Dr. M. Nusrate Aziz Senior Lecturer and DBA Coordinator
Graduate School of Management Multimedia University E-mail: md.nusrate@mmu.edu.my
Accounting Profit Vs. Cash Flow
• The Midland Company refines and trades gold. It purchased gold at the beginning of the year and paid $900,000. End of the year the company sold it for $1 million. However, money has yet to collect from customer.
Accounting View Income Statement, December 31 Sales - Costs $1,000,000 - $900,000 Financial View Income Statement, December 31 Cash Inflow Cash outflow $0 -$900,000
Profit
$100,000
Balance
-$900,000
• Value creation depends on cash flows. For Midland, value creation depends on whether and when it actually receives $1 million.
Timing of Cash Flow
• Present Value: The value of an investment made by a firm depends on the timing of the cash flows. One dollar today worth usually more than one dollar in the next year. • Suppose, the Midland Company is attempting to choose between two proposals for new products. Both proposals will provide additional cash flows over a four-year period.
Year 1 2 3 4 Total
New Product A $ 0 $ 0 $ 0 $20,000 $20,000
New Product B $ 4,000 $ 4,000 $ 4,000 $ 4,000 $16,000
• Which project would be chosen depends on whether the value of total cash from A outweigh the cash from B or vice versa.
Risk of Cash Flow
• Suppose, the Midlands company is considering expanding operations overseas. Europe is considered to be relatively safe, whereas operating in Japan is seen as risky. After doing a complete financial analysis, company has come up with the following cash flows of the alternative plans under three scenarios:
Pessimistic
Europe Japan $75,000 0
Most Likely
$100,000 $150,000
Optimistic
$125,000 $200,000
• If we ignore the pessimistic scenario, perhaps Japan is the best alternative. When we take pessimistic scenario into account, the choice is unclear (depends whether manager is risk taker