Pradeepta Sethi(, Brajesh Kumar(
Abstract
Financial structure, an assortment of financial markets, intermediaries and banks, varies over time and across countries. An efficient and well-developed financial structure usually fosters long-run economic growth. This paper builds on the above concept of ‘Optimal Financial Structure’ and examines its association with economic development in the Indian context. Specifically, the present paper intends to: (1) examine the evolving importance of banks and markets during the process of economic development in India; (2) evaluate the sensitivities of economic development towards increases in banks and stock markets development; (3) calculate the optimal financial structure for India and its dynamics with economic development; and (4) assess the impact of deviation from the optimal financial structure on the economic growth.
Using quantile regression, the study finds that the services provided by banks are comparatively more important than those provided by the stock markets in the economic growth process of India during the 1989-2009 periods. The results from the robust regression suggest that the financial structure gap has retarded the growth process, and deviation from the optimal structure has harmful effects on the economy. We observe mismatch between the industrial structure and financial structure which can hold the financial system from performing efficiently. The study result is consistent with the view that as economy grow they require different blend of financial services to operate efficiently.
JEL Classifications: O16; G18; G28
Keywords: Financial development, Financial Structure, Economic growth, Principal component analysis, Quantile regression, Robust regression
I. Introduction
Periodic occurrence of financial crisis has once again brought the finance-growth debate to the forefront of academicians, researchers
References: Ahmed, A. D., & Islam, S. M. N. (2009). Financial Liberalization in Developing Countries Issues, Time Series Analyses and Policy Implications Series. Contributions to Economics, XVIII, 298 p. 42. Allen, F., & Gale, D. (2000). Comparing Financial Systems, Cambridge and London. MIT Press. Andrianova, S., Demetriades, P., & Shortland, A. (2008). Government Ownership of Banks Institutions, and Financial Development. Journal of Development Economics 85, 218-252. Ang, J. B. (2009). Financial Development and the FDI-Growth Nexus: The Malaysian Experience. Applied Economics, 41: 13, 1595 — 1601. Ang, J. B. (2008). What are the mechanisms linking financial development and economic growth in Malaysia. Economic Modelling, 25, 38-53. Ang, J. B., & McKibbin, W. J. (2007). Financial Liberalization, Financial Sector Development and Growth: Evidence from Malaysia. Journal of Development Economics 84, 215-233. Arestis, P., Demetriades, P. O., & Luintel, K. B. (2001). Financial Development and Economic Growth: The Role of Stock Markets. Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking 33: 16-41. Arestis, P., Luintel, A. D., & Luintel, K. B. (2005). Financial Structure and Economic Growth. CEPP Working Paper No. 06/05. Arestis, P., Khan, M., Luintel, K. B., & Theodoridis, K. (2008). Financial Structure and Economic Growth. Journal of Development Economics, 86, 181-200. Atje, R., & Jovanovic, B. (1993). Stock Markets and Development. European Economic Review 37: 632-640. Baltagi, B.H., Demetriades, P.O., & Law, S.H. (2008). Financial Development and Openness: Evidence from Panel Data. Center for Policy Research, Maxwell School of Citizenship and Public Affairs, Working Paper No 107. Beck, T., & Levine, R. (2004). Stock Markets, Banks, and Growth: Panel Evidence. Journal of Banking and Finance 28: 423-442. Beck, T., Levine, R., & Loayza, N. (2000). Finance and the Sources of Growth. Journal of Financial Economics 58: 261-300. Beck, T., Demirguc-Kunt, A., & Levine, R. (2003). Law, Endowments, and Finance. Journal of Financial Economics 70 (2): 137-181. Bekaert, G., Harvey, C. R., & Lundblad, C. (2005). Does financial liberalization spur growth. Journal of Financial Economics, 77(1), 3–56. Bekaert, G., Harvey, C. R., & Lundblad, C. (2006). Growth volatility and financial liberalization. Journal of International Money and Finance 25, 370-403. Bell, C., & Rousseau, P. L. (2001). Post-Independence India: A Case of Finance-Led Industrialization?. Journal of Development Economics 65: 153-175. Bencivenga, V. R., & Smith, B. D. (1991). Financial Intermediation and Endogenous Growth. Review of Economic Studies 58: 195-209. Benhabib, J., & Spiegel, M. M. (2000). The Role of Financial Development in Growth and Investment. Journal of Economic Growth 5: 341-360. Bhaduri, S. N. (2000). Liberalization and firm’s choice financial structure in an emerging economy: The Indian Corporate Setor. Development Policy Review, Vol. 18, Issue 4, 413-434. Boyd, J. H., & Smith, B. D. (1998). The Evolution of Debt and Equity Markets in Economic Development. Economic Theory 12: 519-560. Chakraborty, I. (2008). Does Financial Development Cause Economic Growth? The Case of India. South Asia Economic Journal, 9(1): 109–39. __ (2010). Financial Development and Economic Growth in India: An analysis of Post-reform Period. South Asia Economic Journal, 11(2): 287-308. Chaudhuri, S. (2002). Economic Reforms and Industrial Structure in India. Economic and Political Weekly, (12 January), Vol. 37, No. 02. Chandavarkar, A. (1992). Of Finance and Development: Neglected and Unsettled Questions. World Development 20: 133-142. Cobham, D., & Subramaniam, R. (1998). Corporate finance in developing countries: New evidence for India. World Development, Vol. 26, Issue 6, 1033-1047. Das, D. K., Deepika, W., & Kalita, G. (2009). Do labor Intensive Industries Generate Employment? Evidence from firm level survey in India. Working Paper No. 236, ICRIER, New Delhi. Das, D. K., & Kalita, G. (2009). The Employment Potential of Labor Intensive Industries: An Appraisal of India’s Organized Manufacturing. Working Paper No. 237 , ICRIER, New Delhi. Demetriades, P. O., & Hussein, K. A. (1996). Does Financial Development Cause Economic Growth? Time-Series Evidence from Sixteen Countries. Journal of Development Economics 51: 387-411. Demetriades, P. O., & Law, S. H. (2005). Openness, Institutions and Financial Development. University of Leicester Working Paper No. 05/08. Demirguc-Kunt, A., Feyen, E & Levine, R. (2011). Optimal Financial Structure and Development: The evolving importance of banks and markets. World Bank. Demirguc-Kunt, A., & Levine, R. (2001). Financial Structures and Economic Growth: A Cross-Country Comparison of Banks, Markets and Development. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press. Demirguc-Kunt, A., & Maksimovic, V. (2002). Funding Growth in Bank-Based and Market-Based Financial Systems: Evidence from Firm-Level Data. Journal of Financial Economics 65: 337-363. Goldsmith, R.W. (1969). Financial Structure and Development. New Haven, CT: Yale University Press. Herd, R., Koen, V., Patnaik, I., and Shah, A., (2011). Financial Sector Reform in India:Time for a Second Wave? OECD Economics Department, Working Papers, No. 879 King, R ____ (1993b). Finance, Entrepreneurship, and Growth: Theory and Evidence. Journal of Monetary Economics 32: 513-542. Kutivadze, N. (2011). Public Debt and Financial Development. University of Milano, Working Paper No. 2011-13. La Porta, R., Lopez-de-Silanes, F., Shleifer, A., & Vishny, R.W. (1998). Law and Finance. Journal of Political Economy, 106(6), 1113-1155. Levine, R. (1997). Financial Development and Economic Growth: Views and Agenda. Journal of Economic Literature 35: 688-726. Levine, R., Loayza, N., & Beck, T. (2000). Financial Intermediation and Growth: Causality and Causes. Journal of Monetary Economics 46: 31-77. Levine, R., & Zervos, S. (1998). Stock Markets, Banks, and Economic Growth. American Economic Review 88: 537-558. Lin, J. Y., Sun, X., & Jiang, Y. (2009). Towards Theory of Optimal Financial Structure. Policy Research Working Paper No 5038, World Bank. Luintel, K. B., & Khan, M. (1999). A Quantitative Reassessment of the Finance-Growth Nexus: Evidence from a Multivariate VAR. Journal of Development Economics 60: 381-405. Mayer, C. (1988). New Issues in Corporate Finance. European Economic Review, 32, 1167-1189. Mohan, R. (2006). Financial Sector Reforms and Monetary Policy: The Indian Experience. Reserve Bank of India Bulletiin. Mukherjee, D. (2007). Comparative Analysis of Indian stock market with International markets. Great Lakes Herald, Vol. 1, Issue. 1. Nagaishi, M. (1999). Stock Market Development and Economic Growth: Dubious Relationship. Economic and Political Weekly, Vol. 34, No. 29, (Jul. 17-23), pp. 2004-2012. Ranciere, R., Tornell, A., & Westermann, F. (2008). Systemic crises and growth. Quarterly Journal of Economics 123, 359-406.