The Predictive Abilities of Financial Ratios in Predicting Listed Company Performance in Malaysia.
2. Objectives
1. To analyse the accuracy of financial ratios in predicting company performance.
2. To identify the effectiveness of financial ratios in predicting company performance.
3. To determine the impact of financial ratios in predicting company performance.
3. Hypothesis
1. To analyse the accuracy of financial ratios in predicting company performance.
Ho: The financial ratios in predicting company performance is inaccurate.
H1: The financial ratios in predicting company performance is accurate.
2. To identify the effectiveness of financial ratios in predicting company performance.
Ho: The financial ratios in predicting company performance is ineffective.
H1: The financial ratios in predicting company performance is effective.
3. To determine the impact of financial ratios in predicting company performance.
Ho: The financial ratios have low impact in predicting company performance.
H1: The financial ratios have high impact in predicting company performance.
4. Background of the Study
The performance of listed companies in Malaysia is determined by the financial ratios significantly. Major users of financial ratios are customers, suppliers, investors, managers, directors and other financiers. Financial ratios are reliable to be one of the standard of predicting company’s performance by determined the success or failure of the company.
Generally, there are numerous ways to evaluate the performance of an organization. It can be classified as two main areas which are financial measures and non-financial measures (Yap et al., 2011). Financial measures consist of any financial or accounting information which based on various numerical and statistical data that generated from day-to-day operation (Yap et al., 2011). With the provisions of these data, the profitability, liquidity, efficiency and stability of a firm can be determined accurately and clearly.
Bibliography: A.Ohlson, J. (1980) 'Financial ratios and the probabilistic prediction of bankruptcy ', Journal of Accounting Research., vol. 18 (1), pp. 109-131. AccountingForManagement: Net Profit Margin (NPM) (2012), [Online], Available: http://www.accountingformanagement.org/net-profit-ratio/ [9 September 2013]. AccountingForManagement: Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) (2012), [Online], Available: http://www.accountingformanagement.org/return-on-capital-employed-ratio/ [9 September 2013]. Alireza, F., Parviz, Mohammadzadeh and Mina, Sheikhi (2012) 'Evaluation of the Financial Ratio Capability to Predict the Financial Crisis of Companies ', IUP Journal of Behavioral Finance, Mar , pp. 57-69. Bhunia, A. and Sarkar, R. (2011) 'A Study of Financial Distress based on MDA ', Journal of Management Research, vol. 3, no. 2, March, pp. 3-9. Bodie, Z.M.A.K.a.A.J. (2004) Essentials of Investments, 5th edition, McGraw-Hill. Bursa Malaysia (2013), [Online], Available: http://www.bursamalaysia.com/market/listed-companies/list-of-companies/pn17-companies/ [6 September 2013]. Eidleman, G.J. (1995) 'Z scores--a guide to failure prediction ', CPA Journal, vol. 65, no. 2, Feb, p. 52. Groppelli, Angelico, Ehsan and Nikbakht (2000) Finance, 4th edition, Barron 's Educational Series, Inc. H.Beaver and William (1966) 'Financial ratio as predictors of failure ', Journal of Accounting Research, vol. 4, no. 4, pp. p. 71-111. Hasankhani, M.E., Sheikhi, Mohammad Reza and Garshasbi, Yousef (2011) 'The Ability to Predict Firms 'bankruptcy Using Financial Ratios ', Journal of Applied Sciences Research, vol. 7, no. 7, Jul , pp. 946-953. Innocent, E.C. (2013) 'Financial Ratio Analysis as a Determinant of Profitability in Nigerian Pharmaceutical Industry. ', International Journal of Business & Management, vol. 8, no. 8, Apr , pp. 107-117. Jan, O. (2011) AccountingExplained: Return On Equity (ROE), [Online], Available: http://accountingexplained.com/financial/ratios/return-on-equity [9 September 2013]. Matz, L.M. (2011) 'CHAPTER 1: Liquidity Risk Components and Characteristics ', Liquidity Risk Management, no. 1, pp. 1-1-1-16. Mohammed, A.A.E. (2012) Financial Situation Of PN17 Companies Listed In The Malaysian Stock Exchange, July, [Online], Available: http://eprints.uthm.edu.my/2911/1/Ali_Abusalah_Elmabrok_Mohammed_1.pdf [6 September 2013]. Monea, M. (2009) 'Financial Ratios- Reveal How a Business is Doing? ', Journals of the University of Petrosani Economics, vol. 9, no. 2, pp. 137-144. Orem, T. and Hudspeth, C. (2009) Operating Expense Ratio (OER), [Online], Available: http://www.investinganswers.com/financial-dictionary/ratio-analysis/operating-expense-ratio-oer-2800 [9 September 2013]. ReadyRatios: Earnings Per Share (EPS) (2011), [Online], Available: http://www.readyratios.com/reference/accounting/earnings_per_share_eps.html?sphrase_id=79898 [8 September 2013]. ReadyRatios: Return on Debt (ROD) (2011), [Online], Available: http://www.readyratios.com/reference/profitability/return_on_debt_rod.html [7 September 2013]. ReadyRatios: Return On Sales (ROS) (2011), [Online], Available: http://www.readyratios.com/reference/profitability/return_on_sales_ros.html [8 September 2013]. Tugas, F.C.1. (2012) 'A Comparative Analysis of the Financial Ratios of Listed Firms Belonging to the Education Subsector in the Philippines for the Years 2009-2011. ', International Journal of Business & Social Science, vol. 3, no. 21, pp. 173-190. Turk, A. (2002) 'The predictive nature of financial ratio. ', The park place economist., vol. 14 (3), pp. 96-104. Ungureanu, M.A., Frasineanu, C., Nedelut, M. and Ioanas, C. (2013) 'The Use Of The Financial Rates To Analyse And Interpret The Financial Statements ', Metalurgia International, vol. 18, no. 5, May, pp. 248-251. Williams, J., Haka, S., Bettner, M., Carcello and Joseph (2011) Financial & Managerial Accounting., 16th edition, McGraw-Hil Irwin. Wooduff, Houghton, A, K. and David, R. (1987) 'Financial ratios: The prediction of corporate success and failure. ', Journal of business finance and accounting, vol. 14(4), p. 1. Yap, B.C.-F., Yong, D.G.-F. and Poon, W.-C. (2010) 'How Well Do Financial Ratios and Multiple Discriminant Analysis Predict Company Failures in Malaysia. ', International Research Journal of Finance & Economics, no. 54, pp. 166-175.