National Poll After Gop Convention
Interviews with 1,005 adult Americans conducted by telephone by ORC International on August 31-September 3, 2012. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is plus or minus 3 percentage points. The sample also includes 877 interviews among registered voters (plus or minus 3.5 percentage points) and 735 interviews among likely voters (plus or minus 3.5 percentage points). The sample includes 753 interviews among landline respondents and 252 interviews among cell phone respondents.
FOR RELEASE: TUESDAY, SEPTEMBER 4 AT 4 PM
1.
Suppose that the presidential election were being held today and you had to choose between Barack Obama and Joe Biden as the Democratic Party's candidates, and Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan as the Republican Party's candidates. Who would you be more likely to vote for -- Barack Obama and Joe Biden, the Democrats, or Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan, the Republicans? (IF UNSURE:) As of today, who do you lean more toward? Obama/ Biden Romney/ Ryan 48% 47% 45% 43% 45% 46% 46% 43% 43% 46% 48% 45% 51% 48% 48% 43% 50% 45% Neither (vol.) 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 4% 5% 3% 2% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 1% Other (vol.) * * 1% 1% * 1% 1% 1% * * 1% 1% * 1% * 1% * * No Opinion 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% * * 1% * * 1% * * * * * 1% *
Likely Voters Aug. 31-Sept. 3, 2012 Aug. 22-23, 2012 Registered Voters Aug. 31-Sept. 3, 2012 Aug. 22-23, 2012 Aug. 7-8, 2012 June 28-July 1, 2012 May 29-31, 2012 April 13-15, 2012 March 24-25, 2012 February 10-13, 2012 January 11-12, 2012 December 16-18, 2011 Nov. 11-13, 2011 Sept. 23-25, 2011 Aug. 5-7, 2011 Apr. 29-May 1, 2011 Oct. 27-30, 2010 Apr. 9-11, 2010
48% 49% 52% 52% 52% 49% 49% 52% 54% 51% 47% 52% 47% 49% 49% 54% 45% 53%
QUESTION WORDING BEFORE APRIL, 2012: " If Barack Obama were the Democratic Party's candidate and Mitt Romney were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for -- Obama, the Democrat, or Romney, the Republican? (IF UNSURE:) As of today, who do you lean more toward?"
FOR RELEASE: TUESDAY, SEPTEMBER 4 AT 4 PM
1.
Suppose that the presidential election were being held today and you had to choose between Barack Obama and Joe Biden as the Democratic Party's candidates, and Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan as the Republican Party's candidates. Who would you be more likely to vote for -- Barack Obama and Joe Biden, the Democrats, or Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan, the Republicans? (IF UNSURE:) As of today, who do you lean more toward? Obama/ Biden Romney/ Ryan 48% 47% 45% 43% 45% 46% 46% 43% 43% 46% 48% 45% 51% 48% 48% 43% 50% 45% Neither (vol.) 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 4% 5% 3% 2% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 1% Other (vol.) * * 1% 1% * 1% 1% 1% * * 1% 1% * 1% * 1% * * No Opinion 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% * * 1% * * 1% * * * * * 1% *
Likely Voters Aug. 31-Sept. 3, 2012 Aug. 22-23, 2012 Registered Voters Aug. 31-Sept. 3, 2012 Aug. 22-23, 2012 Aug. 7-8, 2012 June 28-July 1, 2012 May 29-31, 2012 April 13-15, 2012 March 24-25, 2012 February 10-13, 2012 January 11-12, 2012 December 16-18, 2011 Nov. 11-13, 2011 Sept. 23-25, 2011 Aug. 5-7, 2011 Apr. 29-May 1, 2011 Oct. 27-30, 2010 Apr. 9-11, 2010
48% 49% 52% 52% 52% 49% 49% 52% 54% 51% 47% 52% 47% 49% 49% 54% 45% 53%
QUESTION WORDING BEFORE APRIL, 2012: " If Barack Obama were the Democratic Party's candidate and Mitt Romney were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for -- Obama, the Democrat, or Romney, the Republican? (IF UNSURE:) As of today, who do you lean more toward?"