain population size is 2.1. In the UK, the TFR fell to a record low in 2001 and 2002. Since then it has gradually climbed back to 1.79, but the Office for National Statistics cannot predict whether this is the beginning of a sustained rise. 20% of women in the UK do not have children, either through choice or because of infertility.
The age at which women in the UK become pregnant for the first time is also becoming later. The birth rate for women in their twenties is falling, while the birth rate for women in their thirties is rising. This can be due to a number of social changes. These can include, higher number of divorce or separation, meaning that women do not start as family in their twenties with their first partner. Women may also delay starting a family until they are in their thirties so they can pursue a career beforehand.
To conclude, there is a visible trend between certain factors and the changes in the UK population. Net migration is now responsible for around an extra 90,000 people living in the UK each year. This can be due to factors such as increased job opportunities, health care, environment and government policies. A decrease in the number of deaths in the UK now means that the number of people age 65 and over are now nearly equal to the amount of people under 16 living in the UK and this is projected to increase even more. A further decline in birth rates, due to women focusing on their careers more now means that the replacement level to maintain the population for the UK is becoming harder to reach.
You May Also Find These Documents Helpful
-
A factor that creates changes in the population size is changes with the global scale. The changes with the global scale are the amounts of births and deaths in the world. Birth rate factors consist of family planning, contraception, education, religious and cultural views. Death rate factors consist of lack of education, disease, lack of medical care, murder, suicide, and accidents. Migration plays a big role on population size. Enough people migrating can increase or decrease the numbers of population size. People can leave and enter the country due to, natural hazards, education, money issues, family issues, political instability, social and economic reasons.…
- 329 Words
- 2 Pages
Satisfactory Essays -
The largest change to the UK demographics would be the overall increase in the average age of the country, because of the innovation in medicine keeping people alive for longer and people not getting sick for long. This could provide many opportunities for a firm in the UK, either in sales or the management of the firm. A firm could change the demographics of its target audience to an older generation, in order to potentially increase sales. For example there has been a large increase in mobile phones designed specifically for an older market, with many utilities that would be useful to the older generation, such as larger buttons and a “help me” text button. On the other hand this does provide some threat to firms in the technological industry; with firms having to work harder to gain the attention of the main target market of teenagers and young adults. However, while the over average demographic of the UK is growing older this is also countered by the fact that the whole economy is growing in general. The overall population has increased from 55million to almost 70 million over the last 50 years, and the growth is exponentially growing because of the increase presence of globalisation and the free movement of labour across all EU countries. This means that while the average age of the population has increased substantially, the overall market has increased by near the same rate. This means that while the market that are unpopular with the older generation, such as the technology industry, will have stayed about the same size; or maybe even grown a bit. This means…
- 1248 Words
- 5 Pages
Good Essays -
14. The relationship of which demographic factors gives us the rate of natural increase of a country’s population?…
- 1204 Words
- 7 Pages
Powerful Essays -
In the course of Britain’s history, the country has always been a destination for many immigrants. The geographical position and with it the closeness to the ocean are the important criteria’s for a quick migration either out or into the country. With the industrial revolution, starting in the 18th century, Britain began to build machine tools, developed the steam engine and processed iron. Numerous jobs developed and therefore thousands of immigrants found their way to Britain. Irish migrants were especially attracted to the economic growth in Britain. The geographical proximity facilitated the emigration to a great extent. The two countries had always been connected by interactions such as migration. From the late 18th century and early 19th century, the previously two- way flow, changed into a one way flow, directed from Ireland to Britain (MacRaild, 1999, S. 42).…
- 2572 Words
- 11 Pages
Powerful Essays -
When looking at immigrants and emigrants and how they caused demographic changes in the UK it is said that immigrating into our country leaves people who live in the UK with fewer jobs also they will need to provide more staff on the health care board as more people are living in the country. Britain…
- 496 Words
- 2 Pages
Satisfactory Essays -
Population is a group of people that changes in a certain area. Birth and death rates, and migration are the main causes for change in the population.…
- 780 Words
- 4 Pages
Good Essays -
In this essay I will explain how recent change of population has resulted in the recent increase of family diversity such as the family types found in the UK today such as the nuclear family, extended family, lone parents, reconstituted families, same sex families, beanpole families and cohabiting families. I will also explain the four factors that affect population growth and briefly explain some of the trends and patterns. I will conclude by explaining my view of how much important demographic changes are.…
- 1215 Words
- 5 Pages
Good Essays -
Demography is the systematic analysis of population and population dynamics including mortality. This lab examines the effects of different time periods and their individual variables on the sizes and mortality rates of populations.…
- 1051 Words
- 5 Pages
Good Essays -
Net migration (immigration minus emigration) to the UK hit a record high of 336,000 in the year to June, according to the Office for National Statistics. This has prompted not Galbraithian celebration, but a dismal round of lamentation and recrimination. Yet the economic case for immigration is as robust…
- 450 Words
- 2 Pages
Satisfactory Essays -
Overpopulation can result from an increase in births, a decline in mortality rates, an increase in immigration.…
- 586 Words
- 3 Pages
Good Essays -
In 1995, Britain had the largest number of arrivals, at 4500, followed by New Zealand, at 3500. Smaller numbers came from China and South Korea, at 1500 and 800, respectively. In 2005, the proportion of immigration changed considerably. Britain immigrant numbers decreased to 3500, but there was a dramatic increase in the number of immigrants from New Zealand, which went from 3500 to…
- 148 Words
- 1 Page
Satisfactory Essays -
Within those 50 years the population had more than doubled and many of these individuals were looking for available work opportunities. The population increase allowed Britain to move away from the slave labor it had previously used for the last 300…
- 1936 Words
- 8 Pages
Better Essays -
In the world we live in today, many centuries ago a huge movement started to erupt in the United States, which caused a sustainable increase in population through out time and still continues on this very day. That big movement was the immigration to the United States of America. In case anyone did not know the exact definition of immigration, it is the movement of a big group amount of people into another country or area to which they are not imprinted or inherited originally to. Out of all the millions of people who immigrated to the United States the majority of the newcomers came from specifically north and Western Europe.…
- 982 Words
- 4 Pages
Better Essays -
At the first stage of the transition model in 1700, population was on the rise. This is because the Birth Rate per thousand was marginally higher than the Death Rate per thousand. Meaning that population would see an increase.…
- 331 Words
- 2 Pages
Satisfactory Essays -
According to our required text, “demographic transition is a gradual process that occurs when a society moves from high birth and death rates to low birth and death rates” (Markson & Stein, 2012). The social and demographic changes of the last century led to the increased growth and aging of the population by transitioning and evolving with time. Back in the 19th and early 20th century, the world was not as advanced as it now. Currently there are better medicines, vaccines, technology, health care and opportunities to seek assistance.…
- 731 Words
- 3 Pages
Good Essays