The potential political struggle for dominance and insurgent activity in the Caucasus Region jeopardizes the infrastructure and economic resources of the countries within the region and the global economy. The Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan (BTC) pipeline is the major economic structure between the balances of power for the World. With Russia’s and Iran’s inability to corner the energy market, these key players are fueling dissention and unrest together with each countries internal disputes the region requires careful analysis and courses of action to promote regional stability; counter terrorism and advance the United States (US) interest within the area. Current Status quo and operational strategies and policies would be the applicable course of action for this region to meet the desired end state.
Mission The mission of US forces in the Caucasus Region is to provide stability and security while protecting the economic interest of coalition partners, and civilians within the region. The ability to provide security rest with protecting US forces from direct attack; maintaining strategic access to key locations; strengthening alliances and partnerships and establishing favorable security conditions Issues
Currently in the region, the inception of the newly formed Republic of Ahurastan threatens the transportation network and access routes of US and coalition partners. The most likely avenue of destruction is at common ports and in southern Azerbaijan. The country does not possess the military forces to engage in an open conflict but have at their disposal means to disrupt the range of operations, and communications through bribery, propaganda and decentralized operations.