3.In what ways can decision trees be used for business decisions? Name some real-world examples.
Decision trees not only provide a useful investment tool, but also enable one to explore the ranging elements that could
have a material impact of a decision. They may be used when oil and gas exploration companies have to decide whether to invest in a particular gas field, or in choosing to allocate resources to exploiting one gas field rather than another. Prior to airing a multi-million Super-Bowl commercial, a firm will want to determined the different possible outcomes of their marketing campaign.
Response to DQ1 week 2
Decision Trees are wonderful tools for helping one to choose between many courses of action. They provide an effective structure which one can lie out options and investigate the possible outcomes of choosing those options. They also give one a picture of the risks and rewards associated with each possible course of action.
DQ 2 Week 2
How does the science of probability affect decisions? Why?
The probability is truly helpful in the decision making process and reduces the risk of lost and other undesirable effects of a certain condition. Probability is a measure of how likely it is that something will happen or that a statement is true. This theory is applied in everyday life in risk assessment. From the professional gambler to the business executive, the science of probability is important in decision-making.
Response DQ 2 Week 2
Probabilities come in many different disguises. A probability is a number between zero and one, a proportion, in other words. Probabilities affect the biggest and smallest decisions of people's lives. Before you buy a vehicle, you can find out probabilities for almost every topic regarding that vehicle, including the chance of repairs becoming necessary, of the vehicle lasting a certain number of miles, or of you surviving a front-end crash or rollover (the latter depends on whether you wear a seatbelt which is another fact based on probability).