The PRC – Taiwan Crisis; Assessing Alternative Outcomes
Tamara Hinton
INTL401
Professor Dolan
November 15, 2014
Hinton 2
Section 1: Introduction The cause for this crisis seems to be that the Republic of China (Taiwan) is in the process of electing a new President that would replace the current President, Chen Shui-bian of the Democratic
Progressive Party of DPP. The Mayor of Taipei, Ma Ying Jeon and the Chairman, Shu Chin-Chiang are the two Presidential candidates that are representing Kuomintang (KMT) and Taiwan Solidarity Union (TSU).
The election is stirring up talk about the future of Taiwan and its independence from the People’s
Republic of China (PRC). Both Ma Ying Jeon and Shu Chin-Chiang represent an independent Taiwan, however, both have different views regarding Taiwan’s political and economic ties with the People’s
Republic of China. The Kuomintang supports independence with economic ties and a continued existing state of affairs with the Communist Part of China (CPC) and Taiwan. The Taiwan Solidarity Union (TSU), on the other hand, supports the establishment of a new constitution and separation from the People’s
Republic of China. This is causing tension between the PRC and Taiwan, which in turn is making the Premier, Hu
Jintao of CPC against the increasing amount of talk of independence among the people. The three hypotheses considered in this are; diplomatic solution, limited intervention, and direct attack. A diplomatic solution would be the PRC and Taiwan solving their differences with direct negotiations without additional intervention. Limited intervention involves threats being made of the political, economic, or military nature in order to essentially scare Taiwanese people into adopting a pro-PRC position. And direct attack involves action being taken by military forces against Taiwan with the sole purpose of destroying or occupying the land. Given the evidence, the hypothesis most likely