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FINS 3650 Topic 9 PJ V6

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FINS 3650 Topic 9 PJ V6
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FINS 3650 – International banking

Topic 9: Economic capital and risk-adjusted returns © Dr Peter John, peter.kavalamthara@unsw.edu.au
1
© Dr Peter John

Agenda


What is Economic Capital?



Business Imperative for Economic Capital
Framework



The Regulatory Imperative – Basel Pillar 2 & ICAAP



Economic Capital and Performance Management



Risk appetite

© Dr Peter John

2

1

Course schedule
1. Course overview and introduction 7 & 8. Market risk and liquidity 2. Country risk

9. Economic capital &

risk-adjusted return

3. Risk and regulation
4. Capital management

10. Int. trade & investm’t

5. Credit risk

11. Cross border risks

6. Operational risk

12. Review & revisions
©©Dr
DrPeter
PeterJohn
John

3

Assessments
Assessment
Class participation

Weight
15%

Group assignment
Mid-semester exam
Final exam

35%
20%
30%

©©Dr
DrPeter
PeterJohn
John

4

2

What is economic capital?
Economic capital is mathematically determined to cover ‘unexpected losses’ at a stated level of confidence (probability)


The concept of Expected and Unexpected Losses


Expected losses: Part of business as usual, and are covered by reserves and income (and not capital)



Unexpected losses: Losses due to unexpected events (e.g. September 11)



Economic Capital is the capital required to protect the bank from unexpected losses, except the ‘catastrophic events’



External rating ambitions of banks determine to what extent (that is, probability) unexpected losses are to be covered by Economic Capital

Probability of Loss

Solvency Standard
BBB A

.003

Expected Loss

.001

AA AAA
.0003 .0001

Economic Capital
Amount of
Loss
Unexpected losses

© Dr Peter John

Global Systematically Important Banks
(G-SIB)
Essential reading 1 (Topic 7 Part B): Global systemically important banks: updated assessment methodology and the higher loss absorbency requirement • What are the imperatives for establishing G-SIBs?
• Critique the approach adopted for identifying GSIBs.

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