Preview

Equity Valuation: Dividend Discount Models

Satisfactory Essays
Open Document
Open Document
3073 Words
Grammar
Grammar
Plagiarism
Plagiarism
Writing
Writing
Score
Score
Equity Valuation: Dividend Discount Models
Equity Valuation


Lecture Map


Definitions of Value




Book value, Liquidation value, Intrinsic value, Market value

Dividend discount models
 Constant-growth
 Multi-stage growth



Value Metrics and Determinants of Value



Current earnings and growth
P/E

Lesmond

1

Book Value of Equity
The firm’s equity value, or stock value, is stated right on the firm’s books
 This is NOT the market value of equity
 Book value per share of Equity is the value of common equity on the books, divided by the number of shares


The value of Stockholder’s equity is in the section of the balance sheet called Liabilities and Owners’ Equity
 Refer to the last set of pages for the Income
Statement, Balance Sheet, and CF Statement


Lesmond

2

Book Stockholder’s Equity


Derived from accounting rules




Simply the amount by which total assets exceed total liabilities, where total assets are generally valued at purchase price less depreciation

Some questions about the assets on the Balance Sheet?






Where is the
Where is the property? Where is the employees? Where is the suppliers? PV of the firm’s current projects? value of the firm’s patents and other intellectual value of the firm’s knowledge base, stored in its

value of the firm’s relationships with buyers and

Lesmond

3

Let’s check some numbers:


Assuming a price of $76.56 for Walmart as of September 4, 2014



Book Value of Equity?



Price to Book?



Price to Sales?



Price-to-EPS (P/E)?



Debt-to-Equity?



Return on Equity (ROE)?

Lesmond

4

Liquidation Value


The amount the firm could be sold for – either in pieces (sell off divisions or business lines) or as a whole. 




Liquidation value can also mean the value of the actual assets of the firm, assuming we just shut down the business and sell the assets (this is a real floor on value). Question: In general, can you buy a firm for less than its liquidation value?
Can a firm be worth less than its book value?
Lesmond

5

You May Also Find These Documents Helpful

  • Powerful Essays

    Average total shareholders equity | 445028.5 | | Interest expenses | 5,885 | 5,112 | Income before interest and tax | 22,088 | 4,730 | | | | Times interest earned | 2.75 | 1.92 | ROI | 3.50% | 1.26% | ROE | 2.42% | 6.91% |…

    • 1971 Words
    • 8 Pages
    Powerful Essays
  • Powerful Essays

    Busm 301 Ch1

    • 2183 Words
    • 9 Pages

    A firm’s intrinsic value is an estimate of a stock’s “true” value based on accurate risk and return data. It can be estimated but not measured precisely. A stock’s current price is its market price—the value based on perceived but…

    • 2183 Words
    • 9 Pages
    Powerful Essays
  • Good Essays

    | Another term for owner’s equity, the amount by which the business assets exceed the business liabilities.…

    • 765 Words
    • 4 Pages
    Good Essays
  • Best Essays

    Westjet Case Analysis

    • 2182 Words
    • 9 Pages

    WestJet is a Canadian low-cost airline, publicly traded on the Toronto Stock Exchange – (TSX: WJA). Founded in 1996, it currently is the second largest carrier in Canada, next to Air Canada.…

    • 2182 Words
    • 9 Pages
    Best Essays
  • Satisfactory Essays

    Residual Dividends

    • 513 Words
    • 3 Pages

    5. Pay dividend at current rate of 8% or residual dividend. To make this decision their some factor to consider, taxes rates, income interest rate and so on but the most important if you pay at residual dividend is the company can maintain them self at the high percentage. If there growth is going to continue. Is better to pay at a current dividend growth rate at 8%. This way your growth can continue and you own you are able to pay and maintain.…

    • 513 Words
    • 3 Pages
    Satisfactory Essays
  • Better Essays

    Second is the statement of stockholders equity. The statement of stockholders equity details changes in the investments made by the organizations owners, including stock issuances, stock repurchases, stock conversions, dividends paid, net income or net loss (McGladrey, Pullen, 2006). The third statement is the balance sheet. The balance sheet is a broad look at the organizations standing. The balance sheet shows the assets, liabilities, and stockholder 's equity for a specific period of time. The assets are listed at the top of the balance sheet, followed by the liabilities and stockholders ' equity. Assets and liabilities are divided into short-term and long-term. The bottom line of the balance sheet must be equal, which means assets must equal the liabilities and stockholders equity.…

    • 991 Words
    • 4 Pages
    Better Essays
  • Satisfactory Essays

    2 3 4 5 6 Stock value in Year 5 Total stock value today Value per share 3) Industry PE Ragan PE (original assumption) Ragan PE (revised assumption) Stock price implied by industry PE 4) Total earnings Cash cow value Percentage not attributable to growth opportunities Percentage attributable to growth opportunities 5) ROE…

    • 312 Words
    • 2 Pages
    Satisfactory Essays
  • Satisfactory Essays

    page 1. Introduction...............................................................................................................3 1.1 1.2 2. The importance of business valuation ..................................................................3 Key indicators covered in this seminar paper .......................................................4…

    • 6809 Words
    • 28 Pages
    Satisfactory Essays
  • Powerful Essays

    3. Use the model to do a DCF valuation of existing operations (i.e. operations at…

    • 1968 Words
    • 16 Pages
    Powerful Essays
  • Good Essays

    Valuing Stocks

    • 3717 Words
    • 15 Pages

    • Dividend – periodic cash distribution of (part of) profits from the company to its shareholdersa • Earnings Per Share (EP S) – profit divided by the number of shares outstanding • Payout Ratio – the fraction of earnings paid out • P/E Ratio – current share price divided by annual earnings per share: the multiple of earnings at which the stock currently sells…

    • 3717 Words
    • 15 Pages
    Good Essays
  • Good Essays

    THE PRACTICAL APPLICATION OF DISCOUNTED CASH-FLOW BASED VALUATION METHODS Publication: Studia Universitatis Babes Bolyai – Oeconomica, LII, 2/2007 Author Name: Takács, András; Language: English Subject: Economy Issue: 2/2007 Page Range: 13-28 Summary: Valuation methods based on Discounted Cash-Flow (DCF) play a major role in the field of company valuation. The current literature contains a reasonably deep and detailed theoretical basis for DCFbased valuation, although, when starting to apply the techniques to evaluate a real company, some practical problems may appear. This study summarizes the most important practical difficulties which may hinder the valuation process and proposes different ways of solving these. Beyond the theoretical discussion, the author illustrates the techniques with a case-study, using the financial figures of a fictive firm. Keywords: company valuation; discounted cash-flow methods;…

    • 5795 Words
    • 24 Pages
    Good Essays
  • Good Essays

    Amalgamation

    • 933 Words
    • 4 Pages

    |assets taken over xxx |Less: MV of total Liab. xxx |Merger: Amount paid to Equity shareholders|…

    • 933 Words
    • 4 Pages
    Good Essays
  • Satisfactory Essays

    * It is risky that you may be paying too much for an investment which is overpriced…

    • 2072 Words
    • 9 Pages
    Satisfactory Essays
  • Powerful Essays

    - Introduction I. Fed’s Stock Valuation Model How can we judge whether stock prices are too high, too low, or just right? The purpose of this weekly report is to track a stock valuation model that attempts to answer this question. While the model is very simple, it has been quite accurate and can also be used as a stocks-versus-bonds asset allocation tool. I started to study the model in 1997, after reading that the folks at the Federal Reserve have been using it. If it is good enough for them, it’s good enough for me. I dubbed it the Fed’s Stock Valuation Model (FSVM), though no one at the Fed ever officially endorsed it. On December 5, 1996, Alan Greenspan, Chairman of the Federal Reserve Board, famously worried out loud for the first time about “irrational exuberance” in the stock market. He didn’t actually say that stock prices were too high. Rather he asked the question: “But how do we know when irrational exuberance has unduly escalated asset values, which then become subject to unexpected and prolonged contractions….”1 He did it again on February 26, 1997.2 2 He probably instructed his staff to devise a stock market valuation model to help him evaluate the extent of the market’s exuberance. Apparently, they did so and it was made public, though buried, in the Fed’s Monetary Policy Report to the Congress, which accompanied Mr. Greenspan’s Humphrey-Hawkins testimony on July 22, 1997. 3 The Fed model was summed up in one paragraph and one chart on page 24 of the 25page document (see following table). The chart shows a strong correlation between the S&P 500 forward earnings yield (FEY)—i.e., the ratio of expected operating earnings (E) to the price index for the S&P 500 companies (P), using 12- month-ahead consensus earnings estimates compiled by Thomson Financial First…

    • 6943 Words
    • 28 Pages
    Powerful Essays
  • Satisfactory Essays

    Dividend Policy

    • 661 Words
    • 3 Pages

    * Residual dividend policy- This is a fluctuating dividend policy. Dividend is paid after available investment opportunities have been fulfilled.…

    • 661 Words
    • 3 Pages
    Satisfactory Essays